price cap

Hungarian government loses case against Spar: CJEU says Hungary’s price caps on staples violated EU law

Budapest Great Market Hall price caps

The Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU) said that price caps Hungary’s government earlier mandated for staples such as sugar, flour, cooking oil, pork and milk, to keep inflation down were contrary to EU law in a ruling on Thursday.

Price caps against EU law

The price caps were rolled out in February 2022, in the context of the pandemic, and expanded in November 2022, as the result of the war in Ukraine. The decree also required supermarkets to maintain adequate stocks of the affected products.

Supermarket chain Spar Magyarorszag was fined in May 2023 for failing to comply with the stocking rules and appealed the penalty at a local court. That court, in Szeged (SE Hungary), sought a preliminary ruling from the CJEU in light of doubts concerning the compatibility of the rules with the principle of freely setting prices and fair competition.

In its ruling, the CJEU said the government decree on the price caps and inventory levels “undermined fair competition”. The court acknowledged that the government decree was appropriate for combating inflation, but said the measures were “not proportionate”.

“The undermining of free access by traders to the market in conditions of effective competition and the disturbance of the entire supply chain caused by the regulated prices and quantities imposed on those traders go beyond what is necessary to attain the objectives pursued by the decree,” the court said.

Read also:

A chain reintroduces quantitative restrictions in Hungary

Tesco Hungarian shops

Tesco has introduced a quantity restriction on chicken breast fillets in Hungary due to high demand.

According to the price maker, Tesco has been offering the cheapest chicken breast fillet in Hungary since August. The favourable pricing of chicken breast fillets, which were previously included in the price cap, has led to high demand for Tesco. Therefore, the supermarket introduced a restriction on the quantities that can be bought at one time from 12 October.

As index.hu notes, the limit is higher than both the limits imposed by competitors and the quantities allowed at the time of the official prices. Tesco says this is still enough to cover households’ weekly needs.

To reduce customer complaints, the supermarket chain is constantly striving for low prices. For example, under the price guarantee scheme, low prices are guaranteed on a permanent basis for own-brand products.

“Our price guarantee scheme helps customers to avoid the hassle of comparing prices, because we do the work for them. We are constantly monitoring changes in consumer habits, so we will now offer Price Guarantee on even more of our favourite own-brand products,” said Tamás Kámán, Tesco’s Purchasing Director in Hungary.

 

Attention: More Hungarian shops introduce quantity restrictions after price cap

spar store hungary food

In Spar stores in Hungary, the quantity restrictions introduced at the start of the official prices will remain in place.

End of the price freeze, but no restrictions

As we reported, the price cap scheme ended in Hungary after 17 months.The government lifted the price cap on 1 August. Find more details HERE.

As we stated earlier, Auchan has already announced that it will introduce quantity restrictions in its stores. Spar is now joining in. “In response to the high demand, a volume restriction already existed during the first wave of the coronavirus pandemic, and it was reintroduced when the official pricing was launched and has been in place ever since. This is to ensure that all our customers continue to have access to the food they need in the quantities they need,” Spar told Pénzcentrum.

Restrictions in Spar

Quantity restrictions will continue to apply in Spar, Interspar and Despar stores. See the information for the rules in force:

  • granulated sugar 2 kg,
  • BL-55 wheat flour 5 kg,
  • 2,8% UHT milk 2 litres,
  • sunflower cooking oil: maximum quantity of 2 units of 1 litre, 2 units of 2 litres, 1 unit of 5 litres and a maximum of 5 litres of oil can be purchased at a time, regardless of the packaging,
  • 2 kg of chicken breast or 2 trays,
  • 1 kg or 1 tray of chicken tails,
  • 3 kg or 3 trays of pork thighs, and a maximum of 36 eggs in any combination of presentation.

“On the other hand, we are seeing a significant shift in purchasing preferences, with consumers starting to favour pork legs over chicken breast,” Spar added.

Life after the price cap in Hungary: how have prices changed?

shopping paper receipt - the EU

The price freeze was officially scrapped on 1 August. And supermarkets were compelled to readjust the tags of most of the previously price-capped goods. Many shoppers believed that the prices would skyrocket after the abolishment of the price cap. However, both price rises and price falls can be witnessed.

Napi.hu reported the price changes concerning basic staples. They examined whether there is any ground to fear a drastic increase in the cost of groceries post-price cap. Eggs and cooking oil have become cheaper in many places, but the price of granulated sugar, flour, pork legs, and chicken breast has shot up. UHT milk and chicken wings have remained unchanged in some places regardless of whether there is a promotion in effect.

Right after the abolishment of the price cap, the prices did not show significant changes. A minor increase in the case of certain basic foodstuffs could be seen though. The six biggest chains, Lidl, Aldi, Tesco, Auchan, Spar and Penny followed more or less the same pattern regarding the price changes.

Growing demand

A group of employees of a popular chain spoke to napi.hu anonymously, recalling that in the week before the abolishment of the price freeze, there was a noticeable increase in demand. For example, customers stocked up more than usual on flour, sugar, cooking oil and UHT milk, and several shops experienced higher sales of meat products that were still available at fixed prices until the closing date, this Monday. It should be noted that most chain shops ordered months ago that only a limited quantity of basic price-capped foodstuffs could be purchased at a time. However, most shops have scrapped this restriction now.

Due to the last-minute panic shopping before the abolishment of the price cap, some shops were left with empty shelves. In some supermarkets, on the afternoon of 31 July, there were very few or no price-freeze products on the shelves or counters. For example, the cheapest UHT milk, eggs, cooking oil, and chicken breast were out of stock in numerous places.

