Hungary to become the first in epidemic forecasting?!

Hungary might be the first country to develop a defence strategy based on ecological principles.

Climate change facilitates the settlement of several pathogens to new areas and new organisms, thereby encouraging the emergence of epidemics in humans, domestic animals and crops.

However, the spread of pathogens can be stopped by special ecological methods – including the so-called DAMA protocol – whose application might be realised first by Hungary.

In addition to climate change, urbanization and globalization also have a positive effect on the survival and spread of pathogens. The recently emerging diseases are considered to be ecological problems; furthermore, in practical terms, today it means security threat for every country – especially for inhabitants of technologically advanced large cities. 

Since we cannot stop or reverse the phenomenon, it is essential to be prepared for the most significant impacts and work out an appropriate defence strategy. One way to realise this is the development of defence strategies based on ecological principles. The Ecological Research Center is the first to use the so-called DAMA (Document, Assess, Check, Act) protocol in practice.

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As the Hungarian news portal magyarnemzet.hu reports,

the procedure enables professionals to document and analyse by molecular biological methods, the spread and ecological distribution of pathogens and vertebrate hosts.

Their survivability and the risk of infection will be easily determined in the modern world surrounded by environmental conditions. The concept was developed by an international expert team, based on the work of Daniel R. Brooks, an American professor who spent most of his time in Hungary in the last 10 years.