{"id":758047,"date":"2021-03-28T19:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-03-28T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e5%8c%88%e7%89%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%ba%e8%ae%a4%e4%b8%ba%e8%87%aa%e5%b7%b1%e6%98%af%e4%ba%b2%e5%8f%b3%e6%b4%be%e5%85%ac%e6%b0%91%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6%e6%89%80%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5\/"},"modified":"2021-03-28T19:00:00","modified_gmt":"2021-03-28T17:00:00","slug":"%e5%8c%88%e7%89%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%ba%e8%ae%a4%e4%b8%ba%e8%87%aa%e5%b7%b1%e6%98%af%e4%ba%b2%e5%8f%b3%e6%b4%be%e5%85%ac%e6%b0%91%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6%e6%89%80%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e5%8c%88%e7%89%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%ba%e8%ae%a4%e4%b8%ba%e8%87%aa%e5%b7%b1%e6%98%af%e4%ba%b2%e5%8f%b3%e6%b4%be%e5%85%ac%e6%b0%91%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6%e6%89%80%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5308\u7259\u5229\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u4eb2\u53f3\u6d3e?\u516c\u6c11\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><span style=\"color: #808080;\"><em><strong>Civitas Institute \u5173\u4e8e 2022 \u5e74\u5308\u7259\u5229\u5927\u9009\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8ddd\u79bb\u5308\u7259\u5229\u8bae\u4f1a\u9009\u4e3e\u53ea\u5269\u4e00\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4,\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u52bf\u529b\u4ecd\u5728\u5851\u9020,\u4e3a\u603b\u7406\u7ef4\u514b\u6258\u00b7\u5965\u5c14\u73ed\u53ca\u5176\u6267\u653f\u515a\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ade\u4e89\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u8005\u3002\u5947\u7ef4\u5854\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4e13\u5bb6\u5206\u4eab\u4e86\u4e0e2022\u5e74\u5308\u7259\u5229\u5927\u9009\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u65b0\u7684 <a href=\"https:\/\/designrr.page\/?id=71695&amp;token=1673462059&amp;type=FP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><em>\u5947\u7ef4\u5854\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5<\/em><\/a> \u793a,(\u5373)\u6570\u5b57\u663e\u793a,\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00,\u5308\u7259\u5229\u793e\u4f1a\u503e\u5411\u53f3\u503e,42%\u7684\u5308\u7259\u5229\u9009\u6c11\u5df2\u7ecf\u8ba4\u540c\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u53f3\u7ffc,\u800c\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00(19%)\u7684\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u8868\u793a\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u5de6\u7ffc\u652f\u6301\u8005,\u5927\u7ea6\u5341\u5206\u4e4b\u56db(39%)\u7684\u4eba\u6ca1\u6709\u6216\u65e0\u6cd5\u56de\u7b54\u4e0e\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u6709\u5173\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u5e76\u4e0d\u5947\u602a,\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u7684\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u9009\u6c11(73%)\u652f\u6301\u53f3\u7ffc\u7acb\u573a,\u5176\u4e2d\u53ea\u6709 4% \u5de6\u503e\u3002\u5305\u62ec\u5de6\u7ffc\u3001\u81ea\u7531\u6d3e\u548c\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u5728\u5185\u7684\u8054\u5408\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u5728\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u4e0a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u66f4\u52a0\u4e30\u5bcc\u591a\u5f69\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u6784\u6210\u3002\u5341\u5206\u4e4b\u56db\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u652f\u6301\u8005\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5de6\u7ffc(40%),\u5176\u4e2d 