Hungarian economy

Hungarian car seller AutoWallis concludes historic agreement buying Czech competitor

Hungarian car seller AutoWallis concludes historic agreement buying Czech competitor

Listed Hungarian car seller AutoWallis on Friday announced an agreement to buy 100pc of Czech peer MILAN KRAL GROUP, in the company’s biggest acquisition to date.

The transaction further bolsters AutoWallis’s presence in Czechia’s “generally more profitable” market, the company said. It added that new car sales in Czechia were over 244,000 in 2023, nearly double the number in Hungary.

Revenue of MILAN KRAL GROUP was the equivalent of HUF 50bn in 2023, compared to AutoWallis Group’s turnover of HUF 366bn. MILAN KRAL HOLDING sells and services the BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-Benz Truck and Ford brands, and services the Opel brand. It also has its own used car business under the brand auto.pro.Tebe.

Hungarian car seller AutoWallis concludes historic agreement buying Czech competitor
Photo: FB/Autowallis

The transaction is expected to close in December, pending approval by the Czech competition authority and the fulfillment of other conditions.

In the summer, AutoWallis acquired another Czech retail business: Stratos Auto’s three BMW dealerships.

AutoWallis earnings fall on higher costs

Net income of listed car seller AutoWallis fell 54pc year-on-year to HUF 4.7bn in Q1-Q3 as acquisition-related costs weighed, an earnings report released on Friday shows. Revenue edged up 3pc to HUF 291.2bn. Revenue of the wholesale division fell 5pc to HUF 161.3bn, while revenue of the retail business climbed 16pc to HUF 123.6bn.

Cost of goods sold inched up 2pc to HUF 240.6bn, nearly in tandem with sales, while cost of services increased 30pc to HUF 16.2bn, boosted by spending on marketing and acquisition-related costs. Payroll costs jumped 35pc to HUF 14.2bn as headcount climbed because of acquisitions and wage rises. CEO Gábor Ormosy said full-year sales were expected to exceed last year’s in spite of the current macroeconomic environment.

Read also:

  • German companies in Hungary worried about growing costs, decreasing consumption – read more HERE
  • Hungary’s 2025 budget to focus on housing support, family subsidies, and tax cuts, says minister

What will Trump say? Budapest Airport: China’s e-commerce gateway to Central Europe

Budapest Airport

Budapest Airport has emerged as the primary distribution hub for e-commerce products in Central Europe following the coronavirus pandemic. An overwhelming 95% of e-commerce goods arriving at the airport originate from China, with the bulk destined for export to other countries in the region.

According to 24.hu, the surge in Chinese parcels at Budapest Airport is creating logistical challenges. Handling these deliveries has proven to be a complex task. The outlet reported that Budapest Airport has become the largest distribution centre in Central Europe for deliveries from the Far East.

The main players in this market are Temu, Shein, and AliExpress, with only a small proportion of their parcels remaining in Hungary. Approximately 95% of the goods are redirected to other countries in the region, including Austria, Slovakia, and the Western Balkans. Notably, Poland and Romania are less reliant on Budapest for distribution, as companies like Temu have already established local centres in those countries.

Budapest Airport from a bird's eye view (Copy)
Photo: FB/Budapest Airport

Budapest Airport: A strategic hub

In 2023, Budapest Airport handled 200,000 tonnes of cargo—a 50% increase compared to 2019. This is particularly striking when contrasted with the global air cargo volume, which showed no growth during the same period, according to Kam Jandu, the former CEO of Budapest Airport.

These figures underscore the Hungarian government’s strategic ambition to position Budapest Airport as one of Europe’s leading logistics hubs while simultaneously boosting tourist numbers.

Western European airports, such as those in Paris, Frankfurt, and Amsterdam, traditionally act as gateways for air cargo. However, Budapest’s central geographical location offers a strategic advantage by serving the Balkan and Central European regions directly, avoiding the need for road transport from Western Europe. The airport’s management and Hungarian authorities, including the National Tax and Customs Administration (NAV), have contributed significantly to this success through infrastructure development, digitalisation, and improved transport links.

Strengthening Sino-Hungarian relations

Hungary’s National Economy Minister, Márton Nagy, recently held discussions with senior executives of prominent Chinese companies during a visit to China. These companies are leaders in fields such as artificial intelligence, digitalisation, battery technology, and intelligent border-crossing solutions. The minister’s itinerary included Huawei headquarters, where he explored AI applications, and visits to Shenzhen’s Futian District to view smart city solutions. He also examined advanced battery development and recycling technologies at CATL, Brunp, and Sunwoda, which could provide a template for Hungary’s sustainable industrial initiatives. Mr Nagy also had the chance to check out at the latest digital solutions at ZTE’s HQ.

Talks with Nuctech focused on enhancing security technologies at Hungary’s rail and road border crossings and international airports. Hungary is already the leading destination for Chinese investment in Central and Eastern Europe. In 2023, Chinese companies committed over €7.6 billion to the country, with major investments in the automotive, logistics, and high-tech sectors.

Companies such as CATL, SEMCORP, and BYD have announced “giga investments” that are expected to significantly boost Hungary’s GDP from 2025. “Hungarian-Chinese ties are of strategic importance not only in the economic sphere but also in technology and culture, offering mutual benefits for both nations,” Nagy stated. He emphasised the need to further strengthen this partnership and explore new areas of collaboration. By deepening these ties, Hungary aims to solidify its position as a bridge for capital, technological expertise, and innovation between East and West.

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The European Commission cools PM Orbán’s optimism about Hungary’s 2025 GDP growth

Hungarian economy fitch

The European Commission put Hungary’s GDP growth at 1.8pc for 2025 in an autumn forecast released on Friday.

“Consumption is set to be the main growth driver with exports and investment expanding more gradually due to moderate growth at trade partners,” the EC said.

“Risks to the outlook include a prolonged weakness of demand in the automotive sector and a deterioration in terms of trade, which could weigh on growth and the current account balance over the forecast horizon,” it added.

The forecast is under the assumption for 3.4pc GDP growth in the government’s 2025 budget bill.

The EC puts average annual inflation at 3.6pc in 2025. It sees the general government deficit reaching 4.6pc of GDP.

