Fresh survey: The opposition Tisza party leads Fidesz by 500 thousand votes
The Tisza party, under the leadership of Péter Magyar, has surged ahead as Hungary’s most popular political force, according to a new poll. With growing momentum, the Tisza party is reshaping the political landscape ahead of future elections.
Tisza party to become the leading party?
As 24.hu reports, the Tisza party, led by Péter Magyar, has emerged as the leading political force in Hungary, according to an April 2025 poll conducted by the 21 Research Centre. Among the general population, Tisza enjoys 34% support, putting it 6 percentage points ahead of the governing Fidesz party, which stands at 28%. This lead represents a potential difference of 400,000 to 500,000 voters. Smaller parties, such as Our Homeland (4%), the Two-tailed Dog Party (3%), and the Democratic Coalition (2%), trail far behind, while other parties fail to surpass the 1% threshold.
When narrowing the focus to those who say they would definitely turn out to vote, Tisza’s lead becomes even more pronounced. Among these committed voters, the Tisza party holds a commanding 14-point advantage over Fidesz, polling at 51% compared to 37%. This suggests that Péter Magyar’s supporters are currently more energised and more likely to participate in an election than backers of the incumbent government. It is worth noting, however, that the actual turnout in an election may differ from these figures, with the poll carrying a margin of error of approximately ±4 percentage points for sub-groups.
Fidesz support remains stable
The data also reveal that Tisza’s rise has coincided with a decline in support for smaller opposition parties. Compared to October 2024, when Tisza had 26% support, the party has gained 8 percentage points. In contrast, Fidesz support has remained relatively stable, dropping only slightly from 29% to 28%. This suggests that Tisza’s gains have come largely at the expense of minor parties and possibly some previously undecided voters. The shift indicates a consolidation of the opposition vote around Tisza in recent months.
About the survey
The survey was carried out from 1 to 7 April 2025 using a hybrid methodology. A total of 1,000 respondents were interviewed, with younger voters participating online via a link sent by SMS, and those aged 65 and over surveyed by telephone. The sample was weighted to reflect the Hungarian population based on the 2022 census, ensuring representation by location, age, gender, and education. While the questionnaire included topics for multiple clients, the question on party preference was independently commissioned.
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