Price changes post-price cap

Retailers had a busy night after closing the shops on Monday. Employees had to re-price the basic foodstuffs released from the price cap by Tuesday morning. After opening on Tuesday, the staff did not see more customers than usual. However, shoppers are getting more and more price-conscious. They are in a wait-and-watch mode, following the latest updates on the price changes. According to experienced shopkeepers, it might take a month to predict how demand will pan out in the relevant product groups.

So far, the price of granulated sugar has doubled in many grocery stores. Meanwhile, wheat flour costs more but remains below HUF 200 (EUR 0.51) per kilo. Sunflower oil is now cheaper at several chains, while the price of UHT milk might fluctuate a bit in the future. The price of meat has seen the biggest increase. The price per kilo now exceeds HUF 2,000 (EUR 5.1). However, some shops have introduced special offers that allow customers to buy meat at a reduced price. Surprisingly, eggs have become cheaper. Usually, the larger sizes are sold at a lower price at the moment.

Hungarians flock to Romania to shop, say everything is cheaper there

megamall bucharest

Food has become so expensive in Hungary that many people would rather travel not only to Slovakia but also to Romania. Those who do so say that almost everything is cheaper there than at home. And not only food, but also clothes, shoes, etc.

Hungarians flock to Romania to do the shopping

Transtelex reports that it is becoming increasingly common for Hungarians living close to the border to simply cross into Romania to go shopping. The reason is that food has become so expensive in Hungary that it is worth buying groceries in the neighbouring countries.

There was a Romanian shop whose security guard told the journalist of Transtelex that there are days when there are more cars with Hungarian plates in the car park than Romanian ones. Add to that the fact that fuel is about HUF 70-80 (EUR 0.19-0.21) cheaper over there. Thus, it is much cheaper to fill up in Romania.

Almost everything is cheaper

A couple also told the news portal that they can buy sugar cheaper in Romania. Despite the fact that sugar is officially priced in Hungary, it is still cheaper across the border. What is more, there is no limit to how many packets you can buy there. They also said that they had calculated a price difference of 15-20 percent for salami, but they could also buy good quality bread cheaper abroad.

“At home, a kilo of bread costs HUF 900-1000 (EUR 2.40-2.67), but in Ditrău, I bought three kilos for the same price, and I bought that delicious farm-baked bread,”

the woman said.

Significant price differences

Another couple said they could shop in Romanian shops for 40 percent less. They said all food was cheaper there than at home: one of their purchases cost the equivalent of HUF 41,000 (EUR 109.52), but would have cost HUF 60,000 (EUR 160.27) at home, they said.

The Transtelex journalist asked the man why he thought there were such huge price differences between the two countries. “It is clearly because of the bad policies of the Hungarian government,” he said. The journalist asked him whether he thought it was not the “war inflation” blamed by the Hungarian government? He smiled bitterly and then asked:

“Is Romania not a neighbour of Ukraine? And on a much longer stretch than Hungary?”

No dramatic price rises, some products will be even cheaper in Hungary from August

price-caps-supermarket-vegetables

The Hungarian government has decided to scrap the food price cap in August. However, it is unlikely that this move will increase prices drastically. On the contrary, we will be able to find products available at lower prices.

The price cap will be lifted

The Hungarian government has extended the law on food at public prices until 31 July, when it will be repealed. This led many to believe that the prices of food products that had been subject to mandatory special offers would rise dramatically, but this is not the case. In fact, with the exception of product, prices will drop.

Under the regulation, the market prices of the eight food products concerned will be restored in two stages, not immediately, but after a transitional period. The government regulation prevents traders from reacting to the abolishment of the regulation with significant price increases.

Traders can apply higher margins, but a real price rise is expected from October. In addition, under a new regulation introduced by the Hungarian government in June, they will have to offer two products a week at a discount of at least 15 per cent.

Gradual return to the market price

The official price was in force for a year and a half. Inflation has hit record highs and food prices have risen at an unprecedented rate. If the price cap had been lifted prematurely, prices would have tripled for all the foodstuffs concerned.

Data from the Institute of Agricultural Economics (AKI) show the retail prices of all products. Although the abolition of the price cap would have resulted in a significant price rise even a few months ago, the global market developments, i.e. the normalisation of energy costs and the months-long significant price drop of agricultural commodities, have now been reflected in consumer prices, napi.hu reports.

How much products will cost?

  • 2.8 per cent UHT milk: HUF 275-300 (EUR 0.73-0.8) (currently HUF 300),
  • Sunflower oil: HUF 420-480 (EUR 1.12-1.28) (currently HUF 744),
  • Wheat flour: HUF 185-210 (EUR 0.49-0.56) (currently HUF 230)
  • Pork leg: HUF 1,600-1,700 (EUR 4.50) (currently HUF 1,600)
  • Chicken breast: HUF 1,750-2,100 (EUR 4.67- 5.6) (currently HUF 1,800)
  • Eggs, 10 pieces (packer’s delivery price): HUF 580-700 (EUR 1.55-1.87) (currently HUF 900)
  • Potatoes (wholesale price): HUF 400-500 (EUR 1.2) (currently HUF 500)

So milk, cooking oil, wheat flour and eggs will also be cheaper, while breadsticks, chicken breast and potatoes will more or less retain their prices.

However, the situation is different in the case of granulated sugar. The retail purchase price is not publicly available, but experts estimate that it could rise to HUF 600-700 (EUR 1.73) per kilo.