Competitiveness ‘key issue’ for 2025 EU budget, says minister

Competitiveness is a “key issue” for the 2025 European Union budget, Péter Benő Banai, a state secretary at the Finance Ministry, said ahead of a meeting of EU finance ministers in Brussels on Friday. Hungary, which holds the rotating presidency of the Council of the EU, takes the position that additional funding in the EU budget should be ensured for financing investments that contribute to an improvement in competitiveness, Banai said.

He added that the ministers at the ECOFIN meeting were tasked with allocating funding necessary for programmes earlier cleared by the EU heads of state and government and the European Parliament, without placing too great a burden on member states. He noted that interest expenditures on the EU’s debt were “well over” the European Commission’s preliminary calculations for 2025. That missing EUR 2.3bn-2.4bn is among the biggest challenges the ministers need to resolve, he added.

Bóka calls for ‘tangible’ achievements in wake of EU competitiveness declaration

In the next six months the European Union will need to present “tangible results” in wake of the competitiveness declaration leaders of the bloc adopted at their informal meeting in Budapest last week, the EU affairs minister told public broadcaster M1 on Thursday. “If we manage to do that … we will be able to say that real changes have started,” Janos Boka said. He added, however, that it would take “a lot of activities and conflicts … but Hungary has never shied away from such confrontations”.

The adoption of the Budapest declaration has been “a great step” towards the institutionalisation of European cooperation, Boka said, adding that the document defined the most important tasks in restoring the bloc’s competitiveness. He insisted that the “historic” meeting had been facilitated by “Hungary’s clear air and the result of the United States presidential election, which resulted in such a constructive dialogue as would have been inconceivable just a few months earlier”. “But the real work will start now, with economy ministers meeting in Brussels in late November, and adopting a conclusion detailing the Budapest declaration,” Boka said.

Read also:

  • German companies in Hungary worried about growing costs, decreasing consumption – read more HERE
  • Airbnb letter: Tighter short-term rental rules serve to ease Budapest housing problem, says ministry

Hungarian government to cap catering service fees

tipping in hungary summer restaurant

The National Economy Ministry said it planned to cap catering service fees and ensure that waitstaff get their tips, tax-free, regardless if paid in cash or by card, in a statement issued on Friday.

In cooperation with professional associations, the ministry said service fees would be capped at 15pc for private individuals and at 20pc for corporate functions.

Public consultations on the measures will start on Friday.

Read also:

  • German companies in Hungary worried about growing costs, decreasing consumption – read more HERE

Featured image: illustration, depositphotos.com

German companies in Hungary worried about growing costs, decreasing consumption

Hungarian economy worker industry

The latest survey conducted by the German-Hungarian Chamber of Industry and Commerce (DUIHK) shows worsening sentiment among companies.

Presenting the results of the biannual survey on Thursday, DUIHK communications director Dirk Wolfer said one in two companies indicated an unfavourable outlook for the Hungarian economy, and only one in ten augured improvement. The results show a “significant deterioration” compared to the survey in spring, he added.

One-third of the companies delivered a positive assessment of their own situations, although the rate reached 50pc among businesses in services, while the assessments of 19pc were negative.

More companies planned to cut, rather than raise, investment spending.

One-quarter plan to make new hires in the coming twelve months and 19pc plan to reduce headcount.

Around 73pc of companies said demand for the their products and services posed the biggest risk. Higher labour costs were a lesser challenge.

DUIHK chairman András Sávos noted that the survey of 262 companies had been conducted in October, before the US elections and the collapse of the German government.

According to hvg.hu, German companies in Hungary are especially worried because of the rule of law in Hungary, the rising costs and the low consumption of the Hungarians. Wages in Hungary grew by 66% between 2019 and 2024, which is a challenge for every company because their effectiveness did not increase by 66% in the past four years. Of course, the Hungarian workforce is still cheap. The hourly wage is EUR 13 compared to EUR 41-42 in Germany.

MOL petrochemicals business builds 48 MW solar park

Mol Petrolkémia, the petrochemicals business of Hungarian oil and gas company MOL, will build a 48 MW solar park, the managing director of MOL’s local business said at the unit’s base in Tiszaujvaros on Thursday. György Bacsa said the solar park, to be completed in Q2 2026, would meet 5pc of Mol Petrolkémia’s electricity needs. He put the investment cost at EUR 40m, to be paid for by the company.

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  • Hungarian man brutally murdered during brawl in Germany

Featured image: illustration

Airbnb letter: Tighter short-term rental rules serve to ease Budapest housing problem, says ministry

Budapest property real estate market housing

The National Economy Ministry responded to “misleading” points made in an open letter from Airbnb to the head of the portfolio, Márton Nagy, in a statement issued on Thursday.

The government recently announced an increase in the annual room tax on short-term rentals in the capital from HUF 38,400 to HUF 150,000 and rolled out a two-year moratorium on the registration of new Airbnb-type accommodations from the start of 2025 in the interests of “managing the housing crisis” in Budapest, the ministry noted. (Related: Airbnb pens open letter to Hungarian economy minister)

Terézváros Airbnb Budapest
Photo: FB/Soproni Tamás

Making a case for the measures, the ministry said the number of short-term rentals in the capital had climbed by 80pc between 2020 and 2024 and now stood close to 26,000. Those flats account for over 40pc of the guest nights registered in the capital, well over the 28pc average for capitals in the region, it added.

Parallel with the rise in homestays, rents have climbed over 40pc since the pandemic and now eat up as much as 50pc-60pc of occupants’ monthly incomes, the ministry said. Short-term rentals also “restrict the right to private life” of local residents, especially in the capital’s central districts, it added.

The ministry noted that the new rules apply only to short-term rentals in the capital.

Public consultation for new home renovation grants in small settlements

The National Economy Ministry and the Culture and Innovation Ministry on Thursday announced the start of public consultations on a programme to support home renovations in Hungary’s smallest settlements.

Under the programme, to launch from the start of next year, families with children in settlements with fewer than 5,000 residents may apply for up to HUF 3m of grant money to cover half of the cost of home renovation projects.

Around 400,000 families in some 2,900 settlements are eligible for participation in the scheme.

