Alpár Kató | Dec 8, 2018 | 2
Hungary Q4 GDP growth 1.6 pc
Budapest (MTI) – Hungarian economic output grew by an annual 1.6 percent in the fourth quarter last year, according to Central Statistical Office (KSH) data published on Tuesday.
In the full year of 2016, the economy grew by 2 percent, the KSH said.
The government had expected growth to reach 2.1 percent in 2016, according to an updated forecast released in December.
The European Commission had forecast 2016 growth of 1.9 percent in its winter economic forecast released on Monday.
Fourth-quarter GDP was up 1.6pc when adjusted for calendar year effects, but rose 1.5pc when adjusted for seasonal effects, too.
For the full year, GDP climbed 1.8pc when adjusted for calendar year effects and both calendar year and seasonal effects.
In a quarter-on-quarter comparison, GDP was up an adjusted 0.4pc in Q4.
The Economy Ministry acknowledged that last year’s GDP growth was down from the 3.1 percent in 2015 but said that the decline could be attributed to the cyclical nature of the absorption of European Union funding. It stressed that, in spite of the slower growth, Hungary’s external and internal balances continued to improve, noting a record 10 billion euro trade surplus and budget deficit well under the threshold of 3 percent of GDP.
Growth is set to accelerate noticeably from 2017 on the back of a six-year wage agreement, improved competitiveness and growing demand, the ministry said. Growth will be supported further by a home purchase subsidy scheme for families with children, a pickup in payouts in the new EU funding cycle and improved industrial performance, it added.
The ministry earlier forecast GDP growth at 4.1 percent for 2017 and 4.3 percent in 2018.
Takarékbank analyst Gergely Suppán said this year’s output could grow by 3.6 percent, lifted by base effects and an uptick in household consumption supported by wage increases. He put next year’s growth rate around 4 percent.
ING Bank chief analyst Péter Virovácz projected the 2017 growth rate on the upside of 3.4 percent as consumption grows and investments expand.