Scorching summer ahead: Hungary braces for one of its hottest seasons on record – here’s what to expect + tips
As summer approaches, everyone is asking the same question: what kind of summer does 2025 hold for us? The latest seasonal forecasts and climate models paint a clear—and hot—picture for Hungary and much of Central Europe.
A hotter-than-average summer predicted
Meteorological models from leading international agencies—including ECMWF, the UK Met Office, Météo-France, and others—are in strong agreement: summer 2025 will be significantly warmer than the long-term average across most of Europe, especially in Central Europe and Hungary, Időkép writes. Temperature anomalies of +1 to +2°C above the 1993–2016 average are likely, with Hungary among the regions expected to see the most pronounced warming.
There is a 70–100% chance that temperatures this summer will fall into the hottest third of historical records for the region, making a hot summer almost certain. While much of Europe will experience above-average warmth, the increase in Central Europe, including Hungary, will be among the highest on the continent.
Monthly breakdown: June, July, August
June 2025
The start of summer will bring mild to warm temperatures, with daily highs ranging from 18°C to 24°C at the beginning of the month, climbing to 26–30°C by the end. Rainfall is moderate, with occasional showers and thunderstorms, but these are typically brief and followed by clear skies.
July 2025
July is expected to be the hottest month, with daytime highs in Budapest and much of Hungary reaching 27–29°C, and nighttime lows around 16–18°C. Rainfall will be limited—expect only 3 to 8 rainy days in Budapest, with most days remaining dry and sunny. There will be an average of 9–11 hours of sunshine per day, perfect for outdoor activities, but also increasing the risk of heatwaves.
August 2025
The heat is forecast to persist, with above-normal temperatures continuing throughout the month. The risk of drought and heatwaves will remain elevated, especially in the second half of summer.
What’s driving the heat?
The main factor behind this hot summer is the dominance of high-pressure systems over Central and Northern Europe, which block cooler air masses and promote stable, dry, and hot conditions. This pattern increases the likelihood of heatwaves (they will be more frequent and intense than in recent years) and drought (reduced rainfall could lead to drier soils and increased wildfire risk, especially in rural areas).
Expert warnings and climate change context
Hungarian climate scientist Diána Ürge-Vorsatz, vice-chair of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, has highlighted that Central Europe—including Hungary—will experience the most significant temperature increases in Europe this summer.
Without significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, Hungary will continue to see more frequent and severe heatwaves, with summers potentially resembling those of North Africa by the end of the century.
How will this affect daily life?
- City life: Urban areas like Budapest will feel the heat more intensely due to the urban heat island effect, which can make city temperatures 3–5°C higher than surrounding areas.
- Travel and tourism: The hot, dry weather is ideal for sightseeing and outdoor festivals, but visitors should be prepared for high UV levels and stay hydrated.
- Agriculture and environment: Farmers and rural communities should be alert for drought and wildfire risks, and water conservation will be increasingly important.
Tips for coping with the heat
- Drink plenty of water and avoid outdoor activities during peak heat hours.
- Use sunscreen and wear light, breathable clothing.
- In cities, seek out parks and green spaces for cooler air.
- Stay updated with local weather forecasts, especially if planning outdoor events or travel.
Summer 2025 in Hungary is shaping up to be one of the hottest in recent memory, with a high probability of above-average temperatures, limited rainfall, and increased risk of heatwaves. Whether you’re living in Hungary, visiting for the summer, or just following the weather from abroad, it’s wise to prepare for a long, hot season ahead.
Read more about weather forecasts in Hungary HERE.
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