Ingatlan.com: Home prices rise 10pc in October

Home prices in Hungary rose 10pc year-on-year in October, listings site ingatlan.com said on Thursday.

Home prices in the capital came close to HUF 1,100,000/sqm, with new homes going for HUF 1,350,000/sqm and resale homes for HUF 1,080,000, on average.

In Debrecen, Hungary’s second-biggest city, home prices averaged HUF 853,000/sqm.

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Shocking: Stunning rise in Hungary’s housing prices outpaces all of Europe

Housing

According to recent data on housing, Hungary is now leading Europe in house price growth, a trend that has continued into the second quarter of 2024. The geographical pattern of price increases shows a higher rate of growth in Eastern EU Member States, while the stable, high price levels in Western Europe have seen comparatively less growth. This divergence partly reflects the levelling off of previously lower prices in the East, leading to greater convergence in the housing market.

Eurostat data indicate that Hungary has experienced particularly sharp price increases over the past decade. Among the Central and Eastern European countries, the increase has been remarkable—nearly 200 percent—roughly double that of the second-highest country in the region, Lithuania, which saw a 134 percent rise. According to Telex, this places Hungary at the forefront of house price growth not only in the region but across the EU as a whole.

Housing
Source: Pixabay

This boom reflects more than just market dynamics; it highlights Hungary’s status as a sought-after investment hotspot. Foreign and domestic investors are increasingly interested in Hungarian real estate, viewing it as a promising long-term investment due to the combination of rapid appreciation and favourable tax structures.

Housing cost burdens and economic disparities

While rising property values may seem a positive economic indicator, the downside is that housing affordability has become a serious concern for many Hungarians. For those with below-average incomes, housing costs now constitute a significant financial burden, comparable to levels in Western Europe. Hungarian households, for example, are spending an increasing share of their income on housing, approaching the expenditure patterns seen in wealthier countries such as Germany and the Czech Republic, where nearly half of the monthly incomes may be allocated to housing.

However, unlike in Western Europe, where higher incomes and stronger social safety nets can buffer the impact of rising housing costs, many Hungarians face these financial pressures on comparatively modest incomes. The median income in Hungary remains significantly lower than in Western Europe, which makes even a comparable level of housing expenditure feel far more burdensome.

Budapest Housing
Source: Pixabay

Income gap between Western and Eastern Europe

Although housing expenditure in Hungary now approaches that of Western countries, significant income disparities remain. Median incomes in Western European countries such as Germany, Switzerland, Austria, and the Benelux countries are more than twice as high as in Hungary, even when adjusted for purchasing power parity. Thus, while these countries may allocate a similar proportion of income to housing, they do so at a far higher standard of living.

The rising house prices in Hungary underscore a growing inequality within the EU housing market. While Eastern countries are catching up in property values, wages are not rising at the same rate, resulting in a cost-of-living squeeze. This trend means that housing is becoming a heavier burden in Hungary than in Western Europe, where incomes are much higher and the effects of rising housing costs are less acutely felt.

The data show that house price growth in Hungary has far outpaced the EU average over the last decade, significantly narrowing the price gap between Western and Eastern Europe. However, Hungarian wages remain low compared to the EU average, making housing costs a greater burden for Hungarian households than in Western Europe, where wages are far higher.

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Hungary’s 2025 budget to focus on housing support, family subsidies, and tax cuts, says minister🔄

the most expensive street in hungary hungarian parliament budapest sunrise

The 2025 budget will be the budget of the government’s “new economic policy”, Gergely Gulyás, the head of the Prime Minister’s Office, said at a regular press briefing on Thursday.

Government unveils 2025 budget

“We can realistically expect that peace will become achievable in Europe next year,” Gulyás said, adding that would pave the way for more money to go toward economic development, pay rises, housing and family subsidies.

He said the government would double tax allowances for families with children, roll out zero-interest credit for young workers, and introduce new housing subsidies in 2025, while launching the Demjan Sandor Progamme to scale up SMEs.

The 2025 budget “carves into stone” pensioners’ annual bonus, equivalent to a full month’s pension, while ensuring the resources necessary for family subsidies and the implementation of measures in the government’s 21-point economic policy action plan, he added.

Addressing talks between employers and unions on a three-year minimum wage agreement, Gulyás said the sides were “close to a deal”. The government has issued a mandate to the national economy minister to offer government support in reaching an agreement, if necessary, he added.

Gulyás: EU competitiveness pact ‘turnaround’

The European Union’s competitiveness pact, adopted at an informal EU summit held under Hungary’s presidency in Budapest last week, could “bring about a turnaround”, Gergely Gulyás said.

The bloc faces “countless” challenges and “Brussels is more often than not a part of the problem rather than of the solution, therefore it is crucial that member states come up with initiatives serving the whole of Europe,” Gulyás said. He added that Europe was lagging behind China and the United States because its competitiveness had declined.

Companies in Europe pay significantly more operating costs, especially energy, than companies in the US and China, he said.

EU regulations in the past decade had not taken competitiveness into account, he said, focusing instead on a “forced and senseless” green policy that did not serve environmental protection goals but harmed the European economy, he added.

“We do not believe the declaration adopted in Budapest will improve everything, but it will be inevitable to prioritise competitiveness” in decision-making, Gulyás said.

Meanwhile, Gulyás said that securing peace was in Europe’s interest, adding that “the US presidential election has triggered a need to speak about peace… From now on the United States will shift from the side of war to the pro-peace camp.”

Concerning bilateral ties with the US, Gulyás said: “The alliance between Hungary and the US has never been as strong as it will be after Donald Trump assumes office.” He said this was also indicated by symbolic gestures, noting that the Hungarian prime minister had been the first among European leaders to speak with the president-elect.

He said the “disruptive factors will also disappear” and “we are sure that the United States will have an ambassador to Hungary who has read the Vienna Convention and will work for good relations between the two governments.”

Regarding the 2025 budget submitted to parliament this week, Gulyás said the bill was a reflection of the government’s “new economic policy”.

“We can realistically expect that peace will become achievable in Europe next year,” Gulyás said, adding that this would pave the way for more money channelled towards economic development, pay rises, housing and family subsidies.

