{"id":649873,"date":"2025-03-29T12:15:00","date_gmt":"2025-03-29T11:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/pm%e5%a5%a5%e6%9c%ac%e9%99%b7%e5%85%a5%e5%9b%b0%e5%a2%83%e5%8f%a6%e4%b8%80%e9%a1%b9%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5%e6%98%be%e7%a4%ba%e4%bb%96%e5%b0%86%e5%9c%a82026%e5%b9%b4%e5%a4%b1%e5%8e%bb\/"},"modified":"2025-03-29T12:15:00","modified_gmt":"2025-03-29T11:15:00","slug":"pm%e5%a5%a5%e6%9c%ac%e9%99%b7%e5%85%a5%e5%9b%b0%e5%a2%83%e5%8f%a6%e4%b8%80%e9%a1%b9%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5%e6%98%be%e7%a4%ba%e4%bb%96%e5%b0%86%e5%9c%a82026%e5%b9%b4%e5%a4%b1%e5%8e%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/pm%e5%a5%a5%e6%9c%ac%e9%99%b7%e5%85%a5%e5%9b%b0%e5%a2%83%e5%8f%a6%e4%b8%80%e9%a1%b9%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5%e6%98%be%e7%a4%ba%e4%bb%96%e5%b0%86%e5%9c%a82026%e5%b9%b4%e5%a4%b1%e5%8e%bb\/","title":{"rendered":"PM\u5965\u672c\u9677\u5165\u56f0\u5883?\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a,\u4ed6\u5c06\u57282026\u5e74\u5931\u53bb\u5e2d\u4f4d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Z\u00e1vecz Research\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5,55%\u7684\u5308\u7259\u5229\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u653f\u5e9c\u66f4\u8fed,\u800c\u53ea\u670938%\u7684\u4eba\u4f1a\u8bf4\u603b\u7406\u5965\u5c14\u672c\u5e94\u8be5\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ed6\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c,\u6b64\u5916,\u627f\u8bfa\u53c2\u52a0\u4e0b\u6b21\u9009\u4e3e\u7684\u4eba\u4e2d\u670940%\u4f1a\u9009\u62e9\u4f69\u7279 \u00b7 \u9a6c\u624e\u5c14\u7684\u8482\u8428\u515a,\u800c\u5965\u5c14\u672c\u7684\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u5219\u843d\u540e35%\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u65b0\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a,\u5965\u672c\u603b\u7406\u5c06\u4e8e\u660e\u5e74\u6625\u5929\u5931\u53bb\u5e2d\u4f4d<\/h2>\n<p>Z\u00e1vecz Research\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5,\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u5308\u7259\u5229\u8bae\u4f1a\u5c06\u53ea\u5305\u542b\u53e6\u5916\u4e24\u4e2a\u653f\u515a,\u524d\u603b\u7406\u4e45\u5c14\u6070\u5c3c\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8054\u76df\u5c06\u83b7\u5f977%,\u6781\u53f3\u7ffc\u7684\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5bb6\u56ed(\u7c73\u54c8\u8d5e\u514b)\u5f97\u52306%\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u652f\u6301,\u52a8\u529b\u8fd0\u52a8\u7ad9\u4e0a4%,\u4f4e\u4e8e5%\u7684\u95e8\u69db,\u624e\u7ef4\u5947\u57283\u670816\u65e5\u81f325\u65e5\u671f\u95f4\u54111000\u540d\u9009\u6c11\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u9519\u8bef,\u8bef\u5dee\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e3a3.2%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u636e <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.szeretlekmagyarorszag.hu\/hirek\/tisza-part-fidesz-zavecz-kozvelemeny-kutatas-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u624e\u97e6\u8328\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1<\/a><\/strong>\u3001\u8482\u8428\u652f\u6301\u8005\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a230\u4e07,\u800c\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u652f\u6301\u8005\u4eba\u6570\u4e3a210\u4e07,\u4f69\u7279 \u00b7 \u9a6c\u624e\u5c14\u7684\u8482\u8428\u5c24\u5176\u53d7\u523040\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4eba\u7fa4\u548c\u9ad8\u7d20\u8d28\u548c\/\u6216\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u7684\u6b22\u8fce,\u540c\u65f6,\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u7684\u9886\u5148\u4f18\u52bf\u5728\u4ec5\u53d7\u8fc7\u5c0f\u5b66\u6559\u80b2\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\u663e\u8457,35% vs 22%,\u5728\u5927\u5b66\u6cd5\u4ee4\u6301\u6709\u8005\u4e2d,\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e3a22% vs 30%\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1280\" height=\"853\" src=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/PM-Viktor-Orban-Peter-Magyar-2026-elections-1280x853.jpg\" alt=\"2026\u5e74\u7e3d\u7406\u7dad\u514b\u591a \u00b7 \u5967\u723e\u672c \u00b7 \u4f69\u7279 \u00b7 \u99ac\u624e\u723e\u9078\u8209\" class=\"wp-image-649451\" srcset=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/PM-Viktor-Orban-Peter-Magyar-2026-elections-1280x853.