Will anyone else follow the UK out of the EU?

It’s hard to be certain about Brexit. Yet, the Prime Minister is – for now at least – vowing to go ahead with the country’s departure from the European Union, even if there’s now a delay to the original March 29th exit date.

During the referendum debate there was much talk about the EU’s wider troubles – with the twin crises of debt and refugees making the bloc seem embattled. Leave campaigner Nigel Farage raised the prospect of a ‘domino effect’, with other nations rushing to follow the UK’s lead.

At face value the rise of populists in Italy, Germany, France and beyond would appear to show that the EU faces big issues. It’s also fair to say that some of the underlying structural issues that emerged during the Eurozone debt crisis – the story of which is outlined in the new research from DailyFX – are still yet to be resolved and threaten to rise to the fore again.

Yet does this mean Farage will be proven right? It’s important to avoid conflating political and economic difficulty with a desire to leave the EU, indeed it’s even important to avoid mixing criticism of the EU with out and out opposition to it.

The Independent’s Jon Stone recently highlighted the lack of appetite on the continent to leave the EU. He noted how even voters in Eurosceptic Denmark say they would stay in the EU by a margin of 55 per cent to 27 – while an Ireland-wide poll put support for EU membership at 92 per cent. Those numbers support a European Parliament report that showed pro EU sentiment at its highest since 1983.