These are the cheapest shops in Hungary according to the price monitoring system

Lild Aldi Food Groceries Products Store Shopping

On 1 July, the long-awaited online price monitoring system was launched. The system aims to assist shoppers in finding the best prices during mandatory promotions, ultimately helping families save money.

The Hungarian government’s online price monitoring system, announced months ago, went live a few days ago. The system allows Hungarian shoppers to conveniently check online where they can find the basic food items they want to buy at the best prices offered during mandatory promotions. The hope is that this information in advance will enable consumers to save thousands of forints, writes Pénzcentrum.

Unfair competition?

The implementation of this measure is mandatory for the largest retail chains. Especially for those with a net turnover exceeding HUF 100 billion (EUR 2,670,184). These chains are required to provide data to the price monitoring system. However, concerns have been raised about the system.

One concern is that since the obligation to provide data to the Competition Authority (Versenyhatóság) only applies to shops above a certain revenue threshold, customers will only see prices from shops that already face fierce competition. In other words, the prices of more expensive small shops will not be included in the “average” shown.

Price monitoring website

Upon opening the price watcher, users are greeted with a clean and simple interface. At the top of the page, there is a search bar where users can browse for specific food items. Additionally, there is a store locator on the map, allowing users to find the nearest store. Once the desired product is selected, shoppers can proceed to the store to make their purchase.

Scrolling down further, users can utilise the price watcher to browse through various staple food categories, including dairy products, cheese, eggs, meat, cold cuts, vegetables, fruit and bread.

Monitoring in action – where to shop?

Now, let’s explore the best deals available, for example, for apple juice. According to the price watcher, Auchan offers the best prices, with their private label apple juice priced at HUF 269 (EUR 0.75) per litre. Lidl follows closely with the same price for their apple juice.

However, please note that these products are exclusively available at these specific stores. If you prefer established brands, Spar has a great offer with Sió Premium apple juice priced at HUF 579 (EUR 1.61). This is significantly cheaper than other stores where it is sold for no less than HUF 800 (EUR 2.23).

If you find yourself running low on cooking oil, the price watcher can also lend a hand. At Spar, a litre of Oillo sunflower oil is priced at HUF 399 (EUR 1.11). Tesco has also made a significant price drop, reducing the price of their sunflower oil from HUF 713 (EUR 1.99) to HUF 499 (EUR 1.39), making it the second cheapest product in this category.

Everything changes in Hungarian shops on 1 July: here is what to expect

price-caps-supermarket-vegetables

A new price monitoring system will launch on the 1st of July, to provide a solution to the abolition of price caps. Customers will be able to browse through the offers of six retail chains and around 1,200 smaller shops.

As we have reported HERE, the end of the food price cap is nearing with the 1st of August. Many fear that the prices of basic foodstuffs, which are currently protected by the price caps, will increase significantly after the abolition. However, this is not the case, as supermarkets have to provide a 15 percent discount on at least two items which are included in the current price cap scheme. For further help, the Hungarian Competition Authority (GVH) has set up a website for customers. The price monitoring system was developed and launched in an extremely short time.

The development

As Index reported, developers had a short time span to set up the price monitoring system. Creating the database was a really challenging task for working groups, developers and retailers. There were only two months at their disposal for research, technological planning, testing, creating the infrastructure and creating the legal background. The main goal was to provide a responsive system for customers. The use of the price monitoring database will significantly increase transparency for customers.

The participating supermarkets

The six biggest supermarkets involved in the monitoring system are Aldi, Auchan, Lidl, Penny, SPAR and Tesco. These chains update information in the database on a daily basis. It is important to provide the latest information for customers regarding available goods, including the exact name of the product, a clear indication of its price and upcoming or currently running discounts. The initiative can also help to increase the intensity of competition in the retail sector.

The functions

IT developers had to prioritise which functions are the most important for launching the system, as they had an extremely tight deadline. The development is not fully completed, new functions and changes will be added accordingly to the users’ feedback. This will help the developers on finding what functions are worthy of allocating R&D budget to. Similar systems in Greece, Romania and Germany were also developed on the way. The main objective of the changes is to keep customers up to date about the latest prices and discounts. The Hungarian Competition Authority aims to automate the process for small retailers and shops that volunteer to join the database. The development of a mobile application is also on the agenda.

Panic shopping, price increases expected in Hungary after price cap abolition

Budapest Great Market Hall price caps

The Hungarian government will end the food price cap from 1 August. This could lead to a spike in the price of many foods, which could result in panic buying.

End of the price cap

The food price cap in Hungary will end from August. According to an announcement by Gergely Gulyás, Minister of the Prime Minister’s Office, the Hungarian government has extended the price cap until 1 August. As a result of the price cap, certain basic foodstuffs such as chicken, flour, sugar and milk were available at the same price in all retail outlets in Hungary.

Once the price cap ends, the products will not be immediately available at market prices, but prices will rise considerably. Levente Tóth, an expert at Bank360, believes that Hungary will see a glass half empty, half full situation.

“After 1 August, products that have been subject to a price cap so far will also be included in the range of goods subject to mandatory promotions,” the expert is quoted by Blikk, a Hungarian tabloid.

This means that retailers will have to offer goods at 15 percent below the purchase price. This gives shops a lot of leeway, as they can buy the same product at several prices, depending on the supplier.

Soaring prices, panic buying and shortages

Prices are bound to jump, although not as much as if there were no action. However, the expert believes that the inflationary impact of the price cap will not be reversed in August. The result could be a new wave of panic shopping in Hungary.