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/PM-Viktor-Orban-Peter-Magyar-2026-elections-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/PM-Viktor-Orban-Peter-Magyar-2026-elections-282x188.jpg 282w, https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/PM-Viktor-Orban-Peter-Magyar-2026-elections-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/PM-Viktor-Orban-Peter-Magyar-2026-elections.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u7167\u7247:fb\/<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/photo.php?fbid=1208834203947509&amp;set=pb.100044628210344.-2207520000&amp;type=3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7ef4\u514b\u591a\u00b7\u5965\u5c14\u672c<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u636e <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/telex.hu\/belfold\/2025\/03\/28\/zavecz-kozvelemeny-kutatas-tisza-part-fidesz-dk-kutyapart-mi-hazank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7535\u4f20<\/a><\/strong>\u4e2d,(tisza)\u548c\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u7684\u652f\u6301\u4e8e2024\u5e7411\u6708\u76f8\u9047,\u6b64\u540e\u5728\u666e\u9009\u7968\u4e0a,\u5f7c\u5f97 \u00b7 \u9a6c\u624e\u5c14\u7684\u9886\u5148\u4f18\u52bf\u5c31\u53d8\u5f97\u6beb\u65e0\u7591\u95ee,\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u57282006\u5e74\u81f32024\u5e7411\u6708\u671f\u95f4\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d,\u5728\u666e\u9009\u7968\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u4f4d\u5c45\u699c\u9996\u3002<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6751\u5e84\u91cc\u83b7\u80dc<\/h2>\n<p>\u5236(hungarian election system),\u4f46\u4eba\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u77e5\u9053,\u5308\u7259\u5229\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u5236\u5ea6\u662f\u6df7\u5408\u7684,\u8bae\u5458\u662f\u5728\u9009\u533a\u4e2d\u9009\u4e3e\u4ea7\u751f\u7684,\u4ece\u653f\u515a\u540d\u5355\u4e2d\u9009\u51fa,\u4e0e\u5fb7\u56fd\u7248\u7684\u90a3\u79cd\u6df7\u5408\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f,\u5bf9\u5931\u8d25\u7684\u4e00\u65b9\u6765\u8bf4,\u6ca1\u6709\u8865\u507f,\u66f4\u4f55\u51b5,\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u533a\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u591a\u5f97\u7968\u5c31\u6dfb\u52a0\u5230\u653f\u515a\u540d\u5355\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64,(\u59822010\u5e74\u30012014\u5e74\u30012018\u5e74\u548c2022\u5e74)\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u80fd\u8d62\u5f97\u5927\u591a\u6570\u519c\u6751\u9009\u533a,\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u5360\u591a\u6570\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u7edd\u5bf9\u591a\u6570,\u4e5f\u8bb8\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f69\u7279 \u00b7 \u9a6c\u624e\u5c14\u548c\u524d\u603b\u7406\u4e45\u5c14\u6070\u5c3c\u5728\u7ade\u9009\u5de1\u56de\u8d5b\u4e0a\u8bbf\u95ee\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u89c1\u8fc7\u653f\u5ba2\u7684\u5c0f\u6751\u5e84,\u9a6c\u624e\u5c14\u8d70\u7684\u8def\u7ebf\u66f4\u4e25\u683c,\u81f3\u5c11\u60f3\u53c2\u89c2\u6240\u6709\u4e2d\u7b49\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u5b9a\u5c45\u70b9,\u4e0e\u4ed6\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u4f1a\u9762,\u6839\u636e\u4ed6\u7684\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u89c6\u9891(\u8bba\u575b\u5728\u4ed6\u7684Facebook\u4e0a\u76f4\u64ad),\u5230\u5904\u90fd\u6709\u5927\u6279\u4eba\u7fa4\u7b49\u7740\u4ed6,\u4e0d\u8bba\u5929\u6c14\u5982\u4f55\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u4f8b\u5982,\u8fd9\u91cc\u6709\u4e00\u6bb5\u6765\u81ea\u8428\u5c14\u535a\u52a0\u5fb7\u7684\u89c6\u9891,\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u62e5\u6709 