Bookmakers: Hungary will not be the next to exit the EU
Betting offices say that if another state follows in the footsteps of Great Britain, it will certainly not be Hungary.
Ever since Brexit, the possibility to exit the European Community has become a reality. Whatever the consequences, politicians initiated talks in several countries. Lately, Hungary has been the loudest.
Representatives of the government mentioned on several occasions that it might be beneficial for the country to leave the EU. Or, they highlighted the other side: what disadvantages Hungary would suffer if it stayed a member.
Prime Minister Viktor Orbán was the first to conclude that “there is life outside the EU”.
He actually said these words over 20 years ago, in 1999, when the country was not a member yet. He referred to the hypothetical situation of Hungarians voting with NO in 2003.
Pro-governmental political scientist Tamás Fritz wrote in Magyar Nemzet that “…the time has come, now in July 2021, to seriously consider the possibility of our withdrawal from a union of states with a thousand bleeding wounds, showing imperial symptoms, and treating Eastern and Central European countries incredibly arrogantly.”
Who and how would benefit from a possible Huxit?
As telex.hu writes, despite these somewhat harsh words,
international bookmakers see the situation differently, with significantly less chance of Hungary leaving.
In their opinion, the odds of this happening are only the 6th highest among the rest of the members. They need more time to consider the actual chance of this happening. Moreover, it is not even Poland that leads their list, as many would have imagined.
Currently, you can bet at five registered offices on European politics, more precisely on which country or countries would follow Britain, and who would be the quickest.
It may be surprising, but all offices put the biggest odds on Italy.
They believe that the country has a 1/3 chance to become fully sovereign again – even if the Treaty of Rome creating the European Economic Community was signed in Rome in 1957, with Italy being a founding state. Moreover, the current Prime Minister, Mario Draghi, is the former president of the European Central Bank. On the other hand, the coalition forming the government has three Eurosceptic parties involved.
The list of potential “exiters” is the following: Greece (1/6), France (1/7), the Netherlands, and the Czech Republic (1/12).
Hungary and Poland follow significantly behind them, with the probability of one in fourteen.
What is your guess? Who will be the next one to leave the Community?
Read alsoPM Orbán’s minister revealed when and why Hungary could leave the EU!
Source: telex.hu, oddschecker.com, dailynewshungary.com
3 Comments
BUT – what if we are asked to leave by the Parliament of The European Union ?
Hungary – the cards are stacked in the European Union favour as to our Future – Wrongly.
Twists and Turns – Ebbing and Flowing makes for the continuation of exciting times – Hungary’s – relationship and position in The European Union.
I like this it is true that the Italians would like to leave as the country with Greece owe alot of money but there in lies the problem money euro which both countries have would have an earthquake accross the countries that have the euro as their core currency GB had their own so does Hungary so the bets do not weigh this in but Hungary benefits from being a member of the EU more than said countries..
Stupid politics hate it ..Hungary has it’s own social problems and being paid the correct wage or salary is far from the average EU country ?.
Being a part of the EU is more than about a ‘unified’, level economy across members. It is also means blurred borders and melting cultures together. Every part of that being regulated by GERMANY and a couple of their buddies. Is that what we really want? Didn’t we have enough yet from history?