He noted the government plans to double the tax allowance for families with children, roll out zero-interest credit for young workers, and introduce new housing subsidies in 2025, while launching the Demjan Sandor Progamme to scale up small and medium-sized businesses.

The 2025 budget “carves into stone” pensioners’ annual bonus, equivalent to a full month’s pension, while ensuring the resources necessary for family subsidies and the implementation of measures in the government’s 21-point economic policy action plan, he added.

Addressing talks between employers and unions on a three-year minimum wage agreement, Gulyás said the sides were “close to a deal”. The government has issued a mandate to the national economy minister to offer government support in reaching an agreement, if necessary, he added.

He said the goal was for an average gross wage of 1 million forints and a minimum wage of 400,000 in Hungary in the next few years.

Gulyás said the government would raise the amount of housing support employers may offer their workers with tax preferences. He said such measures supported government efforts to ensure housing affordability.

Gulyás said the government planned to press on with its scheme to raise teachers’ salaries next year, “to help teachers earn wages that reflect the importance of their profession”.

He said it was important to raise wages in water management, too, and pledged a 30 percent hike.

Government spokeswoman Eszter Vitalyos said the government will launch some 300 new infrastructure projects next year worth a combined 8,100 billion forints. She added that the projects earmarked for 2025 will cost the treasury 480 billion forints. Among them, she mentioned improvements along the Debrecen-Nyiregyhaza railway line, development of a major highway connecting the same two cities, the addition of new campuses at Pazmany Peter Catholic University and Obuda University, as well as upgrading Debrecen’s water supply and the sewerage system in Karcag.

Meanwhile, asked about leaked audio recordings of Peter Magyar in the leader of the opposition Tisza Party used “foul language to describe his own followers”, Gulyás said it was “obvious” that “Magyar deeply despises and looks down on his own voters”.

“Honouring the will of the voters is a fundamental requirement for participation in politics; voters’ trust cannot be earned otherwise,” he said.

“We learned from none other than the party leader himself that representatives of foreign interests are in the European Parliament and in the Tisza Party,” Gulyás said. He said it was in the country’s interest that Hungary was represented by MEPs “who can, notwithstanding any domestic dispute, promote the national interest”.

Asked about his past relationship with Magyar, Gulyás said there had been things the two of them had agreed and disagreed on, “but we were in full agreement that he’s insane”.

Asked to comment on Magyar’s insistence that he was being bugged and that the government was using AI to create damaging content about him, Gulyás said: “These are claims that come from insanity.” He said there was no evidence to back up Magyar’s claims, and the government had never and would never use the secret services to spy on its opponents.

Gulyás said Evelin Vogel, Magyar’s former partner, had never received any assignments from Fidesz. He said he also had no knowledge of Vogel having received any assignments from companies linked to Fidesz, “but I’m also reading the news reports about this, and the statements made in the press are clear”.

He rejected Magyar’s allegation that the government operated “a private secret service of its own”. “The Hungarian government has a regular secret service operating within the constitutional framework; we have no other secret service,” he said.

Gulyás dismissed opinion polls indicating the Tisza Party was ahead of Fidesz, saying that such pollsters did not gauge public opinion but tried to shape politics. He also cast aside a report suggesting that the government had ordered a poll measuring the suitability of Magyar and Orban for the post of prime minister.

On the hacker attack against the Defence Procurement Agency, Gulyás said the agency had been breached by a hostile, non-state foreign hacking group, adding that the agency did not handle any sensitive data related to the military infrastructure, so no such data could be acquired by the hackers.

He said the investigation was still under way, but based on the reports so far, no highly sensitive military data had been accessed. Responding to another question, he reiterated that the data acquired included encrypted data and procurement data, but the agency’s records did not contain sensitive data related to the national defence structure.

Meanwhile, regarding a possible bilateral economic package between Hungary and the US, Gulyás confirmed that the US ratification of the double taxation treaty was part of it, adding that he could not say any more for now, but the goal was for both Hungary and the US to end up better off with the pact.

Regarding energy trade, Gulyás said the security of supply was served by obtaining energy from as many sources as possible, and if several sources were available, then “we are sensitive to price; if we can buy energy for cheaper or for as much as we are buying it now, then we would be happy to buy it from anyone.”

Gulyás said that US companies had treated Hungary reasonably and fairly, so Hungary had been an attractive investment environment for US investors in recent years, notwithstanding “the openly hostile US administration that cancelled [the] double taxation [agreement]”, Gulyás said.

He said the US president-elect had made pledges that could have a negative impact on the European economy, including the Hungarian economy. But the government’s aim was to conclude a pact with the US that would also benefit Europe, he said. “We don’t want to reach an agreement at the expense of Europe.”

Answering a question, Gulyás said he was not authorised to say what the Hungarian prime minister had discussed with Trump regarding Ukraine or what the US president-elect planned.

Regarding the Russia-Ukraine war, he said Hungary was unlikely to fundamentally shape the thinking of the US leadership in this area as the two countries were of such different weights, but government representatives were talking to those who would play a leading role in the new administration, he said.

Gulyás said the future US administration would pursue its own China policy, but friendship between the two leaders would not entail the two states following exactly the same policies.

“We have to prioritise Hungarian interests, and the Hungarian — and European — interest is to trade with China,” he said, adding that trade is also in the interest of the US as “they would be in big trouble if China chose not to finance the US debt”.

The question, he said, was what a new US tariff policy would serve: a temporary volume reduction or the preparation of a larger Chinese-US agreement. He said he would not rule out either eventuality.

Gulyás also noted that Trump was critical of both Germany and China because there was a US trade deficit with both states.

Gulyás dismissed reports that Orban had attended a private event held by the US president-elect as “fake news”.

Asked about a peace deal that would leave NATO membership open to Ukraine and guarantee the restoration of its sovereignty in eastern Ukraine and Crimea, Gulyás said nobody had questioned that Russia was committing acts of aggression against Ukraine and that it had violated international law. The occupied territories would therefore not be recognised as Russian, he said. The chance of peace, he added, had shot up since Trump’s election.

At the same time, “there is a military reality”. Most experts agreed that time was on Russia’s side, he said. “This means peace is in Ukraine’s interest too. The only alternative would be if NATO intervened, but even the Biden administration rejected that.”