11500 \u540d\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u5b9a\u5c45\u70b9:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/plugins\/video.php?height=476&amp;href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fpeter.magyar.102%2Fvideos%2F623630460507103%2F&amp;show_text=false&amp;width=267&amp;t=0\" width=\"267\" height=\"476\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u51cf\u7a0e\u3001\u589e\u52a0\u6d25\u8d34<\/h2>\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6,\u5965\u5c14\u73ed\u5185\u9601\u5c31\u51cf\u7a0e\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u6d25\u8d34(\u4f8b\u5982\u4e2d\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u4ee5\u53ca\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u9886\u53d6\u8005\u548c\u6751\u5e84)\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u591a\u9879\u627f\u8bfa\u3002\u6b64\u5916,\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u8868\u793a\u8482\u8428\u548c\u4e39\u9ea6\u90fd\u652f\u6301\u6218\u4e89,\u800c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7ad9\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u5e73\u4e00\u8fb9\u3002\u5965\u5c14\u73ed\u8fd8\u8868\u793a,\u53ea\u6709\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u624d\u80fd\u4fdd\u62a4\u5308\u7259\u5229\u7684\u4e3b\u6743\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u770b\u770b\u5728\u4e0b\u6b21\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d,\u8d44\u91d1\u5206\u914d\u548c\u6563\u5e03\u6050\u60e7\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8db3\u4ee5\u6ee1\u8db3\u4ec0\u4e48\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u53e6\u8bf7\u9605\u8bfb:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u201c\u5e03\u9c81\u585e\u5c14\u505a\u597d\u6218\u4e89\u51c6\u5907\u201d\u5965\u5c14\u73ed\u603b\u7406 <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e5%a5%a5%e5%b0%94%e7%8f%ad%e6%80%bb%e7%90%86%e5%ae%a3%e7%a7%b0%e6%af%95%e5%b0%94%e5%b7%b4%e9%84%82%e6%ad%a3%e5%9c%a8%e4%b8%ba%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89%e5%81%9a%e5%a5%bd%e5%87%86%e5%a4%87\/\">\u5ba3\u544a<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li>\u4ec7\u6740\u5f00\u59cb?\u5965\u672c\u603b\u7406\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u90e8\u957f\u62c9\u8428\u5c14\u731b\u70c8\u62a8\u51fb\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u4eb2\u5bc6\u7684\u5be1\u5934, <a href=\"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e4%bb%87%e6%9d%80%e5%bc%80%e5%a7%8b%e6%80%bb%e7%90%86%e5%a5%a5%e5%b0%94%e7%8f%ad%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%80%e9%ab%98%e9%83%a8%e9%95%bf%e6%8b%89%e8%90%a8%e5%b0%94%e7%8c%9b%e7%83%88%e6%8a%a8%e5%87%bb%e9%9d%92\/\"><strong>\u547c\u53eb <\/strong><\/a>\u4ed6\u4eec\u6e34\u671b\u5962\u534e\u7684\u751f\u6d3b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Z\u00e1vecz Research\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5,55%\u7684\u5308\u7259\u5229\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u653f\u5e9c\u66f4\u8fed,\u800c\u53ea\u670938%\u7684\u4eba\u4f1a\u8bf4\u603b\u7406\u5965\u5c14\u672c\u5e94\u8be5\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ed6\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c,\u6b64\u5916,\u627f\u8bfa\u53c2\u52a0\u4e0b\u6b21\u9009\u4e3e\u7684\u4eba\u4e2d\u670940%\u4f1a\u9009\u62e9\u4f69\u7279 \u00b7 \u9a6c\u624e\u5c14\u7684\u8482\u8428\u515a,\u800c\u5965\u5c14\u672c\u7684\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u5219\u843d\u540e35%\u3002 \u65b0\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a,\u5965\u672c\u603b\u7406\u5c06\u4e8e\u660e\u5e74\u6625\u5929\u5931\u53bb\u5e2d\u4f4d Z\u00e1vecz 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