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Fidesz challenger Tisza Party maintains clear lead over ruling parties, undecided voters shrink in Hungary
Hungary’s opposition landscape is still shifting ahead of the 2026 parliamentary election, with the Idea Intézet reporting that the Tisza Party has preserved a solid lead over the governing Fidesz–KDNP, while the share of undecided voters has fallen markedly.
Tisza Party maintains clear lead
According to the institute’s nationally representative survey conducted in early February,
the party led by Péter Magyar remains ahead by 8 percentage points among the total population and by 10 points among committed voters who are certain to cast a ballot.
If elections were held this Sunday, 36% of adults would support Tisza, compared with 28% for the ruling alliance. The gap between the two largest forces has remained largely unchanged over the past month.
Fewer undecided voters, more support for smaller parties
One notable trend is the declining number of undecided respondents. Since January, the proportion of those answering “don’t know” or refusing to state a preference has dropped by three percentage points.
Pollsters suggest many of these newly decided voters are opting for smaller political formations, boosting their chances of parliamentary representation.
Beyond the two largest blocs, three additional parties currently register measurable support. Both the Demokratikus Koalíció (DK) and the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom stand at around 4% among the full population, while the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Two-Tailed Dog Party) trails slightly at 3%.
Four-party parliament increasingly likely
Among committed voters who have already chosen a party, Tisza’s advantage becomes even clearer. Nearly half of this group (48%) say they would back Tisza, while 38% would vote for Fidesz–KDNP.
Crucially, both DK and Mi Hazánk appear capable of crossing the 5% parliamentary threshold within this more certain electorate. This would result in a four-party parliament, which would be a notable shift from recent months, when surveys typically projected a three-party legislature.
For the first time since the summer of 2025, both smaller parties are again within reach of forming parliamentary factions, suggesting a more fragmented National Assembly if current trends remain.
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Really now?
Well, using pollsters, that were proven so unreliable the last election, this might be the case. But that doesn’t make the conclusion right, only the sources bad. Every single pollster, that wasn’t producing totally worthless polls last election measures a government victory.
Not to mention his confessions that came out recently.