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“Even with our support, they couldn’t do anything”: Kremlin reportedly prepares for possible Orbán defeat
The Kremlin is reportedly no longer treating Viktor Orbán’s re-election as a certainty, with sources close to Russia’s presidential administration telling independent Russian outlet Meduza that Moscow is now actively preparing for the possibility of a Fidesz defeat in Sunday’s Hungarian parliamentary election.
According to the report, early expectations inside the Kremlin were that Orbán’s party could still recover and win the national party-list vote. When that became less likely, Russian strategists reportedly shifted their hopes to victories in Hungary’s single-member constituencies. Now, however, even that fallback scenario is no longer seen as guaranteed.
One source cited by Meduza said Moscow now accepts that even district-level success may fail to materialise.
This aligns with the latest independent polling trends, which continue to show Péter Magyar’s Tisza party ahead of Fidesz just days before the vote. Reuters reported that Tisza still leads among decided voters, reinforcing the sense that Orbán is facing the most serious threat to his 16-year rule.
Russian media already has a post-election narrative ready
One of the most politically explosive claims in the Meduza report is that state-controlled Russian media has already prepared a fallback explanation if Orbán loses.
According to both a Kremlin-linked strategist and a source familiar with the thinking in Moscow, a Fidesz defeat would likely be framed by Russian propaganda channels as an EU-orchestrated “colour revolution” rather than a straightforward democratic defeat.
The same sources claimed that while Orbán’s campaign is not directly managed from Vladimir Putin’s presidential office, it has allegedly received “assistance” with its social media operations, particularly around messaging and online image-building.
Western media outlets, including the Financial Times and The Washington Post, have previously reported on alleged Russian efforts to boost Orbán’s ratings through online disinformation and attacks on Tisza, although both the Kremlin and the Russian embassy in Budapest have denied any interference.
Putin may blame Orbán if Fidesz loses
Perhaps the most remarkable detail from the Meduza report is the suggestion that Putin himself would hold Orbán and his inner circle responsible for a loss.
One source summarised the mood bluntly:
“Even with our support, they couldn’t do anything.”
In recent years, Orbán has widely been viewed as one of Putin’s most important allies inside the European Union, particularly on sanctions, Ukraine policy and institutional veto power.
Thus, a defeat on Sunday would not only transform Hungary’s domestic politics, but could also represent a major geopolitical setback for the Kremlin’s influence in Europe.
Why this matters for Hungary’s election in 2 days
With the election now just two days away, the Meduza claims are likely to intensify the already grave debate over foreign influence in Hungary’s campaign.
The context makes the story especially significant: several recent projections suggest Tisza could even be heading toward a constitutional two-thirds majority, potentially ending the Orbán era in the most dramatic political shift since 2010. Reuters this week cited a Medián projection putting Tisza well above the supermajority threshold.
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Still waiting for the page to update on Mr. Magyars alleged drug fuelled s*x romp:
https://radnaimark.hu
Tovarishi konyec
Who are the warmongers? The Europeans, or just the USA and Russia, Orban’s peace doves? Orban is a terrible liar, and anyone who wants to can see it.
Spain’s position on Trump’s ultimatum!
Albarez said ensuring free navigation in the Strait of Hormuz is beyond NATO’s scope. The foreign minister emphasized that the allies had not been informed of the US plans and had not been consulted.
“NATO is not involved in this war. The Middle East is not in NATO’s sphere of action, and that is why not only we, but many allies have expressed the same opinion: NATO will not participate in this war,” the minister emphasized.
The statements came in response to pressure from US President Donald Trump, who is demanding more action from allies in the region. Trump has previously criticized the Alliance for inaction and even threatened to withdraw the US from the organization.
Despite Spain’s resistance, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte is trying to encourage member states to create a special mission. The U.S. expects concrete steps from partners to unblock the strait, where about 2,000 ships are now blocked.
Because of the lack of consensus within NATO, Britain has begun forming a separate “coalition of the willing.” More than 40 countries are already ready to join it in order to restore the safety of navigation bypassing the official structures of the Alliance.