The last time there was a surge in buying was at the start of the coronavirus pandemic. At that time, Hungary was the country in the European Union that saw the biggest retail boom, but a similar boom was seen in 1990 when fuel prices rose by 65 percent. In 2022, motorists stormed petrol stations, leading to supply problems.

“The abolition of the price cap may lead to an increase in demand for the products concerned, but our company is constantly working to meet the needs of our customers,” Lidl said. Spar does not expect any supply problems, but is maintaining a buying restriction on milk, for example.

Blikk has calculated how much the price of products with a price cap will cost after the abolition of the price cap. A litre of sunflower oil will jump from HUF 700 to 1,000 (EUR 1,9 to 2,7), a kilo of chicken breast and pork legs could cost HUF 200 (EUR 0,54) more, while milk and sugar could rise by HUF 60 (EUR 0,16). However, the price per kilo of chicken rump and fine flour could even fall due to changes in supplier prices.

Price caps are over in Hungary: here is what to expect regarding prices

Lild Aldi Food Groceries Products Store Shopping

The Hungarian government has announced changes to the food price caps system, set to take effect from 1 August. The system of official prices will be abolished. However, certain product categories will remain subject to mandatory promotions until at least 31 December.

This adjustment aims to strike a balance between allowing market forces to determine prices while ensuring some level of price stability for essential goods. However, the removal of price caps may result in variable pricing for specific products. It remains uncertain whether food sold at depressed prices will become more expensive, writes HVG.

Effect in practice

Chicken breast: The current purchase price for chicken breast is HUF 1,938 (EUR 5,24) per kilo, while most shops sell it at HUF 1,499 (EUR 4,05) per kilo. With the removal of price caps, the discounted price would be HUF 1,647 (EUR 4,45). This is a potential overnight price increase of 10 percent. However, the purchasing trend suggests that by August, the price increase is likely to be slightly lower.

Fine flour: BL55 flour, available at an average price of HUF 198 (EUR 0,53), could see a decrease in consumer prices to HUF 168 (EUR 0,45) for private label products and HUF 155 (EUR 0,42) for branded products if the price freeze is abolished in August. This means that instead of getting more expensive, this type of flour would decrease in price.

Cooking oil: The price disparity between own-brand and manufacturer-branded cooking oil is significant. With the removal of price caps, prices are expected to decrease to HUF 459 (EUR 1,24) for own-brand products and HUF 493 (EUR 1,33) for branded products.

Pork hocks: The current average purchase price for pork hocks is HUF 1,655 (EUR 4,47). With the new compulsory action, the price could potentially decrease to HUF 1,407 (EUR 3,80).

UHT milk 2.8%: Milk prices have shown a significant divergence between price-fixed and non-price-fixed products. With the removal of price caps, UHT milk prices will probably decrease to HUF 156 (EUR 0,42) forints for private label products and HUF 281 (EUR 0,76) for producer brands.

Eggs: The price of eggs, based on packing center prices, is currently HUF 54 (EUR 0,15) per piece for M-L eggs. With the removal of price caps, prices may decrease to HUF 46 (EUR 0,12) per piece.

Granulated sugar: The international market price for granulated sugar has risen over the past year, and this trend may continue. As it stands, retail prices could increase to HUF 314-323 (EUR 0,85-87) per kilo from the current average retail price of HUF 261 (EUR 0,71).

Optimist outlooks

It is important to note that promotions within specific product categories will now be at the discretion of individual shops, rather than being universally applied. This means that only certain products within a category may be subject to price caps.

While the hope is that prices do not rise further, there are reasons for optimism. Factors such as improved weather conditions, reduced energy shocks, and lower consumption levels may contribute to lower food prices in general. However, the potential impact on operators within the food supply chain and the final retail prices remain to be seen.

Turnaround in shopping: This is how the online price monitoring system will work in Hungary

Shopping abroad Penny Hungary Easter retail sales

The government is phasing out the food price freeze from 1 August because it is forecasting that inflation could fall to 15 percent by August. As we previously reported, an online price monitoring system will be introduced from 1 July. Here is how it will work.

Food price caps to be abolished in a month

With the end of the food price caps on 1 August, the government expects the online price monitoring system and mandatory shop promotions to ensure that food prices will not go down even after the measure is lifted, napi.hu writes. As we reported on Thursday, Gergely Gulyás, the PM’s chief of staff, announced at the Cabinet Briefing that the government will abolish the food price caps from 1 August. According to their forecast, inflation is expected to fall to 15 percent by August.

Based on the Hungarian Gazette, Index published a summary of how the online price monitoring system will work from 1 July. They also shared which products will be covered by the measure.

In-store promotions and online price monitoring system

In parallel with the phasing out of the price freeze, the mandatory in-store promotions will be increased from 10 to 15 percent. The measure will also cover products that were previously available at the official price. According to Gergely Gulyás, the basis for the promotional price will be the gross purchase price. The government would thus avoid a brutal price increase for products previously subject to a price freeze.

The price monitoring system concerns the following goods:

various types of milk, sour cream (tejföl), yogurt, cottage cheese (túró), cheese, margarine, butter, egg, pork leg, whole chicken, chicken breast fillet, chicken leg, turkey breast fillet, lard, sausage, salami, various cold cuts, various fruits and vegetables, types of bread, types of pasta, wheat flour, sugar, cooking oil.

The Regulation in the Gazette specifies the following:

  • the gross selling price for each product category, which may be a box price, a unit price or a packet price;
  • the name of the food product group included in the price monitoring system;
  • other data necessary for the identification of the product;
  • and the data allowing the precise identification of the products to be recorded in the price monitoring system.

