Trade in Hungary

Hungarian inflation down but still above 20 percent

supermarket store food inflation

Consumer prices in Hungary rose by an annual 21.5 percent in May, the Central Statistical Office (KSH) said on Thursday.

Headline inflation fell for the fourth month in a row and at a faster pace, dropping from 24.0 percent in April. Month on month, inflation edged down by 0.4 percent.

Food prices rose by an annual 33.5 percent in May. Household energy prices increased by 37.2 percent. Gas prices rose by 49.1 percent and electricity prices grew by 27.2 percent.

The data show consumer durable prices increased by 8.1 percent. Motor fuel prices, which were capped for households until early December, increased by 17.7 percent.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile fuel and food prices, was 22.8 percent.

Commenting on the data, Economic Development Minister Márton Nagy said that in a sign that “government measures are working”, month-on-month inflation fell in May for the first time since November 2020. Noting that food prices had fallen steeper than others, Nagy said the government continued to protect families, pensioners and jobs, despite the war and “failed sanctions”.

The government is committed to pushing inflation into single digits by year-end, he said.

Hungary trade surplus EUR 308 m in April

Hungary posted a trade surplus of 308 million euros in April, the Central Statistical Office (KSH) said in a first reading of data on Thursday.
Exports rose by an annual 3.4 percent, while imports were down 4.0 percent.

Hungary’s trade balance improved by EUR 836 million. In a month-on-month comparison, exports were down 19 percent and imports 16 percent.

In absolute terms, exports came to EUR 11.5 billion and imports to 11.2 billion. Trade with other European Union member states accounted for 78 percent of exports and 68 percent of imports.

Budget deficit edges over HUF 2,763 bn in May

Hungary’s cash flow-based budget balance reached HUF 2,763.3 billion (EUR 7.5bn) at the end of May, the finance ministry said.

The central budget deficit reached HUF 2,752.4 billion at the end of May and the social security funds were 67.3 billion in the red. Separate state funds had a HUF 56.5 billion surplus.

Alone in the month of May, the deficit reached HUF 53.6 billion, the lowest May deficit in seven years, the ministry said.

Back to communism? Government wants targeted discounts in the Hungarian supermarkets

Retail sector Hungary shop market

Economic Development Minister Márton Nagy discussed a proposal on requiring larger supermarkets to offer regular discounts on selected products in a number of categories, at a meeting with retailers and professional associations on Tuesday, his ministry said.

The consultations focused on finalising the details of the draft decree, the economic development ministry said in a statement. The mandatory discounts would be in force from June 1 until September 30, they said, noting that products must be selected for the special offers on a weekly basis. The regulation will classify basic foodstuffs into 20 categories, including poultry, cheese, bread, baked goods, vegetables, fruit, rice and other cereals, the statement noted.

Grocery chains will have to discount a product of their choosing from all 20 categories by at least 10 percent from the lowest price in the previous 30 days. The sides were in agreement that pushing inflation into the single digits was a shared goal which they all considered a responsibility. Nagy said the government devoted special attention to cooperation and consultations with state and market players, adding that the government will take into consideration recommendations made by its partners when finalising the discount regulations.

Nagy and agriculture ministry state secretary for the food industry and trade policy Marton Nobilis held two separate meetings on Tuesday with industry insiders to discuss the measure: one with representatives of supermarket chains CBA, Real, Ecofamily, AFEOSZ-COOP and the chief secretary of commerce association MNKSZ; and the other with representatives of Aldi, Auchan, Lidl, Penny, Spar and Tesco, and the chief secretary of commerce association OKSZ, the ministry said.

Good news: Fuel prices in Hungary could slip below psychological threshold

Fuel station Hungary

The Hungarian fuel market seems to be recovering recently. We are getting closer and closer to the average price of petrol and diesel reaching below HUF 600 (EUR 1.56). Among other things, the secretary general of the Hungarian Petroleum Association talked about this to the Hungarian news portal Index.

The fuel market is experiencing a turnaround

Ottó Grád, secretary general of the Hungarian Petroleum Association, told Index that the Hungarian fuel market is undergoing a turnaround at the moment. Mr Grád said that based on recently published data, fuel consumption in Hungary has decreased by 10 percent. According to him, this is a significant decrease overall; however, it is important to look at the context of this data.