19% \u652f\u6301\u53f3\u7ffc\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u3002\u7136\u800c,\u652f\u6301\u8054\u5408\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u7684\u6700\u5927\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005(41%)\u6ca1\u6709\u6216\u65e0\u6cd5\u56de\u7b54\u6709\u5173\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u504f\u597d\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Civitas-Institute-Poll-Position.png\" data-pswp-width=\"495\" data-pswp-height=\"384\" data-cropped=\"true\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"495\" height=\"384\" src=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Civitas-Institute-Poll-Position.png\" alt=\"\u5947\u7ef4\u5854\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u7acb\u573a\" class=\"wp-image-388916\"><\/a><figcaption>\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90:CEA \u6742\u5fd7(centraleuropeanaffairs.com\/)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6295\u7968\u610f\u5411<\/h5>\n<p>Civitas Institute\u6295\u7968\u610f\u5411\u6570\u5b57\u663e\u793a,\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u4ee554%\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u4fdd\u6301\u7740\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u653f\u515a\u7684\u5e7f\u6cdb\u9886\u5148,\u800c\u8054\u5408\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u7684\u516d\u4e2a\u653f\u515a\u52a0\u8d77\u6765\u5219\u670940%,\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b,\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u57282018\u5e74\u4e0a\u5c4a\u8bae\u4f1a\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u4e3a49.6%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u4e2d,\u4e54\u6bd4\u514b\u4ee5 14% \u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u8f7b\u677e\u9886\u5148,\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u8054\u76df (DK) \u548c Momentum \u4ee5 9% \u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u5e76\u5217\u7b2c\u4e8c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8005(MSZP)\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u4e3a3%,LMP\u4e3a2%,\u5e15\u8d1d\u585e\u5fb7\u4e3a1%\u7684\u9009\u7968,\u6781\u53f3\u7ffc\u7684\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5bb6\u56ed\u8fd0\u52a8,\u4e0d\u662f\u8054\u5408\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206,\u4e3a3%\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Civitas-Institute-Poll-Party-Vote.png\" data-pswp-width=\"600\" data-pswp-height=\"422\" data-cropped=\"true\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Civitas-Institute-Poll-Party-Vote.png\" alt=\"\u5947\u7ef4\u5854\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u515a\u6295\u7968\" class=\"wp-image-388914\"><\/a><figcaption>\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90:CEA \u6742\u5fd7(centraleuropeanaffairs.com\/)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5bf9\u653f\u515a\u7684\u770b\u6cd5<\/h5>\n<p>\u5947\u7ef4\u5854\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u6982\u8ff0\u4e86\u5308\u7259\u5229\u9009\u6c11\u5982\u4f55\u770b\u5f85\u653f\u515a<\/p>\n<p>\u8bba\u653f\u515a\u8ba4\u77e5,\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u5728\u5308\u7259\u5229\u4eba\u773c\u4e2d\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u6700\u79ef\u6781(46%)\u3001\u6d88\u6781\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f83\u4f4e(44%)\u7684\u653f\u515a,\u51c0\u5f97\u5206\u4e3a-1\u5206,\u4ece\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u52bf\u529b\u6765\u770b,Momentum\u4ee5-23\u5206\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u51e0\u4e4e\u6bcf\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u9009\u6c11(24%)\u7684\u540c\u60c5\u5fc3,\u540c\u65f6\u5728\u6bcf\u4e8c\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u9009\u6c11(51%)\u773c\u4e2d\u4e3a\u6d88\u6781\u3002<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Opposition parties unanimously scold Hungarian govt for bad crisis management (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e5%8f%8d%e5%af%b9%e5%85%9a%e4%b8%80%e8%87%b4%e6%96%a5%e8%b4%a3%e5%8c%88%e7%89%99%e5%88%a9%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e7%b3%9f%e7%b3%95%e7%9a%84%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba%e7%ae%a1%e7%90%86\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u4e00\u81f4\u65a5\u8d23\u5308\u7259\u5229\u653f\u5e9c\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5371\u673a\u7ba1\u7406<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e5%8c%88%e7%89%99%e5%88%a9%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e6%8d%8d%e5%8d%ab%e7%96%ab%e8%8b%97%e6%8e%a5%e7%a7%8d%e8%ae%a1%e5%88%92%e5%b9%b6%e7%ad%89%e5%be%85%e4%ba%ba%e9%80%a0%e5%8d%ab%e6%98%9f-v-%e7%96%ab\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Hungarian