The trader’s obligations

The trader shall provide data for each product category within each of their outlets for each product which they market and which corresponds to the description and presentation set out in the Annex.

When providing the data, the trader shall indicate the daily price of the product by indicating the unit price and the price by type of selling price for the product. In addition to the daily price, the trader must indicate the previous price of the product by specifying the previous unit price of the product and the previous price by type of selling price of the product, the relevant regulation states.

Price cap in Hungary to be abolished on 1 August

supermarket

The Hungarian government has extended the price cap in Hungary by one month, after which it will be lifted.

In August, inflation could fall significantly to around 15 percent, and it is realistic to expect what was previously promised to be single-digit inflation next year.

“New tools are being introduced. These include an online price monitoring system, compulsory promotions and the possibility to use the SZÉP card for cold food. That’s why the food price freeze will end on 1 August”, Gergely Gulyás, the PM’s Chief of Staff, said.

However, the mandatory promotion rate for shops will be raised from 10 to 15 percent. Even after the price freeze is lifted, there will be a brake on the products concerned, which will have to be sold at 15 percent cheaper than the supplier price, and this will also be checked.

The price cap has served its purpose in bringing down inflation, Gulyás said.

UPDATE

Meanwhile, Gergely Gulyás said the government had reviewed the family benefit system and concluded that circumstances had changed fundamentally in the recent period, mainly due to the war in Ukraine, the related sanctions and inflation.

Concerning the prenatal baby support loans, Gulyás said the government wanted it to encourage women to have children as early as possible. Accordingly, from Jan. 1, 2024, only couples where the wife is under 30 will be eligible for the subsidy, he said. He added however that a transitional period will be introduced between January 2024 and Jan. 1, 2025 when women between the age of 30 and 40 will be eligible for it. The maximum sum of the loan will be increased to HUF 11 million (EUR 29,700) from the current 10 million, Gulyás said.

Meanwhile, he said the rules for the village CSOK programme will remain in place, with the subsidy being increased by 50 percent “or even higher in certain cases”.

However, CSOK will no longer be available in Hungarian cities, and a new subsidy scheme will be devised for towns with populations over 5,000, Gulyás said, noting a steep rise in home prices in Budapest and major cities which has led to a significant drop in CSOK applications.

Gulyás said CSOK was most popular in smaller places where the subsidy and the recipient’s co-payment was sufficient to buy a property, while in larger cities couples needed to take out a bank loan to complete the purchase price. Since banks have “practically stopped providing loans” as customers were discouraged by high interest rates, the number of CSOK applicants is also dwindling, he said.

The village CSOK continues to be available for new construction, buying a second-hand home or for renovation, and applicants will enjoy a VAT benefit below HUF 5 million, Gulyás said.

Concerning the new changes, he said the subsidy amount to build or buy a house would increase from HUF 600,000 to one million for one child, from HUF 2.6 million to 4 million for two children and from 10 million to HUF 15 million for 3 children.

For renovation, the subsidy will increase from HUF 300,000 to 500,000 for one child, from HUF 1.3 million to 2 million for two children, and from 5 million forints to 7.5 million for three children, Gulyás said.

Food price caps in Hungary may be extended, here are the details

price-caps-supermarket-vegetables

The Hungarian government’s food price caps are currently in force until 30 June. However, there are reports that there will still be special offers on basic foodstuffs in July.

Food price caps may remain

According to Index, the Hungarian government is extending the food price freeze. Thus, from 1 July, we will still be able to buy basic foodstuffs at a lower price.

Gergely Gulyás, PM’s chief of staff, said at Monday’s cabinet meeting that a decision on the issue could be taken at the next cabinet meeting.

Many people thought that the introduction of compulsory in-store promotions and the online price monitoring system together could trigger a food price freeze. Price freezes are likely to remain because, although inflation has fallen according to the Central Statistical Office (KSH), it is still high, especially in the case of food.

For example, confectionery flour was 59.6 percent more expensive than in May last year, but bread and dairy products were up 52.7 percent and 51.3 percent respectively.

How long can it be in force?

The more conservative thinkers say that the price cap will only be in place for an extra month or two, but could be as long as six months, which would mean that the price caps remain in place until the end of the year.

According to official communication, the aim of the Hungarian government is to achieve single-digit inflation. Accordingly, the price controls may remain in place from 1 July. There will still be cheaper access to granulated sugar, wheat flour, refined sunflower oil, pork legs, chicken breast and cow’s milk with a fat content of 2.8 percent. You can also buy chicken eggs and table potatoes at fixed prices.

Important announcements by the Hungarian government: price cap, EU funds, Extra profit tax, Ukraine and more – UPDATE

government gulyás

The government has adopted an economy protection action plan introducing a price cap on electricity in certain economic sectors, expanding the applicability of the SZEP voucher system and easing the tax burdens on the pharmaceutical industry, the head of the Prime Minister’s Office said on Monday.

New price cap

From July 1, the government is introducing a 200 euro/MW price cap on electricity used by facilities in the manufacturing industry, accommodations, and warehousing and transport, Gergely Gulyás told a press briefing.

Gulyás said the sectors supported were the ones with the “greatest impact on the economy’s performance and inflation”, as they are directly or indirectly involved in production.

“In exchange, the government expects those companies to increase production capacity and not to raise prices this year,” Gulyás said, adding that the Hungarian Chamber of Commerce and Industry would supervise compliance.

The measure impacts over 5,000 companies and has a budgetary cost of 40 billion forints (EUR 107m), he said.