The main issue is the nature of guarantees that Ukraine could be given to ensure that Russia would not repeat the attack “or go even further”, Gulyás said.

Meanwhile, commenting on antifa demonstrators’ attack on a reporter of Hungarian HirTV, Gulyás said Brussels had “issues with security and freedom”. “It’s no wonder that reporters can’t work freely in a place where events organised by conservative parties are banned by the mayor himself,” Gulyás said, referring to a conference scheduled and cancelled before the European parliamentary elections. “Today, Brussels is not part of the free world,” he said.

Asked about the hearings of European commissioner candidate Oliver Varhelyi in the European Parliament, Gulyás said the process had been drawn out due to the EP’s “well-known hatred for Hungarians”.

Regarding the government crisis in Germany, Gulyás said a new government could have a positive impact on Hungary’s economy. In the upcoming snap elections, the conservative Christian Democrats and Christian Socialists (CDU-CSU) were expected to forge an alliance with the Social Democratic Party (SPD), he said, adding that he expected a CDU/CSU-led government to have a “better economic policy”.

Whereas last week’s EU summit made no decisions on changing climate policy goals, a German government without the Greens, “more linked to the economy”, would create a new situation “and put the matter on the table again”, he said.

Commenting on attacks on Israeli football fans in Amsterdam, Gulyás said anti-Semitism was rooted in migration, not in the war Israel was fighting. “Where migration is not rejected, anti-Semitism cannot be curbed,” he said, adding this was the reason why Jews were safe in central Europe, especially in Hungary.

The management of migration had always brought about a rejection of European cultural traditions, Gulyás said. “It’s clear that migration brings about a new system of laws, anti-Semitism, a rejection of European family law, and rough and aggressive homophobia,” he said.

Commenting on the elections in Romania, Gulyás said proposed changes to Szekler Land’s public administration would “separate Hungarian communities from one another and turn a Hungarian majority into a minority”. He called on Transylvanian Hungarians to vote at the Dec 1 elections to thwart those plans.

Regarding Hungary’s access to the EU’s Erasmus and Horizon programmes, Gulyás said an anti-corruption law could not be used to “take away Erasmus grants from a country”.

Gulyás said the procedure was legally baseless. “The law doesn’t count for anything any more in Brussels,” he declared, adding that Hungarian students had been stripped of their grants while “certain third-country students” were enjoying them instead.

Government Spokeswoman Eszter Vitalyos said the government established the Pannonia and HU-rizont grant schemes to take the place of Erasmus. In 2024, 10 billion forints was earmarked for the Pannonia programme, with 1,600 students already granted trips and 1,500-2,000 applications under review, she said. This half-year, some 3,000 students are expected to join, she added.

On the topic of wage hikes for judges, Gulyás said the justice minister had been instructed to start talks with the National Office of the Judiciary, the National Judicial Council and the Supreme Court on a long-term wage agreement. “As far as I know, we are on the cusp of an agreement,” he added. Judges would receive “reliable and substantial” hikes over three years, amounting to over 50 percent by the start of 2027, he said. Other judicial employees, “who currently have tragically bad salaries”, would get larger hikes, he added.

On the issue of pensions, Gulyás said pension hikes last year exceeded inflation, and the government was working to maintain that trend, partly by enshrining 13th month pensions in law. They will also pay pension supplements if economic growth surpasses 3.5 percent, he added.

Asked about the forint exchange rate, he said the matter was under the central bank’s purview. Gulyás said the government had no target rate but aimed to avoid hectic gyrations.

Put to him that the 2025 draft budget calculated with 397.5 forints to the euro, Gulyás said: “Looking at last year’s exchange rate, that seems a mostly realistic estimate,” adding that the budget was yet to come into force.

Commenting on a Habitat for Humanity survey on housing poverty, Gulyás said: “excluding NGOs financed by [American financier] George Soros, barely any surveys condemn Hungary.” According to EU reports, the ratio of those living under the poverty line had fallen to 10 percent from 35 percent in 2010, he said. “Hungary probably has more people living in poverty than that … so the government still has its work cut out.” Meanwhile, 1.1 million more people have a job now than in 2010, he added.

Meanwhile, the government’s investment programmes had lifted regions such as those around Debrecen and Nyiregyhaza — “which were definitely among the most backward in 2010” — to become some of the most developed areas in the country, he said. Now investments would have to target the south of the country, he added.

Put to him that electricity had been the most expensive in Hungary in the EU in the past few days, Gulyás said: “No one is buying electricity at the fixed exchange rate in Hungary; neither companies nor households. So reports that electricity was the dearest in Hungary is basically fake news. In reality, Hungarian households are paying the least for electricity in the EU.”

Gulyás: Employer housing support thresholds to rise

The government will raise the amount of housing support, with tax preferences, that employers may offer their workers, Gulyás said.

Tax preferences on the employer housing support will apply to a monthly HUF 150,000 per employee, or HUF 1,800,000 per year, on top of the HUF 450,000 annual sum allowed under existing rules, Gulyás said.

Employees under 35 are eligible for the support for rent or home loan repayments, he added.

He noted that the tax preferences on the HUF 150,000 of monthly housing support would be equivalent to those for employer top-ups for the SZEP voucher card.

Gulyás said the measure would support government efforts to ensure housing affordability.

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Hungary calls for stronger Visegrád cooperation and economic integration at V4 Business Conference

szijjártó slovakia visegrád four

Hungary is ready to develop further the successful cooperation among the Visegrád Group — Hungary, Czechia, Poland and Slovakia — and strengthen trade and economic ties, Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Péter Szijjártó said at a conference in Budapest on Thursday.

Addressing the Visegrád 4 Business Conference, Szijjártó called V4 cooperation an “important element” of Hungary’s foreign policy strategy, his ministry said in a statement. He added that the V4 had improved the positions of its members on the European stage.

He warned against initiatives in the EU to decouple the economies of the East and the West and pointed to the V4’s earlier negative experience with blocs. Isolation can cause “serious damage” to Europe’s economy, he said, adding that Hungary was an advocate for connectivity and had adopted a policy of economic neutrality.