This figure compares the change with the previous year. So, in addition to the decline in sales, it is worth pointing out that the baseline was also extremely high, with retail sales in January 2022 and the first half of the year as a whole being exceptionally high.

The secretary general currently sees that after the abolition of the official price, imports have started to revert to the previous period. He believes that in the near future, prices will be increasingly determined by normal market developments. These developments include the changes in the oil and forint exchange rates, and the European product subscription may also have some impact on the Hungarian market.

Prices are falling

Mr Grád pointed out that prices are currently falling. He said that Hungarian fuel prices seem to be “eroding” in comparison with neighbouring countries. Looking at the prices of products, the secretary general believes that a more moderate but further decrease in prices will be seen.

“In terms of basic price parameters, I see that average prices for both diesel and petrol could slowly slip below HUF 600,”

Ottó Grád told Index.

Eszter Bujdos, CEO of Holtankoljak.hu, summarised the Hungarian traffic data by saying that the start of sales at petrol stations is currently very slow. This is true for both small and large service stations, but there may be differences between regions.

“Last year at this time, the price of fuel was HUF 480 (EUR 1.25). Now, the average price is still above HUF 600. Furthermore, we should also see that the agricultural sector is slow to get going, as it has refuelled quite well before. This could also be a reason for a drop in traffic,”

she said.

Fuel station Hungary
Read alsoHere is why fuel is so expensive in Hungary and when it will change

Hungary scrutinises Ukrainian grain bound for local markets

harvest tractor agriculture grain

Hungary will subject Ukrainian grain bound for markets in Hungary to “strict checks” to ensure compliance “with all food safety regulations”, Agriculture Minister István Nagy said on Monday.

In a statement issued by his ministry, Nagy said Hungary will offer any assistance it can to see Ukrainian grain reach its “original destination”: consumers in Africa and the Middle East.

He noted that Hungary, together with Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Romania and Bulgaria, have asked the European Commission to take immediate steps in the interest of reducing imports of Ukrainian grain that are driving down prices on local markets, but complained that “Brussels isn’t listening to the voice of Europe’s farmers”.

“We won’t allow Hungarian farmers to be put at a disadvantage because solidarity lanes aren’t functioning properly,” he added.

supermarket store food inflation
Read alsoFresh study on food inflation: Hungary not performing well

Retail sales growth declines in Hungary

food store spar inflation price hungary (2)

Retail sales growth in Hungary dropped by an annual 4.8 percent in December, falling for the first time since the spring of 2021, data released by the Central Statistical Office (KSH) on Monday show.

Adjusted for calendar year effects, retail sales slipped by 3.9 percent. Adjusted food sales fell by 8.3 percent and non-food sales edged down 0.4 percent, while motor fuel sales rose by 1.3 percent after months of a double-digit growth.

Retail sales had increased by 0.6 percent in the previous two months, KSH said.

A detailed breakdown of the data shows adjusted sales fell at nearly all types of retail businesses, with second-hand shops, clothing and footwear shops, computer shops, pharmacies and petrol stations among the exceptions.

In December 2022:

Domestic retail sales amounted to HUF 1,765 billion at current prices.

Specialized and non-specialized food shops accounted for 48% of all retail sales, while the relevant figures for non-food retail trade and retail trade of petrol stations were 38% and 14% respectively.

In 2022, compared to the previous year, adjusted for calendar effects:

The volume of retail trade increased by 5.3%.

The volume of sales decreased by 1.5% in specialized and non-specialized food shops and rose by 5.8% in non-food retail trade and by 24.2% in automotive fuel retail trade.

The list of medicines in short supply is becoming longer.
Read alsoMedicine shortage can stay for a long time in Hungary

Medicine shortage can stay for a long time in Hungary

The list of medicines in short supply is becoming longer.

The current medicine shortage can stay with us for a while. One of the triggers of the drug shortage panic is when pharmacies run out of a highly advertised product and patients can not access their necessary medication. For instance, the post-event pill is often needed, even though it is hard to get. Let’s examine the reasons behind the drug shortages. 

