End of an era? A new poll shows PM Orbán’s popular support has reached a historic low

The IDEA Institute has reported that popular support for Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party has reached a historic low. According to their latest poll, conducted earlier this month, the Tisza Party, led by Péter Magyar, is now 9% ahead of Orbán’s governing coalition. This marks an unprecedented shift in Hungary’s political landscape, as Orbán’s Fidesz has dominated the polls for nearly two decades.
Orbán’s Fidesz was leading the polls for nearly two decades
The last time Fidesz lost a general election was in 2006, during the parliamentary elections when former Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsány’s Socialist Party and its liberal allies defeated Orbán’s alliance. Since September 2006, Fidesz has consistently led opinion polls until 2024, when the Tisza Party’s support first surpassed Fidesz in the latter half of the year.

Even though Fidesz won the 9 June European parliamentary elections with a significant advantage, the number of pollsters measuring a straggling Orbán team is growing. The latest poll highlighting Fidesz’s considerable lag was conducted by the IDEA Institute. According to Telex, the pollster reported that Fidesz currently holds 26% support among the Hungarian population, compared to the Tisza Party’s 33%.
Tisza leads Fidesz by 9%
The figures are even more concerning when focusing on voters who would cast their ballots and can choose from the political parties. In this context, Tisza garnered 45%, while Fidesz stands at 36%. According to the IDEA Institute, two other parties could surpass the threshold if the general election were held this Sunday. The far-right Our Homeland party would secure 7%, while Gyurcsány’s Democratic Coalition would achieve 5% (the electoral threshold in Hungary is also 5%). Meanwhile, the Two-Tailed Dog Party, polling at 3%, would fail to send MPs to parliament.

.IDEA also reported that the proportion of undecided voters has decreased significantly, dropping from 37% in late 2024 to 26% in January 2025.
The turning point
Telex compared the results of various pollsters and identified a turning point in support for Orbán and the Tisza Party in November, when Tisza overtook Fidesz. While Tisza has been attracting an increasing share of the popular vote, they have effectively dismantled the rest of Hungary’s left-liberal opposition. Only the far-right Our Homeland has managed to maintain its voter base.

The Orbán government plans to introduce new financial aid measures, along with increased allowances and tax benefits, in 2025. They are also aiming to secure the release of frozen EU funds and attract foreign investment to bolster the Hungarian economy. These measures are intended to maximise their support ahead of the 2026 general election. Meanwhile, Péter Magyar has continued to draw public attention to allegations that the Orbán administration is “robbing” the people and mismanaging the country. Experts emphasise that Fidesz’s mobilisation capabilities remain unparalleled, as do its financial resources and communication strategies.
The latest IDEA Insitute poll was conducted through online questionnaires and has been deemed representative. The sample size was 1,500, with a margin of error of ±2.3%.
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Pressurization – directed at Victor Mihaly personally, then from his GARGANTUAN failings as the Prime Minister of Hungary of (16) years – in (2) two appointments to the position – what he has DELIVERED us – Hungary, with his Fidesz Government, the growing FRAGILITY – our FUTURE threatened by his IDIOTIC Political Ideas and Philosophy – Ideology and “Dogma” – his “Judas” act, in his DISTILLATION of Democracy in Hungary, to the word DEMOCRACY, his movement / involvement relationships & partnerships – to the Russian and Chinese “ways” of Government – being of Communism and of Dictatorship.
Orbans – destruction of FRIENDSHIPS with European and Global countrys under Governance of DEMOCRACY – the European Union, N.A.T.O. – he is totally RESPONSIBLE for the VILENESS, the WRONGFULNESS of this DESTROYED situation in FRIENDSHIPS with countrys, numbers in FACT as a country, we Hungary have been FRIENDS for decades plus.
Hungary – proven FACT from the name Orban down, throughout the Fidesz Government, they are “Toxic in Culture” – being “Heinous” in there conduct as a Government, not needing to go other than the Courts of Justice of the European Union to FACTUATE there “Heinous” acts.
Hungary – what is there to SHOW – to see – be proud of, excited and thrilled, optimistic – as to our FUTURE as a country ???
Personally = our lives, our careers, our family, our children, our grand-children, future generations of Hungarians – what is there to LOOK forward to other than HOPE ?
Smashed we have as a country into an ABYSS – failed, humiliated, insulted, mis-lead, lied to – from the Prime Minister – Victor Orban throughout his Fidesz Government, that THEY individually have been HUMONGOUS “palms of hand” winners, but we, the people, the citizens – the population of Hungary and our country – HUNGARY – we have in millions, that continues to grow, been the LOSERS.
TRUTH & FACT – he ORBAN, his FIDESZ Government – have NO escape route if WE in growing SOLIDARITY united BOMBARD this Orban – Fidesz Government – that “smashes” them, brings there Demise, there DOWNFALL.
The UNITED population of Hungarians, in SOLIDARITY – fighting for in WANTING a FUTURE – by TRUTH & Fact – we WILL bring about CHANGE, we WILL bring HOPE of a FUTURE for our country.
The TIME is ALWAYS Right
to DO – what is RIGHT.
Hungarians – lets DO right, its TIME – for if we don’t – PERILOUS.
Of all things Fidesz has now issued a Chinese commemorative stamp to honour The Year Of The Snake. Somehow it seems fitting for Fidesz.
As a retired foreigner, it is a great experience to live in a safe, clean and secure country. Very much different to the incredible decadent countries of western Europe. It is always negative, if one person is too long in power. However compared to the 16 years of Merkel-Germany, Mr Orban made Hungary as a proirity. Do you really want the streets of Budapest flooded with most dangerous moslems, being completely under controlof EU-Brussels and the €-regime? I trust, that Hungary has thepower to go his own, very individual way and be successful, espec. under the new incredible powerful wind of change from Washington!
Continue reading at https://dailynewshungary.com/de/pm-orban-fidesz-popular-support-historic-low/ | DailyNewsHungary
Hungary is not safe, clean and secure country. Nowhere near the safest in Europe.
https://dailynewshungary.com/orban-hungary-safety-crime-stats/
Either you are a troll or just a wealthy expat retiree living in a nice secure bubble – not knowing about the struggles of average Hungarians with powerty and crime.
One can always hope the pole is correct……….as I most certainly do.
The liberals of Budapest do not represent the majority of the Hungarian people. Orbán is the Trump of Hungary and will rid whatever is left of the woke trash Mr? Pressman left us. Didn’t the polls tell us that Kamala Harris will win?
You’re right, liberals don’t represent the Hungarian majority. The right wing is overwhelmingly succesful in Hungary, as evidenced by the polling results indicating that Tisza and Fidesz would receive the vast majority of votes. Tisza is a centre-right party, Fidesz is far-right. Having abandoned the centre-right Fidesz has created a vacuum that has now been filled by a new party. The majority of the electorate in almost any country are moderate and don’t identify with radical politics. It was the decision of Fidesz to abandon their moderate supporters but it’s not too late to shift back towards the centre.
We can only hope. It’s time for a change! Can’t be stuck in the past forver… I know we love to hold on to all that historical pain, but come on Hungary, aren’t we hopeful for more? Imagine eating the same dinner for 20 years… How boring our minds would become.
I suspect the Economic problems the Hungarian Economy has today is the result of the EU not providing Hungary with the Grants they are entitled to.
The EU is now a dictatorship , just like the USSR as Von Der Liar is not elected.
The best way forward for Hungary is to Exit the EU and join the BRICS as it is a fast growing Trade Bloc without the ” political correctness’ of the Brussels Elites who use the Euro Currency as a weapon to crush elected Gov’ts