The measure comes after a year when skyrocketing electricity prices prompted 81 percent of Hungarian companies to sign fixed-price energy constracts, with an average price over 250 euros/MW, he said. One third of them pays prices exceeding 320 euros/MW, he said.

The government has consulted with the Chamber of Commerce and decided to protect companies from skyrocketing electricity prices that have been weakening Hungary’s economy as a result of the war in Ukraine, Gulyás said. The government continues to work for boosting the economy and preserve jobs and economic growth, partly because they are the foundation of the resources for next year’s budget, he said.

SZÉP cards

Further, the government has decided to expand the SZÉP cards voucher system, a widely used benefit for employees, to also apply to food purchases in supermarkets, he said.

From August 1 until the end of the year, the government will allow SZEP voucher card balances to be used for purchases of food in supermarkets without restrictions, Gulyás said. It will also raise the annual threshold for employer SZÉP card top-ups with tax preferences from 450,000 forints (EUR 1,200) by a further 200,000 forints, he added.

The government decided to allow companies distributing pharmaceutical products to write off up to half of their 40 percent windfall profit tax with spending on investments or research and development from July 1, he said. The windfall tax for pharmaceutical manufacturers will be halved, and 50 percent of the remaining tax can be written off if spent on R +D, he said.

Support for such an innovative and competitive market will prop up Hungary’s economy as well as the companies in question, serving fiscal stability and R + D simultaneously, he said.

Effects of the war

On another topic, Gulyás said Hungary continued to call for a ceasefire and peace in Ukraine and would stand up for that position in all forums.

The conflict has entered a new phase, with an increasing number of people dying in the battlefield, Gergely Gulyás said.

Besides a national interest of Hungary, it is also in the international interest to restore peace as soon as possible, Gulyás said. “Only peace can end the bloodshed”, and Hungary must stick to demanding immediate ceasefire and peace talks, he added.

If Hungary, a member of the European economy, could free itself “from the suffocating embrace of the effects of the war”, it would immediately result in a significant drop and “practically the end” of inflation, he said.

World politics is showing “worrying” developments, “we are at a point where two nuclear powers do not see the use of ammunition containing Uranium exaggerated,” he warned.

A dangerous escalation has started, he said.

Hungary has been much criticised for its “openly pro-peace stance” in the EU, Gulyás said. Many “would prefer to silence the Hungarian viewpoint,” he said. While the European political elite is united in its view on the conflict, “European societies are not”, he said.

Hungary will continue to stand by its pro-peace views, which the government also sees as the morally correct one, he said.

“Defence budget”

Gulyás said it was vital for the country to have a budget approved by parliament for 2024. The budget will earmark sufficient resources to ensure that Hungary can meet spending obligations made as a member of NATO for the first time since the country’s changeover to democracy, Gulyás said, noting that defence spending next year will make up 2 percent of the country’s GDP.

He said “it helps the country best” if people keep their savings in state bonds or treasury bills that are tax-free and pay high interest. A tax levied on bank savings will apply while the war is ongoing, said Gulyás.

Answering a question, Gulyás said that pharmaceutical companies will not be required to pay half of the 30 billion forints generated in extra profit into central coffers, on the condition that they spend the money on research and development.

Asked about the option of setting a cap on gas prices, Gulyás said the difference in gas prices compared with average EU prices was minimal. Since most contracts will expire at the end of October, businesses can then decide whether to accept actual market prices or choose to conclude new contracts with conditions that, based on current trade exchange prices, are much more favourable than a year before.

Mandatory resettlement quotas for asylum seekers

Meanwhile, Gulyás said the European Union’s decision on mandatory resettlement quotas for asylum seekers was “unacceptable and dangerous”, and an “abuse of power” that Hungary must stand up against in all forums with every means at its disposal.

Gulyás called the European Council’s negotiating position on the regulation of migration and asylum seekers, adopted on June 8, “an invitation for everyone striving to migrate to Europe”.

“This regulation would be harmful to Hungary in multiple respects,” he said. While the position currently proposes the resettlement of 30,000 migrants, it also gives the European Commission the right to raise that number, Gulyás said. Answering a question, he added that the task of carrying out 28 percent of asylum procedures would put a “disproportionate and extremely heavy burden” on Hungary.

He said the adoption of the position “broke an earlier promise”, a consensus reached recently by EU heads of state and government on addressing the resettlement quota issue at an EU Council meeting. Gulyás said a “trialogue” with the European Parliament joining would “probably not help the situation at all because there is no other institution in the world as pro-migration as the EP.”

Gulyás said that once the related directive is adopted, not only the EU’s court but Hungary’s Constitutional Court may play a role in examining whether the EU was exercising powers not legally assigned to it.

“The ball is in Brussels’ court”

Concerning Hungary’s access to European Union funding, Gulyás said “the ball is in Brussels’ court”. He said it was now up to the European Commission to make a “political decision” on whether or not to “take on the conflict with the European Parliament” and grant Hungary access to the monies it is entitled to. He said the issue was a political rather than a legal one. “It isn’t up to us: it depends on when [the EC] drums up the courage to face the European Parliament, where [opposition] Hungarian MEPs have riled up the majority,” he added.

Gulyás said the EC had already certified Hungary’s completion of its final “milestone”, and the country will be able to send invoices to the European Union from early July, he said. “They’ll then have 90 days to decide whether or not to pay,” he said. “Hungarian left-wing MEP who earn 6 million forints in their pocket, paid by Brussels, are doing everything in their power to prevent Hungary from receiving the funding it is entitled to, money that could pay for Hungarian teachers to receive a pay rise and Hungarian health care to gets additional funds.”

