A fresh survey by Medián indicates that the Tisza movement faces virtually no meaningful opposition, while Fidesz has shrunk to the status of a mid-sized party and the far-right Mi Hazánk may only just scrape into parliament. The question now confronting Hungary’s political landscape is where any genuine opposition to Péter Magyar might emerge.
Political analysts argue that the Tisza-led government is still enjoying a political “honeymoon” with the electorate. Support for Mr Magyar continues to grow, even as Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz has slipped into the political middle tier. Were an election held this Sunday, the party would likely lose even the ten individual constituencies it still held as recently as mid-April.
The latest Medián poll, published in June, carries particular weight. The research institute predicted the outcome of the 2026 election with notable accuracy, as well as previous electoral results.
June’s data suggest overwhelming public support for Mr Magyar. Since April, Fidesz has shed several hundred thousand voters, and even its remaining supporters appear less firmly attached to Mr Orbán’s party. According to figures published by hvg.hu, the balance between the two “major” parties now stands at:
- 60–18 among the total population;
- 71–21 among those able to vote;
- 73–21 among certain voters.
Translated into electoral terms, such figures would hand Tisza every single constituency seat in a snap election, alongside a commanding list vote. The party could even approach a four-fifths parliamentary majority, leaving Fidesz and Mi Hazánk with only a few dozen seats between them in the National Assembly.
The trajectory is likely to alarm Fidesz strategists. Support continues to erode steadily, suggesting the party is far from reclaiming its position as a viable alternative in government. Disillusioned Tisza voters, for now, show little inclination to drift back to the “orange” camp.
Polling trends cited by 24.hu further suggest that no political party has enjoyed such widespread popularity in Hungary since the democratic transition of 1990 — and possibly not even before.
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Péter Magyar: Three out of four Hungarians now back Tisza government
It is “unprecedented and uplifting” that a “true national unity” has emerged, and three out of four Hungarians now support the Tisza government’s work “for a functioning and humane Hungary”, Prime Minister Peter Magyar said on Wednesday, commenting on a Median poll published by HVG. According to the poll, 73 percent of decided voters support Tisza, while 21 percent back Fidesz.
In a post, the prime minister said the unprecedented level of support showed that Hungarians stood as one behind the Operation Clean Sweep and overwhelmingly supported the fight against the Orbán-era economic and political mafia. Magyar said the latest figures confirmed that Hungarians – including a significant portion of Fidesz voters – supported the establishment of the National Asset Recovery and Protection Office and the 17th amendment to the Fundamental Law.
Fidesz’s “further decline and disintegration”, he said, was driven by its attempts to “shirk responsibility”, its “intolerable parliamentary performance”, and that “more and more of its crimes are being exposed”. Magyar added that the current cabinet meeting is also discussing proposals to make Hungarians’ lives easier and safer, about which the public will be informed on Thursday.
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