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Experts: there were far more participants at Péter Magyar’s 15 March rally, but does that mean Orbán will lose the election?
Sociologist Andrea Szabó and her team measured the crowd attending PM Viktor Orbán’s “Peace March” and Péter Magyar’s “National March”. She said Magyar could gather three times as many people as Orbán in Budapest. However, does that mean his Tisza Party has such a crushing advantage before the 12 April elections?
Péter Magyar gathered more people in Budapest
According to Szeretlek Magyarország, Andrea Szabó and her team measured the number of people attending the two great events organised to celebrate the heroes of the 15 March 1848 revolution and freedom fight of Hungary. She said that in the 10th minute of Orbán’s and Magyar’s speeches, there were 58,000 people on the Peace March and 162,000 on the National March. That means Péter Magyar could gather three times as many people.
The estimate was produced using a stratified sampling method: 12 observer zones were defined for the Peace March and 17 for the longer National March. Within the zones, two-person teams took photos using a 3-metre selfie stick and counted the crowd density in a 4×4 metre area.
Szabó added that the error margin of their estimate is not ±3.2% like in the case of polls, but 10–15%.
The Hungarian Tourism Agency said 180,000 people listened to Orbán and only 150,000 to Magyar that day.
On 23 October, Szabó said that there were 85,000–92,000 people on Orbán’s Peace March and 160,000–170,000 attended Péter Magyar’s event. In that case, the Kormányzati Tájékoztatási Központ (Government Information Centre) talked about 80,000 people and 45,000 people, respectively.
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Experts:
-We are winning.
-But is winning enough to win?
-No, we could loose badly.
But that means he was wrong to call it winning, and anyone calling him an expert was a fool for trusting him too.
😴😴😴😴
Look, it’s not just obvious, but an objective fact, that more people were on the peace march.
The telecommunication corporations have real time data about where you (your mobile) are.
Roughly 180k phones were at the peace march, and 150 at the cult gathering.
🤣🤣🤣🤣 150 180.000
Hungary is having its’ European version of the CPAC conference this Saturday. No one from the Trump Administration has announced any plan to attend and there is nothing in the works for “Man Of Peace” Trump to make an appearance in Hungary to help Orban’s campaign. Here we are with three and half weeks to go and with this Iran war the name Donald Trump has become a LIABILITY to Orban. The worse this war gets the politically worse Orban’s association with Trump becomes. Orban bet wrong.