{"id":791330,"date":"2026-04-08T14:20:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T12:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e6%9c%80%e6%96%b0%e9%80%89%e5%89%8d%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5%ef%bc%9a%e6%ac%a7%e5%b0%94%e7%8f%ad%e6%98%af%e5%90%a6%e4%bc%9a%e9%9d%a2%e4%b8%b4-16-%e5%b9%b4%e6%9d%a5%e6%9c%80%e5%a4%a7\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T14:20:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T12:20:00","slug":"%e6%9c%80%e6%96%b0%e9%80%89%e5%89%8d%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5%ef%bc%9a%e6%ac%a7%e5%b0%94%e7%8f%ad%e6%98%af%e5%90%a6%e4%bc%9a%e9%9d%a2%e4%b8%b4-16-%e5%b9%b4%e6%9d%a5%e6%9c%80%e5%a4%a7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e6%9c%80%e6%96%b0%e9%80%89%e5%89%8d%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5%ef%bc%9a%e6%ac%a7%e5%b0%94%e7%8f%ad%e6%98%af%e5%90%a6%e4%bc%9a%e9%9d%a2%e4%b8%b4-16-%e5%b9%b4%e6%9d%a5%e6%9c%80%e5%a4%a7\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6700\u65b0\u9009\u524d\u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\uff1a\u6b27\u5c14\u73ed\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34 16 \u5e74\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5931\u8d25\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>\u6839\u636e HVG \u516c\u5e03\u7684\u57fa\u4e8e Medi\u00e1n \u6c11\u610f\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6388\u6743\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u4f69\u7279-\u9a6c\u624e\u5c14\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u8482\u8428\u515a\u5c06\u5728\u8bae\u4f1a\u4e2d\u53d6\u5f97\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u80dc\u5229\uff0c\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5308\u7259\u5229\u56fd\u6c11\u8bae\u4f1a\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u7684\u591a\u6570\u5e2d\u4f4d\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u636e 2 \u6708\u5e95\u548c 3 \u6708\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u4e94\u6b21\u5168\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u7535\u8bdd\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u6c47\u603b\u6570\u636e\uff0cMedi\u00e1n \u4f30\u8ba1\u8482\u8428\u515a\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97<strong>138-143 \u4e2a\u5e2d\u4f4d<\/strong>\uff0c\u800c\u83f2\u5fb7\u65af\u515a\u7684<strong>\u5e2d\u4f4d\u6570<\/strong>\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d\u5230<strong>49-55 \u4e2a<\/strong>\u3002\u6781\u53f3\u7ffc\u7684 Mi Haz\u00e1nk \u4e5f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u5165\u8bae\u4f1a\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u83b7\u5f97<strong>5-6 \u4e2a\u5e2d\u4f4d<\/strong>\u3002Medi\u00e1n\u5f3a\u8c03\u8be5\u8ba1\u7b97\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f30\u8ba1\u503c\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7ed3\u679c\u53ea\u80fd\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u8d1f\u8d23\u4efb\u5730\u8868\u8fbe\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f9b\u56fd\u9645\u8bfb\u8005\u53c2\u8003\uff1a\u5308\u7259\u5229\u8bae\u4f1a\u6709<strong>199 \u4e2a\u5e2d\u4f4d<\/strong>\uff0c&#8221;\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c&#8221;\uff08\u5baa\u6cd5\u89c4\u5b9a\u7684\uff09\u591a\u6570\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u610f\u4e49\u91cd\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u80fd\u4f7f\u6267\u653f\u515a\u901a\u8fc7\u67d0\u4e9b\u95e8\u69db\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u65e0\u9700\u5176\u4ed6\u515a\u6d3e\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6885\u8fea\u5b89\u6388\u6743\u4f30\u8ba1\u503c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u636e HVG \u5bf9 Medi\u00e1n \u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u603b\u7ed3\uff0c<strong>Medi<\/strong>\u00e1n \u7684<strong>\u6c11\u8c03<\/strong>\u6c47\u603b\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u51e0\u5468\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u52a8\u6001\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u8482\u8428\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u9884\u8ba1\u7684\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u8bae\u4f1a\u591a\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Medi\u00e1n \u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u5c06\u529b\u91cf\u5bf9\u6bd4\u63cf\u8ff0\u5f97\u975e\u5e38\u6e05\u695a\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u8482\u8428\u515a<\/strong>138-143 \u5e2d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u83f2\u5fb7\u65af\u515a\uff1a<\/strong>49-55 \u5e2d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Mi Haz\u00e1nk\uff1a<\/strong>5-6 \u5e2d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5728 HVG \u6240\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u6388\u6743\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e2d\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u515a\u6d3e\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8d85\u8fc7\u95e8\u69db\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6885\u8fea\u5b89\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u7684\u4fdd\u8bc1\uff0c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5e94\u4ee5\u533a\u95f4\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u9009\u4e3e\u65e5\u524d\u7684\u6295\u7968\u610f\u5411\u6570\u636e<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>HVG \u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u5728\u9009\u4e3e\u524d\u4e0d\u4e45\uff0cMedi\u00e1n \u5bf9\u9002\u9f84\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u6295\u7968\u610f\u5411\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8c03\u67e5\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u8482\u8428\u515a<\/strong>48%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u83f2\u5fb7\u65af<\/strong>\u515a<strong>\uff1a<\/strong>30<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Mi Haz\u00e1nk\uff1a<\/strong>4%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>DK \u515a\uff1a<\/strong>2<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u4eba\u6c11\u8fd0\u52a8\u515a\uff1a<\/strong>1<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>15%\u7684<\/strong>\u4eba\u8981\u4e48\u6ca1\u6709\u56de\u7b54\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u4e0d\u6253\u7b97\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u80af\u5b9a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.b-cdn.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/median-poll-hungary-election-2026.webp\" alt=\"median poll hungary election 2026\" class=\"wp-image-693798\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1aHVG\/MedianHVG\/Median<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u6307\u51fa\u9009\u4e3e\u65e5\u671f\u4e3a<strong>4 \u6708 12 \u65e5<\/strong>\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e00\u4f30\u8ba1\u503c\u89c6\u4e3a\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u7efc\u5408\u6c11\u8c03\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u540e\u671f\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse has-over-sun-gradient-background has-background\"><strong>\u4eca\u65e5\u5176\u4ed6\u6c11\u8c03\uff1a<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e8%b7%9d%e7%a6%bb%e5%8c%88%e7%89%99%e5%88%a9%e5%a4%a7%e9%80%89%e8%bf%98%e6%9c%89-4-%e5%a4%a9%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%a4%e9%a1%b9%e6%9c%80%e6%96%b0%e6%b0%91%e6%84%8f%e8%b0%83%e6%9f%a5%e6%98%be%e7%a4%ba\/\/\">\u8ddd\u79bb\u5308\u7259\u5229\u5927\u9009\u8fd8\u6709 4 \u5929--\u4e24\u9879\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\u9009\u60c5\u7d27\u5f20<\/a><\/pre>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8c01\u652f\u6301\u8482\u8428\uff0c\u8c01\u652f\u6301\u83f2\u5fb7\u5c14\u4ec0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5e74\u9f84\u4ecd\u662f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5206\u5316\u56e0\u7d20<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>HVG \u63d0\u4f9b\u7684 Medi\u00e1n \u5206\u6790\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5e74\u9f84\u5bf9\u653f\u515a\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4ecd\u7136\u6700\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u636e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u8482\u8428\u515a\u5728\u5e74\u8f7b\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e76\u7ee7\u7eed\u9010\u6708\u4e0a\u5347\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5728<strong>30 \u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684<\/strong>\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\uff0c\u7ea6<strong>\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u7684<\/strong>\u4eba\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301 Tisza\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5728<strong>30-40 \u5c81\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4<\/strong>\u4e2d\uff0c<strong>63% \u7684<\/strong>\u4eba\u4f1a\u628a\u7968\u6295\u7ed9 Tisza\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e74\u9f84\u7ec4\u4e2d\uff0c\u83f2\u5fb7\u4ec0\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u8981\u4f4e\u5f97\u591a\uff08\u5206\u522b\u7ea6\u4e3a<strong>10%<\/strong>\u548c<strong>17%<\/strong>\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u5e74\u957f\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\uff0c\u793e\u6c11\u515a\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u5728<strong>64 \u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684<\/strong>\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\uff0c<strong>\u8fd1\u4e00\u534a<\/strong>\u4f1a\u652f\u6301 Fidesz\uff0c<strong>29%<\/strong>\u4f1a\u652f\u6301 Tisza\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6559\u80b2\u9886\u57df\u51fa\u73b0\u9c9c\u660e\u5bf9\u6bd4<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/hvg.hu\/360\/20260408_median-mandatumbecsles-fidesz-tisza-valasztas-kethamad-kampany\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">HVG<\/a>\u7684\u603b\u7ed3\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u6559\u80b2\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5dee\u5f02\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5728<strong>\u6bd5\u4e1a\u751f<\/strong>\u548c<strong>\u4e2d\u5b66<\/strong> <strong>\u6bd5\u4e1a\u751f<\/strong> <strong>\uff08\u00e9retts\u00e9gi\uff09<\/strong>\u4e2d\uff0c\u7edd\u5bf9\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u652f\u6301 Tisza\uff0c\u800c\u53ea\u6709\u5927\u7ea6\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u5230\u4e94\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u4eba\u652f\u6301 Fidesz\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5728\u53d7\u8fc7<strong>\u804c\u4e1a\u57f9\u8bad<\/strong>\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\uff0c\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u7565\u5fae\u9886\u5148\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5728\u63a5\u53d7<strong>\u8fc7\u516b\u5e74\u6216\u516b\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6559\u80b2<\/strong>\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u793e\u6c11\u515a\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u9065\u9065\u9886\u5148\uff08\u636e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u793e\u6c11\u515a\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e3a<strong>49%<\/strong>\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u793e\u6c11\u515a\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e3a<strong>29%<\/strong>\uff09\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5c45\u4f4f\u5730\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5c0f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u867d\u7136\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u57ce\u9547\u548c\u57ce\u5e02\u4ecd\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u4e8e Tisza\uff0c\u800c\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u5c45\u4f4f\u533a\u4ecd\u76f8\u5bf9\u66f4\u652f\u6301 Fidesz\uff0c\u4f46 HVG \u62a5\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5dee\u8ddd\u5df2\u7ecf\u7f29\u5c0f\u3002\u4e09\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u4e61\u6751\uff0c\u636e\u8bf4 Tisza \u4e5f\u4ee5<strong>41:35<\/strong>\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u9886\u5148\u4e8e Fidesz\u3002\u5730\u533a\u5dee\u5f02\u4e5f\u88ab\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\u5fae\u4e4e\u5176\u5fae\uff0c\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5730\u533a\uff0cTisza \u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u5927\u81f4\u5728<strong>45-49%<\/strong>\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u800c Fidesz \u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e3a<strong>30-33<\/strong> <strong>%<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse has-over-sun-gradient-background has-background\"><a href=\"https:\/\/dailynewshungary.com\/cn\/%e8%a7%a3%e8%af%b4%e8%af%8d%ef%bc%9a%e4%bd%a9%e7%89%b9-%e9%a9%ac%e6%89%8e%e5%b0%94%e4%b8%ba%e4%bd%95%e6%88%90%e4%b8%ba%e5%8c%88%e7%89%99%e5%88%a9%e6%ac%a7%e5%b0%94%e7%8f%ad%e6%9c%80%e6%9c%89%e5%8a%9b\/\/\"><strong>\u89e3\u91ca\u5668<\/strong>\uff1a\u4f69\u7279-\u9a6c\u624e\u5c14\u4e3a\u4f55\u6210\u4e3a\u5308\u7259\u5229\u6700\u6709\u529b\u7684\u6b27\u5c14\u73ed\u6311\u6218\u8005<\/a><\/pre>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2022\u5e74\u548c2024\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u6765\u6e90<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e Tisza \u5728 2022 \u5e74\u8bae\u4f1a\u9009\u4e3e\u65f6\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64 Medi\u00e1n \u8fd8\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u5176\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u652f\u6301\u6765\u6e90\u3002HVG \u62a5\u9053\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u652f\u6301 2022 \u5e74\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u8054\u76df\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd1<strong>\u5341\u5206\u4e4b\u4e5d<\/strong>\u73b0\u5728\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u7ed9 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