He said Hungary had become a “meeting point” for investments from the East and the West and was home to manufacturing bases of all three premium German car brands and five of the ten biggest Asian battery makers.

He said the V4 should concentrate on “pragmatic issues” and noted that Slovakia was now Hungary’s second-biggest trade partner, while Poland was the third-biggest and Czechia the sixth-biggest.

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Hungarian government introduces zero-interest loans for young Hungarian workers as part of new economic policy

forint hungarian central bank minimum wage loans

The National Economy Ministry on Wednesday announced the launch of public consultations on a government scheme to offer young Hungarian workers zero-interest loans.

The ten-year loans up to HUF 4m (EUR 9,800), available to working, non-graduates between the ages of 17 and 25, will be available from the start of 2025. The scheme could support career starters with around HUF 500bn, the ministry said.

Borrowers must work at least 20 hours a week, under contract or as an entrepreneur. They must also pledge to continue to work in Hungary for a period of at least five years.

Women who take out the loans will get a two-year grace period after the birth of their first child. Half of the loan’s principal will be forgiven after the birth of a second child and the full amount after the birth of a third.

The scheme is part of the government’s New Economic Policy Action Plan which seeks to boost Hungarians’ purchasing power, ensure affordable housing and scale up SMEs.

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Featured image: depositphotos.com

Hungarian national economy minister meets with banking association representatives

márton nagy hungary minister Hungarian economy Hungarian national economy minister

National Economy Minister Márton Nagy met with representatives of the Hungarian Banking Association on Tuesday to discuss lenders’ participation in a government stimulus programme.

National economy minister meets representatives

The sides discussed a voluntary 5pc ceiling on home mortgage APRs, facilitating subsidised loans for young Hungarian workers, digitalisation of SZÉP voucher cards, the use of SZÉP card balances for home renovation, technical steps allowing tax-free tipping, efforts to boost SME lending, beefing up property funds to ensure affordable housing, limits on free cash withdrawals and employer housing support, the National Economy Ministry said.

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Forint’s freefall: The dollar and euro take a toll on Hungary’s economy

dollar usd forint huf currency economy

The Hungarian forint is facing significant challenges, continuing its rapid depreciation against both the euro and the dollar. On Monday, the forint hit a two-year low against the dollar, while the euro also reached a record high, fueled by global economic factors and U.S. fiscal policies under Donald Trump. This decline comes at a time when Hungary’s economy is entering a recession, putting further pressure on the forint. With low interest rates and international market instability, the currency’s future remains uncertain, raising concerns about the extent of its weakening.

The Hungarian currency is facing a severe depreciation, hitting alarming lows against both the euro and the dollar. On Monday afternoon, the euro surged to a two-year high, reaching over 411 forints, before slightly retracing to around 410, Telex reported. This marks a continuation of the steep decline that began in late September, with the Hungarian currency also hitting a historic low against the Polish zloty, according to Portfolio.

The U.S. dollar is performing exceptionally

dollar usd forint huf currency economy
Photo: depositphotos.com

The forint’s weakening is largely tied to the robust performance of the U.S. dollar, which has reached a six-month high against the euro and a two-year peak against the Hungarian currency. The dollar’s rise, particularly in the wake of Donald Trump’s victory, is driven by expectations of expansive fiscal policies, which may generate inflationary pressure and force the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates. This strengthens the dollar, especially in a global economic environment where most countries are cutting interest rates to revive their economies.

The euro’s weakness is not solely due to the dollar’s strength. The ongoing challenges within the Eurozone, including concerns about Germany’s sluggish economy and the potential impact of Trump’s planned tariffs, are also weighing heavily on the euro. These tariffs are expected to reduce demand for European goods, diminishing the euro’s appeal among investors. Furthermore, the political instability in Germany under Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s leadership is further undermining confidence in the Eurozone.

Very few encouraging signs for the forint

For Hungary, the strong dollar presents a major challenge. The U.S. currency’s dominance often leads to a pullback of capital from emerging markets, including Hungary, as investors seek the safety and high yields of the U.S. economy, Világgazdaság explains. On top of this, Hungary’s domestic economic situation is not helping the forint. Recent GDP data show the Hungarian economy has entered a recession, leading to expectations of looser monetary policies. While lower interest rates may help stimulate the economy, they also weaken the forint further.

With the forint now at a two-year low against the dollar, touching 385.88 forints per dollar, questions arise about the future of Hungary’s currency. The Hungarian National Bank (Magyar Nemzeti Bank, MNB) faces a delicate balancing act, as further rate cuts may risk even steeper depreciation of the forint, without any clear exchange rate targets to guide its decisions. The currency’s value is poised to remain volatile, as both international and domestic factors continue to push it downward.

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Featured image: depositphotos.com

Only once in 22 years has the October general government deficit been bigger than now

Daily News Hungary Logo Új

The Finance Ministry released preliminary data on Monday showing that Hungary’s cash flow-based general government deficit reached EUR 7.45bn (HUF 3,050.5bn) at the end of October.

At the end of the month, the central budget had a deficit of EUR 7.44bn (HUF 3,048.5bn), the social security funds were HUF 199.0bn in the red, and separate state funds were HUF 197.0bn in the black.

Alone in October, the general government deficit came to EUR 1,04bn (HUF 427.0bn).

“The impact of unfavourable circumstances in the global economy can be felt in Hungary’s economic performance,” the ministry said.

“After a temporary slowdown, Hungary’s economy will be on a sustained growth path and could be at the forefront in the European Union growth ranking in 2025, providing the foundation for a strengthening fiscal balance,” it added.

Interest expenditures came to HUF 3,198.5bn in January-October, climbing by HUF 899.6bn from the base period, the ministry said, noting that the fall in forint interest rates started in 2023 was showing up in cash flow-based interest expenditures with a delay.

It added that interest expenditures will show a “clear decline” from 2025.

Budget spending on EU-supported projects reached HUF 1,299.6bn in January-October, while transfers from Brussels reached just EUR 2.44bn (HUF 999.8bn).

The ministry reaffirmed the government’s commitment to improving balance indicators and bringing the general government deficit down to 4.5pc in 2024, 3.7pc in 2025 and to under 3pc in 2026.