Demonstrations, “revenge law”

He said leftist parties and trade unions that spearheaded recent demonstrations were blocking that process, and he slammed opposition lawmakers for speaking in parliament without knowledge of the proposal, saying they had made unfounded accusations. Under the proposal, teachers’ career paths would contain 10 weeks of holidays and 24 mandatory lessons a week, he said.

Gulyás said the government did not expect there to be a mass exodus from the profession in the wake of the new law. While the number of children in public education declined by 13 percent recently, that of teachers only fell by 3 percent, he said, insisting that the “silent majority” regarded the legislation as fair. The proposal was preceded by extensive consultations, including with the European Commission, he added.

Hungary will “sooner or later” receive the EU funding necessary to raise teachers’ wages, “but there is only a 50 percent chance of that happening this year,” he said.

Commenting on teachers’ union PDSZ turning to the European Union over the issue, Gulyás said the move was “irrelevant” as public education was in the hands of the member states. “PDSZ has become an ally of leftist parties … it barely has any members and it represents its own political views,” he said.

The plan to raise teachers’ wages to 800,000 forints (EUR 2,140) on average in the next 18 months was “a cause that stands above party politics”, he said. He pledged to “make that serious and historic move even if leftist parties continue to block the flow of EU monies to Hungary” — albeit at a slower pace than if the EU funding were forthcoming.

Parliament will vote on the proposal by July 7, the end of an extraordinary session devoted to the matter, he said.

Ukraine: war prisoner, Orbán and the new ambassador

Regarding a group of Transcarpathian Hungarians who had fought in the Russia-Ukraine war and were taken prisoners by Russia before being transported to Hungary, Gulyás said that under international law POWs could be transported to any country they wished to go to, and that Hungary had no obligation to notify Ukraine of such a transaction. Meanwhile, the Hungarian government let Ukraine know about the prisoners after they arrived, he added.

Gulyás noted that the soldiers were freed while still on Russian soil. They were aided by the Russian Orthodox Church as free men in travelling to Hungary according to their own will, he said. Hungary then notified Ukraine “to avoid misunderstandings”, even though they had no such obligation, he said. In the meantime, the soldiers with no Hungarian citizenship have received refugee status, he added.

Regarding the possibility of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán travelling to Kyiv, Gulyás said prime ministerial talks were warranted only “if there is a chance of achieving significant steps forward”. “Once this makes sense, of course we stand ready,” he said.

Put to him that President Katalin Novák has yet to sign the Ukrainian ambassador’s credentials, which she received months ago, Gulyás said:

“Ukraine’s behaviour with Hungary and Hungarians does not warrant an expedited procedure.”

Asked whether accepting Ukrainian refugees would exempt countries from the EU’s mandatory resettlement quotas to a certain extent, Gulyas said the matter was being discussed, “but the regulation has not been finalised yet”. “We don’t even know if the war will still be raging by the time the regulation is passed…” he said.

Guylas said the war would come to an end only when the parties — Russia on one side and the US and Ukraine on the other — were willing to negotiate. Chances of that happening in the coming months were slim, he added.

End of price inflation for groceries in Hungary?

Lild Aldi Food Groceries Products Store Shopping

From 1 June, mandatory promotions take effect in Hungary. Originally meant to help slow down inflation, this was thought to be a clever political move by the government, as grocery chains were already competing with each other through promotions as consumption started declining.

When the measure was announced, the government had figured that they would once again get some free advertising by requiring stores to display that customers owe the discounts to them. However, it seems that the chains have retaliated: they simply included the mandatory promotions among their own promotions. Now customers may even receive a greater discount than the prescribed 10 percent, but not from the government, but from the representatives of Aldi or Tesco, writes hvg.hu.

Current prices

Shopping in late May shows us two things. One is that the prices of non-price-controlled milk and dairy products have somewhat returned to normal levels. In the past months, it was not uncommon for the price of 1.5 percent UHT milk to be twice or even three times that of price-controlled milk. Now, the low-fat version is slowly but steadily showing a decrease in price. However, there is still an almost one-and-a-half times price difference.

As for pork, the price increase seems to have stopped. This is not that visible though, as pork chops, tenderloins, or spare ribs, which have all settled around HUF 2,500 (EUR 6,75), are not becoming significantly cheaper. Of course, the big question will be: what will happen when the price controls go away?

End of price controls?

According to statements from the government, the lifting of price controls (price caps) will primarily depend on how much inflation slows down. Analysts expect this to happen in July, and it is likely to be the case for food prices as well, whether with mandatory actions or without them.

Another thing we can be happy about is that we are slowly returning to the time when we don’t have to learn new prices every month. Apart from seasonal fruits and vegetables, you can buy almost all food items for the same price as a month ago.

Imaginary basket

Let’s visualise the price changes by imagining buying ingredients for a four course Sunday lunch for four people. To make this last month, we would have had to pay HUF 8,139 (EUR 22). Adjusted to current prices, we could make it just for EUR 8,118 (EUR 21,9) this time. In March, the final amount was still HUF 8,316 (EUR 22,4), but a year ago it was only HUF 6,889 (EUR 18,6). This means that the annual inflation is around 18 percent, even though half of the products fall under price-controlled categories.

If we exclude the price-controlled products from the basket, the annual price increase is 36 percent, but on a monthly basis, there is a nearly 3 percent decrease. This may not seem very strong, but it is actually a welcome change.