“The current situation could stay with us for a long time,”

said Zoltán Hankó, President of the Hungarian Chamber of Pharmacists (MGYK) to qubit.hu about the shortage of medicines. He listed the following factors:

  • Remaining problems of the energy crisis
  • The advertisements are full of certain products produced by certain pharmaceutical companies at a discount
  • GPs often prescribe prescription medicines that are not available in pharmacies
  • Supply routes for active substances manufactured mainly in China and India are not easy
  • As the world has become increasingly concentrated on the pharmaceutical industry, if there is a problem with a company or a component, it affects the rest of the world

Advertised non-prescription medicines are popular, but unavailable products are also prescribed

As a result of television advertising, which mainly focuses on price promotions and presents medicines as consumer products, many people are alarmed when there is a shortage of a particular drug. However, it is impossible to imagine a situation in which a pharmacist cannot offer a patient an alternative that can achieve the same goal with the same component.

Apart from over-the-counter medicines, many products containing active antibiotic ingredients are not available. There are also problems with the availability of anti-anxiety drugs and insulin.

Another problem, according to Hankó, is that GPs often prescribe prescription medicines that are not available in pharmacies. The solution is for the prescribing doctor’s software to show in real-time that the medicine is not available, but what alternatives he can prescribe instead. In autumn 2020, MGYK’s president submitted an official proposal to the competent authority, but so far nothing has been done.

There is demand for it, despite the fact that it is expensive and difficult to get

In Hungary, a total of 73,632 pills of post-event contraceptive medicines were bought in pharmacies from January 2020 to August 2022. This represents an average of 2,301 pills per month and 27,612 pills per year.

According to hvg.hu, Előd Novák, a politician of Mi Hazánk, was looking for proof of a regularly made claim, declaring that “abortion is the leading cause of death”.

“It is not a recent debate whether the emergency contraceptive pill is an abortifacient, but according to the current state of science, the emergency contraceptive pills available in Hungary can only prevent pregnancy, they are not suitable for abortion” – says Dr. Júlia Benkovics, gynecologist, to hvg.hu.

The regular hormonal contraceptive pill works on the same principle as the post-menstrual pill, but it inhibits ovulation by taking a lower dose of progestin. If the method works, there is no “embryo loss”.

Already in 2015, one type of this medicine was made available without a prescription, but the Ministry of Human Resources insisted that it should remain available only with a prescription. This was explained officially as “patient safety risks.”

However, the emergency contraception system in our country is not working well under the current framework, according to Benkovic. The prescription is usually written at the gynecology clinic where you live or at your GP. However, it may not be possible to do this immediately, so the patient may go to a private practice, where the prescription and possible examination will be charged in addition to the basic price of the medicine.

It is not yet known whether the government plans to make this system more difficult or easier. But the so-called “child protection” referendum and the case of the “heartbeat law” could be seen as a forerunner of further regulation.

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Our wallets have felt it too, imports have become brutally more expensive

Budapest

KSH industrial production and external trade data are now available: 

Industrial output growth slows to crawl in Nov

The growth rate of Hungarian industrial output in November slowed to an annual 0.5 percent from 5.9 percent in the previous month, the Central Statistical Office (KSH) said on Monday.

Adjusted for the number of working days, output grew by 0.8 percent.

Growth in car manufacturing was up “significantly”, KSH said. Computer, electronics and optical equipment, as well as food, drinks and tobacco saw a drop in output.

In the Jan-Nov period, output grew by an annual 6 percent, while month on month it fell by 0.7 percent, based on seasonally and working day-adjusted data.

Hungary trade deficit EUR 1.283 bn in Nov

Hungary posted a 1.283 billion euro trade deficit in November after a gap of 923 million in October, the Central Statistical Office (KSH) said on Monday, presenting a first reading of the data.

In November 2022:

The value of exports amounted to EUR 13,132 million (HUF 5,364 billion) and that of imports to EUR 14,415 million (HUF 5,900 billion).

The deficit of the external trade in goods was EUR 1.3 billion (HUF 536 billion).

The share of EU Member States (EU27_2020) was 78% in exports and 63% in imports.

In November 2022 compared to a year earlier:

The value of exports increased by 18% and that of imports by 29% in EUR terms.

