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More and more expect Orbán win in April, government-close pollster says
The ratio of those expecting a victory by Orbán and ruling Fidesz in the upcoming election has increased from 50 percent to 53 percent since last November, pollster Nézőpont said on Monday.
According to Nézőpont, “one percentage point less” expect the opposition Tisza Party’s victory. “There are more and more signs” that even people close to Tisza do not believe in a Tisza victory, and pollsters associated with the opposition “make more and more cautious statements … preparing the public for an emergency scenario through accusing the ruling parties of election fraud well in advance,” Nézőpont said. Read our analysis about the outcome of the 2026 elections based on bets on Polymarket.
Government soon to publish national petition content
The government will publish the exact format and content of its national petition in the next few days, Balázs Hidvéghi, state secretary at the prime minister’s cabinet, said on the Truth Hour podcast on Monday.
Hidvéghi said the petition was “a protest, a message to Brussels that … we don’t want any of their pro-war policy and we won’t allow Hungary to be dragged into the war (in Ukraine).” The government will not allow “unlimited use of Hungarians’ money for financing the Ukrainian war and the Ukrainian state through Brussels … we reject blackmail and threatening, we support peace,” he added.
“Whether we are involved in Brussels’ process to disaster or stay away, while retaining our European Union and NATO membership, is a crucial question for Hungary … for us Hungary comes first rather than Ukraine’s assumed or actual interests,” Hidvéghi said.
Referring to critical remarks concerning the cost of the government’s national consultation surveys, Hidvéghi said “it would cost Hungarians many times as much if Ukraine became an EU member or if the war in Ukraine were to be financed for long years.”
In 2024 Magyar Tisza was on their way to a smashing win.
If I, way out here in the Southern Hinterlands, felt troubled by the inevitability of a Magyar win, then that may explain why Magyar’s campaign managers just seemed to sit and wait to see what Fidesz would do.
Fatal mistake.
Fidesz stopped the bleeding in the Summer of 2025, then, in the Fall, the jumped on to the offensive.
Now they, Fidesz, have the momentum, and, as each day goes by, it becomes clearer and clear that Magyar and Tisza simply do not have it in them to do the only thing left for them to do – spend every day in the Hungarian Hinterlands getting voters to realize that they will not govern on behalf of their faceless international backers, but, on behalf of the Hungarians.
Perhaps Tisza and Magyar cannot do this because they know it would be a lie.
It will be quite a stunning comeback for Viktor, for though he did not survive the most draconian financial coup in history, as did Vladimir Putin, in 2022, Viktor did survive a miniature version of that.
If I could be a fly on the wall of The Western Elite mansions, in mid-April, I would be that, just to snicker at their woes over the failure to politically lynch that dangerous little Hungarian.
In any case, Fidesz has not yet begun to throw their heavy blows. That is right around the corner.