State-mandated sales are coming to Hungarian supermarkets, but is there a gimmick?

food store spar price inflation in hungary

On 1 June, state-mandated promotions will kick off in many Hungary supermarkets. The Hungarian government is citing the measure as a weapon in the fight against inflation, but will it really ease the burden on shoppers?

What does mandatory promotion mean?

The Hungarian government has previously tried to curb inflation through price caps, which are still in place for a number of staple foodstuffs. On top of this comes the new compulsory measure, which requires the price of a product within twenty specific product categories to be marked down by ten percent for a week. An important stipulation is that the devaluation must be compared to the lowest price applied in the previous month.

The government has defined twenty product categories:

  1. Poultry meat
  2. Pork, beef and other meat products
  3. Fish, canned fish
  4. Meat products
  5. Milk, cream and substitutes
  6. Yoghurt and other fermented goods
  7. Other dairy products
  8. Cheese
  9. Butter, margarine and preparations thereof
  10. Other fats and oils (vegetable and animal)
  11. Bread
  12. Pastry
  13. Dried pasta, rice and other cereals
  14. Flour, sugar, preserved flour and meal
  15. Fresh vegetables
  16. Fresh fruit
  17. Fruit and vegetable juice
  18. Prepared dishes, spices, condiments
  19. Coffee, tea
  20. Mineral waters and soft drinks.

What changes will be brought to Hungarian supermarkets?

Many people reckon that shops have always given special offers to customers, so nothing will change. According to a hvg.hu article, there will be no big differences compared to what we have seen so far. Government agencies will regularly monitor whether products are really labeled with discounted prices on supermarket shelves.

You may see the price of a previously discounted product drop even further, or you may see unprecedented discounts of up to 50-60 percent in some popular chains.

The regulation does not apply to all shops though. It is defined as applying to retailers whose main activity is “mixed retail trade in foodstuffs” and whose turnover exceeded HUF 1 billion (EUR 2,690,298.77) net in 2021.

Concessions were granted to small shops, which do not have to promote a particular product category if they have sold fewer than five products of that category on the day the regulation was launched.

The promotion runs from Thursday to Wednesday each week, and the regulation is in force until 30 September.

From the categories, the trader picks which product will be discounted. A product can be discounted for a maximum of two weeks. The government also requires that discounted products must be available at the time of opening.

Variable effect

Traders may have a problem if the margin is less than 10 percent for a product category as a whole.

Experts say the regulation will have no impact on inflation. If inflation drops, it is more likely to be attributed to other factors (favourable weather, falling energy prices, cheaper feed).

The new regulation in Hungary makes it also mandatory to inform shoppers by displaying visible banners of the discounts at the entrance of Hungarian supermarkets.

Inflation decreasing but another wave of price rises to come this summer in Hungary

supermarket vegetable

Although slower than expected, inflation in Hungary is also clearly decreasing. In addition to the moderation in world prices, the significant fall in shop sales also points towards a more moderate price level. However, a new wave of price rises is expected from July.

From July, it is not only the abolition of price caps of food that could bring further price rises in Hungary. Once again, a major global inflationary surge is looming, triggered by a surge in world sugar prices not seen for more than a decade, napi.hu warns.

While many believe that the improving inflation figure will be accompanied by a broad-based fall in consumer prices, this is not the case. The price level, which has now caused a significant fall in demand and a long-unprecedented fall in retail sales, is set to be permanent. The burden on the population can only be eased in the long term by wage increases and hence by an increase in purchasing power.

Official prices are the main reason for the EU-record inflation in Hungary

Prices of food commodities and the main agricultural products have been falling on the world market for months, with consumer prices still less affected. However, there are increasing signs that we cannot calm down. The risk of another global price explosion remains high.

Grocery stores are being forced to act because of falling retail sales, while the purchase price of products with official prices (price caps) has long been much higher than the selling price. As a result, operators are having to absorb heavy losses. The whole product sector holds the price caps responsible for Hungary’s record-breaking inflation in Europe, napi.hu writes.

New wave of price rises to come?

From July, the government is expected to phase out the price caps for real. They will be replaced by compulsory price reductions from June and a price monitoring system to support market competition from July. The lifting of price freezes/official prices in July will lead to more moderate price increases than if the move had been made a few months ago. However, the re-pricing of fixed-price products will still be a major burden.

Decade-long record-breaking price boom could be repeated

Among the official-priced products, the rise in the price of granulated sugar could be dramatic. World sugar prices have not been as high or risen as fast as in recent months for more than a decade. Rising and sustained high sugar prices, just like energy and cereal prices, could lead to another unprecedented rise in food prices.

If the price of sugar rises, the price of substitutes to replace it, which are already much more expensive, will also rise. A global sugar price explosion would affect all food products. The extent of the price increase is not yet foreseeable, but all the signs point to a much higher price level.

Will utility price caps remain in Hungary?

gas energy kitchen

The European Commission has no right to recommend that Hungary scrap the price caps on household utility bills, the head of the Prime Minister’s Office said on Thursday, adding that Hungary would preserve the achievements of the scheme.

Reacting to the European Commission’s recently released country-specific recommendations, Gergely Gulyás told a regular government press briefing that Hungary considered it important to reduce the budget deficit and was the only country where the government had managed to cut the deficit in the last three election years.

“So we can’t be accused of not keeping this in mind, even in times of crisis,” Gulyás said.

But how this goal is achieved matters, he said, adding that the government rejected the EC’s proposal to scrap the utility price caps.

Even though the EC’s recommendations say Hungary should do away with its existing energy support measures by the end of 2023, the country can reduce its budget deficit without accepting this advice, Gulyás said.