As we wrote today, Hungary’s 2025 economic action plan unveiled, €9.8 billion to counter economic downturn

read also: Forint strengthened, but the EUR/HUF exchange rate may exceed 500 in 2025

How PM Orbán’s tax treaty plans could benefit Hungarian expats in the U.S.

usa flag tax treaty

Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s recent proposal may offer relief for Hungarians living and working in the U.S., particularly those with dividend and bond investments. The announcement aired Sunday night on Hungary’s TV2 Tények and included plans to renegotiate the U.S.-Hungary double taxation treaty as part of a broader economic agreement with the United States.

Hungary’s Finance Minister, Mihály Varga, noted that a Trump victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election could open doors for reestablishing the double taxation treaty. Initially signed in 1979, this arrangement allowed U.S.-based Hungarians to avoid paying taxes in both countries. Since its termination, Hungarian citizens working in the U.S. have faced increased tax obligations. The last date for the treaty’s application was 31 December 2023, with the new tax rules coming into effect as of 1 January 2024.

New tax treaty between Hungary and the US?

As we wrote yesterday, PM Orbán revealed his intention to renew the double taxation agreement between Hungary and the U.S., which the U.S. government unilaterally terminated in mid-2022. According to Orbán, renegotiating this treaty could benefit Hungarians abroad by potentially reducing their tax burdens. The Hungarian prime minister also emphasised his hope for cooperation on “several significant economic issues” with former U.S. President Donald Trump, should he return to office.

Orbán commented,

“There are a few things that the current U.S. administration mishandled, such as not renewing the double taxation treaty with Hungary once it expired. This needs to be addressed.”

However, he cautioned against viewing any potential cooperation with the U.S. as a “saviour” relationship, suggesting instead that Hungary should view the U.S. as an “ally” in shared economic interests.

Read also: Tax changes in 2025 in Hungary: Airbnb tax skyrockets, currency conversion fee remains, plane tickets may be cheaper

Who will benefit if the tax treaty is renewed?

  • Dividend Investors: Hungarian investors in U.S. stocks currently pay a withholding tax of 30% in the U.S., along with an additional 5% Hungarian income tax.
  • Bond Investors: Hungarians earning interest on U.S.-based bonds face a combined 35% tax burden (30% U.S. withholding tax plus 5% Hungarian tax). For purchases made after 1 July 2023, there is also a 13% social contribution tax applied to interest income.
  • Hungarians Earning Salaries in the U.S.: Regardless of tax residency, Hungarians working in the U.S. are subject to U.S. taxes and must also pay Hungarian personal income tax. They can offset their Hungarian tax liability by up to 90% of what they paid in the U.S., provided that their U.S. tax rate exceeds 17%. If it falls below that threshold, they are required to pay the difference in Hungary. Managing these tax requirements has proven challenging, as taxpayers must complete and file their Hungarian returns manually.

What’s next?

As Orbán’s administration pursues potential economic agreements with the U.S., Hungarian expats in America remain hopeful for an updated tax treaty. A renewed agreement could bring financial relief and streamline tax obligations, particularly for those navigating complex U.S.-Hungary tax rules.

Read also:

How Viktor Orbán’s son-in-law capitalised on tax breaks to dominate Hungary’s rich list!

Forint strengthened, but the EUR/HUF exchange rate may exceed 500 in 2025

Bad news came from the Hungarian economy again: industry in trouble

Hungarian economy worker industry

Output of Hungary’s industrial sector fell 7.2pc in September, a first reading of data released by the Central Statistics Office (KSH) on Wednesday shows. Meanwhile, retail sales in Hungary rose 1.7pc year-on-year in September, data released by the Central Statistics Office (KSH) on Thursday show

Hungarian economy overdependent on the German economy

Adjusted for the number of workdays, output was down 5.4pc. Output of most manufacturing branches declined in September, KSH said. Among the biggest, output of the automotive, electrical equipment, and computer, electronics and optical equipment segments decreased, but output of the food, beverage and tobacco segment increased, it added.

In a month-on-month comparison, output slipped 0.7pc, on a seasonally- and workday-adjusted basis. For the period January-September, industrial output declined 4.3pc year-on-year. KSH will release detailed data on output of industrial sector branches on November 13.

In a statement issued after the release of the data, the National Economy Ministry said the sluggish external economy, especially Germany’s troubled industrial sector, and weak external demand continued to weigh on Hungary’s industrial output. It pointed to growth in output of the food industry as a positive.

Hungarian economy worker industry
Illustration. The building of the new BYD plant near Debrecen. Photo: MTI

Hungary’s overdependence on the German economy shows the government’s policy of economic neutrality is the right solution, the ministry said. Hungary needs to strengthen further its economic ties with the East, where economies are growing at a much faster pace than in the West which is struggling with competitiveness problems, it added.

Local investments in the pipeline by CATL, BYD, BMW, SEMCORP and EcoPro can give new impetus to Hungary’s industrial sector, it said. Stimulus in the government’s New Economic Policy Action Plan is expected to boost consumption and investments, as well as industry, lifting GDP growth over 3pc in 2025.

Retail sales rise 1.7pc in September

Retail sales in Hungary rose 1.7pc year-on-year in September, data released by the Central Statistics Office (KSH) on Thursday show. Retail sales climbed at the same pace when adjusted for calendar year effects. Adjusted food sales increased 1.5pc, non-food sales rose 5.7pc and vehicle fuel sales fell 5.0pc.

Retail sales declined 1.4pc in a month-on-month comparison, adjusted for seasonal and calendar year effects. KSH noted that flooding during the period had impacted sales. In absolute terms, retail sales came to HUF 1,568bn in September. Food sales accounted for 49pc of the total, non-food sales for 36pc and sales at petrol stations for 15pc.

For the period January-September, retail sales rose an adjusted 2.7pc and an unadjusted 2.9pc from the same period a year earlier. Commenting on the data after its release, the National Economy Ministry said the month-on-month decline was in large part due to the flooding. It noted that retail sales had edged lower during a period of flooding in 2013, too, but had rebound afterward.

Consumer behaviour was unchanged and the domestic recovery continued in September, it added. The ministry said data from tills connected to the tax office indicated retail sales were strong in October, as in August.