But not with Hungary and Slovakia. They currently prefer to remain within Russia’s sphere of influence.
In Madrid’s view, a unified army is the only way for the “middle powers” in the EU to assert their rights.
Spain is ready to contribute to the creation of a unified European army, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said at the European Pulse, his speech was published by the Europa Press agency. According to Sanchez, a unified army is the only way for the “middle powers” in the European Union to assert their rights.
“We are ready to move towards the creation of a unified European army. Not in 10 years, not in two years, but tomorrow,” he said.
Sanchez said joining a common European army is not a matter of desire. “These days, the ‘middle powers’ that are part of the EU have only one way to declare themselves safe and secure: create a common defense and jointly address our invulnerabilities. Otherwise, we will allow the rest of the world to take advantage of these vulnerabilities,” he said.
Politico reported earlier that members of the Volt Europa party in the European Parliament proposed that EU leaders create a common army.
Has Orban backed the wrong horse?
Discontent with Trump’s war in Iran is growing, even among Republicans. Supporters of the US president are sharply criticizing his actions, as an analysis of thousands of comments on Trump’s platform, TruthSocial, shows.
That US Democrats condemn Donald Trump’s war policy comes as no surprise. But now, voices are increasingly being raised among MAGA voters as well, vehemently criticizing the president’s actions in Iran.
Thousands of users expressed their anger at their idol on Trump’s platform, “TruthSocial.” This is the conclusion of recent analyses by the “New York Times” (NYT). The focus was on the latest posts of numerous TruthSocial users.
Journalists from the newspaper evaluated more than 40,000 comments on Trump’s Iran policy. According to the analysis, over half of all reactions to Trump’s warning over Easter weekend that “the entire civilization of Iran will perish” were negative.
One user accused the US president of “bloodlust” and wrote: “I am frankly deeply shaken.” Only about 25 percent of the comments supported the Republican’s rhetoric. This is all the more remarkable given that TruthSocial users are predominantly loyal Trump supporters.
This is what a former Austrian Chancellor (see below) says, who has consistently emphasized and defended Austria’s independence and neutrality. He has always vehemently rejected attempts, both domestic and international, to change this.
So, unfortunately, he’s just another free rider who only wants to gain an advantage at the expense of others by relying on NATO’s help without contributing anything himself. Let others pay for Austria’s security, he says. You can demand that, but then please don’t hypocritically exalt Austrian neutrality to the moral high ground.
Now for the test I’m referring to:
Former Austrian Chancellor Sebastian Kurz warns of “massive disruptions” within NATO in light of the Iran war. “Regardless of who is president in America, I don’t believe it will be possible in the medium term for the US to always stand by the European Union whenever we want it to – for example, in Ukraine’s defense against Russia,” Kurz said in an interview with “Business Insider” and WELT AM SONNTAG.
“And if, on the other hand, America needs support, and not only does it fail to materialize, but countries like Spain even deny their allies airspace – then, in my opinion, that leads to massive rifts within NATO.”
Kurz considers Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s stance on the Iran war to be wrong. Merz had said: “Germany is not part of this war, and we don’t want to be.” (My note: This wasn’t said by the German Chancellor, but by his Foreign Minister!) Kurz countered in an interview with Business Insider and WELT AM SONNTAG: “It’s important that the European Union, and especially the NATO states, make a fundamental decision about how cooperation with the US should proceed in the future.” This war in Iran affects Europe just as much as the war in Ukraine. “It’s taking place outside the EU, that’s true. But does it have an impact on Europe? Yes, definitely, especially economically,” Kurz said.
What I wrote about “Germany is not part of this war and does not want to be” was incorrect. Merz said that later, after the German Foreign Minister had already stated that this is not our war. It was therefore meant to be an additional clarification of that statement.
All of Orban’s peace doves are turning out to be what they truly are: power-hungry, war-loving, dictatorial creatures. Orban really did pick the best ones.
Even before Trump’s re-election, I feared that this foolish madman, with his inconsistent and superficial decisions and his reality existing only in his own mind, would drive us into a difficult international conflict that the West ultimately doesn’t want and can no longer shape to its advantage. Believe me or not, I don’t care.