govt defends vaccination programme and awaits further shipments of Sputnik V vaccines (opens in a new tab)\">\u5308\u7259\u5229\u653f\u5e9c\u634d\u536b\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u8ba1\u5212\u5e76\u7b49\u5f85\u4eba\u9020\u536b\u661f V \u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8fd0\u8f93<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Corruption in Hungary keeps increasing (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e5%8c%88%e7%89%99%e5%88%a9%e7%9a%84%e8%85%90%e8%b4%a5%e7%8e%b0%e8%b1%a1%e4%b8%8d%e6%96%ad%e5%8a%a0%e5%89%a7\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u5308\u7259\u5229\u7684\u8150\u8d25\u73b0\u8c61\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u5267<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Jobbik\u76ee\u524d\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u6700\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a,\u536028%,\u5176\u4e2d56%\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u88ab\u62d2\u7edd\u3002\u7531\u524d\u603b\u7406\u8d39\u4f26\u8328\u00b7\u4e45\u5c14\u6070\u5c3c\u9886\u5bfc\u7684DK\u4eab\u670921%\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u540c\u60c5,\u800c\u5176\u4e2d\u5341\u5206\u4e4b\u516d\u7684\u4eba\u5bf9\u4ed6\u7684\u653f\u515a\u6301\u6d88\u6781\u6001\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5308\u7259\u5229\u793e\u4f1a\u515a\u662f2010\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u5308\u7259\u5229\u653f\u6cbb\u4e2d\u6700\u5177\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u4e4b\u4e00,\u4f46\u906d\u5230\u8fd1\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c(65%)\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u62d2\u7edd,\u540c\u60c5\u6307\u6570\u4e3a15%\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Civitas-Institute-Poll-Party-Relation.png\" data-pswp-width=\"713\" data-pswp-height=\"403\" data-cropped=\"true\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"713\" height=\"403\" src=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Civitas-Institute-Poll-Party-Relation.png\" alt=\"\u5947\u7ef4\u5854\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u653f\u515a\u5173\u7cfb\" class=\"wp-image-388913\"><\/a><figcaption>\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90:CEA \u6742\u5fd7(centraleuropeanaffairs.com\/)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8c01\u5e94\u8be5\u9762\u5bf9\u7ef4\u514b\u591a\u00b7\u5965\u672c?<\/h5>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u603b\u7406\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u521d\u9009\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u89c4\u5219\u4ecd\u7136\u672a\u77e5,\u4f46\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684\u524d\u4e24\u5230\u4e09\u540d\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u6dd8\u6c70\u8d5b\u9636\u6bb5\u9762\u5bf9\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f53\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u9009\u6c11\u88ab\u95ee\u53ca\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u9009\u62e9\u8c01\u4f5c\u4e3a\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u603b\u7406\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u65f6,\u5927\u7ea6\u4e8c\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00(50%)\u7684\u4eba\u8868\u793a,\u4ed6\u4eec\u8981\u4e48\u6295\u7968\u7ed9\u4e54\u6bd4\u514b\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u4f69\u7279\u00b7\u96c5\u5361\u5e03,\u8981\u4e48\u6295\u7968\u7ed9\u5e03\u8fbe\u4f69\u65af\u5e02\u957f\u683c\u5c14\u76d6\u5229\u00b7\u5361\u62c9\u7d22\u5c3c,\u540e\u8005\u4ecd\u672a\u6b63\u5f0f\u5ba3\u5e03\u53c2\u9009\u3002<\/p>\n<p>27%\u7684\u5f97\u7968\u7387,\u6bd4\u83b7\u5f9723%\u7684\u683c\u5c14\u76d6\u5229 \u00b7 \u5361\u62c9\u7d22\u5c3c\u7565\u6709\u4f18\u52bf,DK\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u514b\u62c9\u62c9 \u00b7 \u591a\u5e03\u96f7\u592b\u4ee515%\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4f4d\u5c45\u7b2c\u4e09,\u9886\u5148\u4e8e\u970d\u5fb7\u6885\u6cfd\u74e6\u8428\u96f7\u5229\u5e02\u957f\u4f69\u7279 \u00b7 \u9a6c\u5c14\u57fa-\u624e\u4f0a(11%)\u548c\u52a8\u91cf\u515a\u9886\u8896\u5b89\u5fb7\u62c9\u65af \u00b7 \u8d39\u514b\u7279-\u6770\u5c14(10%)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u603b\u7406\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u7684\u5f53\u524d\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u4f7f\u4f69\u7279\u00b7\u96c5\u5361\u5e03\u548c\u683c\u5c14\u76d6\u5229\u00b7\u5361\u62c9\u7d22\u5c3c\u5728\u521d\u9009\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f6e\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u4e00\u5e2d\u4e4b\u5730,\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e09\u540d\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u60ac\u800c\u672a\u51b3\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u79cd\u9009\u62e9\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Civitas-Institute-Poll-Pie-Chart.png\" data-pswp-width=\"656\" data-pswp-height=\"528\" data-cropped=\"true\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"656\" height=\"528\" src=\"https:\/\/contentf5.dailynewshungary.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Civitas-Institute-Poll-Pie-Chart.png\" alt=\"\u5947\u7ef4\u5854\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u997c\u56fe\" class=\"wp-image-388915\"><\/a><figcaption>\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90:CEA \u6742\u5fd7(centraleuropeanaffairs.com\/)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>2021\u5e743\u67085\u65e5\u81f33\u670811\u65e5,CATI\u7684\u8fd9\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\u5bf91007\u540d\u968f\u673a\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u5408\u683c\u9009\u6c11\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8c03\u67e5,\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u67d0\u4e9b\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5,\u800c\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u9009\u6c11\u5219\u88ab\u95ee\u53ca\u4e0e\u521d\u9009\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4f7f\u7528Y2016\u5fae\u578b\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u548c\u4e2d\u592e\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40(KSH)\u5e02\u7ea7\u6570\u636e(T?STAR\u6570\u636e\u5e93)\u7684\u6570\u636e,\u901a\u8fc7\u6309\u6027\u522b\u3001\u5e74\u9f84\u3001\u57ce\u5e02\u7c7b\u578b\u3001\u5730\u533a\u5206\u5e03\u548c\u6559\u80b2\u8fdb\u884c\u7ec6\u80de\u52a0\u6743\u548c\u62bd\u53d6(RIM\u52a0\u6743)\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u65b9\u6cd5,\u7ea0\u6b63\u4e86\u4eba\u53e3\u6837\u672c\u968f\u673a\u5316\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u8f7b\u5fae\u6837\u672c\u9009\u62e9\u504f\u5dee\u3002\u52a0\u6743\u540e,\u5173\u952e\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0e\u9884\u671f\u5206\u5e03\u76f8\u540c,\u57fa\u672c\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u6d4b\u91cf\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u5ea6\u4e3a+\/-3.2%\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Civitas Institute \u5173\u4e8e 2022 \u5e74\u5308\u7259\u5229\u5927\u9009\u7684\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5 \u8ddd\u79bb\u5308\u7259\u5229\u8bae\u4f1a\u9009\u4e3e\u53ea\u5269\u4e00\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4,\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u52bf\u529b\u4ecd\u5728\u5851\u9020,\u4e3a\u603b\u7406\u7ef4\u514b\u6258\u00b7\u5965\u5c14\u73ed\u53ca\u5176\u6267\u653f\u515a\u9752\u6c11\u76df\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ade\u4e89\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u8005\u3002\u5947\u7ef4\u5854\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4e13\u5bb6\u5206\u4eab\u4e86\u4e0e2022\u5e74\u5308\u7259\u5229\u5927\u9009\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u3002 \u6700\u65b0\u7684 \u5947\u7ef4\u5854\u65af\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5 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