Read also:

  • Thousands of families in crisis before Christmas: biggest Hungarian steel works cannot pay – read more HERE

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Forint strengthened, but the EUR/HUF exchange rate may exceed 500 in 2025

Hungarian forint state budget historic lows

After Donald Trump’s victory, the Hungarian forint started to fall and reached even 412/EUR, which was a 2-year maximum. The same trend was happening in the case of the dollar-forint exchange rate level. Later, the forint began to strengthen, and now it is at 407/EUR.

One euro may cost 500 forints in 2025

According to experts discussing the future of the Hungarian economy and the forint at the Portfolio Investment Day 2024 conference, Trump’s economic policy would cause three times as big budget deficit than the Democrat administration. The consequence will be higher interest rates siphoning money from emerging markets like Hungary and the entire Central European region.

In trade, Trump may initiate new trade wars, which would also harm Europe and strengthen the dollar. Péter Virovácz, a leading analyst of ING Bank, said that by mid-2025, the dollar-euro rate can become 0.98, which would cause a euro/forint rate above 500.

forint huf
Will that sum be only EUR 4 in 2025? Photo: Pexels

The Hungarian National Bank remained calm

Although Portfolio wrote about a possible base interest rate increase, the Hungarian National Bank remained calm despite the weakening forint.

The Monetary Council of the National Bank of Hungary discussed a single option, to keep the base rate on hold, in line with a “careful, patient and stability-oriented approach”, at a monthly policy meeting in October, the minutes from the meeting show, MTI wrote.

The Council members voted unanimously to keep the base rate on hold at 6.50pc at the meeting on October 22.

Members highlighted that deteriorating international investor sentiment and volatile commodity prices posed upside risks to domestic inflation and said the moderation in the external interest rate environment was likely to continue at a slower pace than previously expected, the minutes show.

“There was a consensus among decision makers that, given the increase in upside risks to inflation, careful and patient monetary policy was still warranted looking ahead,” according to the minutes. “Members in general reaffirmed their commitment to the importance of cautious, data-driven and stability-oriented decision-making.”

Forint at 407/EUR

The forint strengthened in the second half of this week. Currently, it is at 407/EUR.

According to MTI, the forint traded at 406.52 to the euro around 5:30 in the evening on Friday, softening from 404.68 late Thursday. The forint slipped to 379.15 from 375.15 against the dollar. It eased to 433.36 from 429.91 to the Swiss franc.

Read also:

  • Trump’s victory threatens forint with collapse, Orbán cabinet happy and congratulates – read more HERE
  • U.S. presidential election pushes forint to 2-year low

Hungarian government: ‘peace budget’ ready after Trump’s victory, parliament to discuss it on Monday

Hungary's peace budget submitted (Copy)

The Fiscal Council said the government’s 2025 budget draft was “credible” and “feasible”, while highlighting some risks, in an opinion issued on Thursday.

Fiscal Council about the so-called peace budget

The Council said the 3.4pc GDP growth assumed in the budget draft was achievable, but pointed to risks posed by the war in Ukraine and European sanctions. Lower than anticipated growth could put the 3.7pc-of-GDP general government deficit target at risk as budget revenue underperforms, it added.

The Council said the targeted reduction in state debt to 72.6pc by end-2025 from 73.2pc at the end of 2024 was “realistic”, but noted that sensitivity to exchange rate risk had increased as the ratio of FX debt approached 30pc.

In a separate statement, the Finance Ministry acknowledged the Council’s opinion and said the 2025 budget bill would be submitted to lawmakers on Monday.

Hungary's peace budget submitted (Copy)
Photo: FB/Mihály Varga

The Hungarian parliament accepted the annual budget almost a year before in the last 14 years. That means the 2024 budget was accepted in 2023 May. The only exception was 2025 when the Orbán cabinet said they would only submit the budget after the American presidential elections. That is because the Orbán cabinet believes only Trump can bring peace to Eastern Europe, so a peace budget can only be drafted if he is the president starting next January.

Finance Minister Mihály Varga addressed the Figyelő Top 200 gala

Finance Minister Mihály Varga addressed the Figyelo Top 200 gala in Budapest late Thursday. Varga said the performance of the country’s business sector had been “impressive”, adding that the annual revenue threshold for inclusion on the Figyelo Top 200 list had climbed to HUF 90bn from HUF 35bn ten years earlier. He added that Hungary’s economic success was supported by the government’s policy of cooperation in the domestic economy and connectivity on external markets.

He said the government’s Eastern Opening policy had brought record FDI to the country. Assessing the results of the United States elections, Varga said Donald Trump’s victory could advance international processes supporting peace, limiting migration and improving the appraisal of national sovereignty. He added that improved relations between Hungary and the US could pave the way for the reinstatement of the double taxation avoidance agreement between the countries that was unilaterally terminated by the Democratic Party administration.

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  • Infrastructure upgrades announced: 2 new lanes will be added to busy Hungarian motorway – read more HERE
  • Expansion of M1 motorway in Hungary reaches a new milestone – PHOTOS and more in THIS article

Thousands of families in crisis before Christmas: biggest Hungarian steel works cannot pay

Thousands of families in crisis before Christmas biggest Hungarian steel works cannot pay

The government resolutely urges Liberty Steel to pay wages due to Duna Steel Works employees in line with its legal obligations, the national economy ministry said on Thursday.

The Liberty group received significant government support until last June, which helped save jobs and families’ livelihoods, the statement said.

The Indian-British company group has so far failed to fulfil its promises to develop the steel works or its obligation to restart production, it said. Instead, it had made repeated false promises in the recent period, it added.

Dunaferr steel works Hungary
Dunaferr. The main gate in Dunaújváros. Photo: Creative Commons CC BY-SA 3.0

The current owner of the Duna Steel Works has claimed that it cannot afford to pay the wages of several thousand workers, “which is unacceptable”, the ministry said.

The government is ready to intervene to protect the workers, and if necessary it can again offer help from the Wage Guarantee Fund, the ministry said.

Thousands of families in crisis before Christmas biggest Hungarian steel works cannot pay
Photo: FB/Tamás Pintér

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