Reuters reports U.S. intelligence indicates China is preparing to deliver new air defense systems to Iran within the next few weeks, CNN reported late on Friday, citing three people familiar with recent intelligence assessments.
The network said there are indications that Beijing is working to route the shipments through third countries to mask their origin.
The Reuters Iran Briefing newsletter keeps you informed with the latest developments and analysis of the Iran war. Sign up here.
The U.S. State Department, White House and the Chinese embassy in Washington did not immediately respond to Reuters requests for comment.
China and North Korea should further enhance communication and coordination in major international and regional affairs, China’s foreign minister said in a meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un on Friday, a Chinese official statement showed.
It’s fortunate that Kim said so many nice things about Trump. That will surely help Trump sideline China in North Korea and Russia.
Holy smokes Batman, Karl May is quite a prolific writer! Karl, no one has time to go through so many posts. It helps if you edit them down. I find the idea of Putin blaming Orban for his own defeat quite humourous because everyone else is blaming Orban as well. When you have complete Fidesz control over the whole country with wall to wall Fidesz billboards with nary a Tisza billboard in sight, both Russia and Trump’s US Admin doing everything they can to promote Orban and Orban still loses there is no one else but Orban to blame. It’s ludicrous with all of that to try to say the EU or bogeymen Soros and Zelensky controlled anything.
Starting tomorrow, I’ll only write very briefly, or rather, not at all. 🙂 Then I’ll have fulfilled my self-imposed task.
Since I’m retired, I have plenty of time, but even that will eventually run out.
I wish all peace-loving, honest, and empathetic people much success tomorrow and leave you with these powerful words from Dietrich Bonhoeffer:
Stupidity is a more dangerous enemy of good than malice. Evil can be protested against, it can be exposed, it can be prevented, if necessary by force; evil always carries the seed of its own destruction within it, by leaving at least a feeling of unease in people. Against stupidity, we are defenseless. Neither protests nor violence can achieve anything here; arguments are ineffective. Facts that contradict one’s own prejudices simply don’t need to be believed – in such cases, the fool even becomes critical, and if they are unavoidable, they can simply be dismissed as insignificant isolated incidents. In contrast to the evil one, the fool is completely self-satisfied; indeed, he even becomes dangerous, easily provoked and resorting to attack. Therefore, more caution is advised towards the fool than towards the evil one. …
On closer inspection, it becomes clear that every strong external display of power, whether political or religious, afflicts a large portion of the population with stupidity. … The biblical saying that the fear of God is the beginning of wisdom (Proverbs 1:7) states that the inner liberation of man to live responsibly before God is the only true overcoming of stupidity.
Dietrich Bonhoeffer shortly before his murder in the concentration camp.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3l9QEnKsL74
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov commented on the leaks of his phone conversations with Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjártó that appeared in the media, writes “European Pravda”.
The reason was a comment by European Commission spokeswoman Paula Pinho, who admitted that contacts between Moscow and Budapest could indicate coordination that could affect EU security and interests.
Responding to this, Lavrov said that “eavesdropping is sinful,” adding that if information obtained in this way puts the listeners themselves in a disadvantageous light, it is better for them not to make it public.
The Russian minister said that the talks with Szijjártó mainly focused on the protection of the rights of the Hungarian minority in Ukraine.
The Vsquare media project earlier published details of the talks, which suggest that Hungarian vetoes against Ukraine in the EU were coordinated with Russia.
What about Israel? Is everyone so afraid of being labeled and antisemite that they will not address the elephant in the room? Israel has for years sited the comment that Iran says they have no right to exist. Iran is right. Over 800.000 Palestinians were forced out of the original area “designated” as Israel in 1947-48. This continues today with Israel arming settlers and then sending them into the West Bank to forcefully take even more land from the Palestinians. The same was true for Gaza. Israel is the only supporter of these “settler” terrorists, so in essence, Israel is projecting it’s own terrorist network across more land that is not theirs. Trump is the chump here, Bibi has made this Trump’s war solely, at least in the public perception, while doing all it can to ruin any agreement to truce or talks. This has gone on for years.