Retail sector Hungary shop market
Read alsoShops are tricking the public to hide inflation in Hungary

Hungary trade deficit EUR 923 m in October

Hunngary Trade Export

Hungary had a EUR 923 million trade deficit in October, a second reading of data released by the Central Statistical Office (KSH) on Thursday shows.

The gap was revised downward from EUR 1.009 billion in a first reading of data released on December 8.

Exports rose by 22 percent to EUR 12.5 billion, while imports increased by 26 percent to EUR 13.4 billion.

Hungary’s terms of trade deteriorated by 5.9 percent during the period as the forint weakened 16 percent to the euro and 37 percent to the dollar.

Export volume rose by an annual 11 percent, while import volume was up 7.6 percent. Adjusted for calendar year effects, export volume was up 10 percent and import volume 8.8 percent.

national bank of Hungary -mnb nbh
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Hungarian trade deficit over EUR 1 bn in Oct

Hunngary Trade Export

Hungary had a 1.009 billion euro trade deficit in October, the Central Statistical Office (KSH) said in a first reading of data on Thursday.

The gap widened from 745 million euros in September, but narrowed from 1.580 billion in August, the largest in a series of consecutive monthly deficits running for more than a year, an anomaly for Hungary, an export-driven economy where trade surpluses are the norm.

Viktor Orbán MOL excess profits
Read alsoPM Orbán: the government would take MOL’s excess profits, shares fall

Exports rose by an annual 21.0 percent to 12.4 billion euros, while imports increased by 25.7 percent to 13.4 billion.

For the period January-October, Hungary’s exports increased by an annual 19.9 percent, while imports rose by 29.5 percent. The trade deficit reached 6.809 billion euros for the period.

Filling station fuel shortage Hungary diesel
Read alsoNew app shows where you can find fuel in Hungary

Forum on German-Hungarian economic relations in Berlin

germany hungary

Hungary must continue to provide the most competitive environment for investors in Europe, Péter Szijjártó, the minister of foreign affairs and trade, told a forum on German-Hungarian economic relations in Berlin on Monday.

Although Europe is facing the threat of economic recession, the Hungarian government is not giving up its goal of maintaining the most competitive investment climate in Europe in taxation and other fields, Szijjártó told the forum held on the occasion of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s visit to Berlin.

In this spirit, the Hungarian government continues to reject the idea of the global corporate minimum tax, whose introduction would bring about a 6 percentage point increase in Hungary’s corporate tax rate, he said.

Minister of Technology and Industry László Palkovics said that the government “really dislikes” the extra profit taxes and introduced them only out of necessity. He added that these taxes do not discriminate against foreign-owned companies and would be phased out as soon as possible.

Hans-Peter Kemser, head of the BMW plant being built in Debrecen, in eastern Hungary, said the conditions in the city were ideal for building and operating the German carmaker’s “most modern factory”.

“BMW’s future starts in Debrecen,” Kemser said. The plant represents “a completely new approach”, not just in terms of what it will produce, but also because it will run exclusively on energy generated from renewable resources, he added.

Szijjártó said Hungary was the “flag bearer” of the “revolutionary” transformation of the auto industry. He noted that Debrecen will also be home to Chinese battery maker CATL’s manufacturing plant.

Since 2010, Hungary has emerged stronger from every crisis it has experienced, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán told an economic forum in Berlin on Monday, details HERE.

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PM Orbán hold talks German Chancellor Scholtz in Berlin

scholz orbán

Since 2010, Hungary has emerged stronger from every crisis it has experienced, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán told an economic forum in Berlin on Monday, citing the global economic crisis of 2008, the migration crisis and the coronavirus pandemic.

The prime minister met German Chancellor Olaf Scholz before the forum focusing on Hungarian-German economic relations. He said he had held “fruitful talks” with Scholz, adding that “every difficult and complicated issue” had been discussed during the two-hour meeting, and that “everyone can be satisfied” with its outcome.

Orbán noted that he visited the chancellor and representatives of the German business community every two years.

Orbán said there were political reasons for why Hungary had emerged stronger from every crisis it had experienced since 2010

He said the global economic crisis in Europe had been about whether the crisis had been a structural or a cyclical one. Most European countries saw it as a cyclical crisis, he said, adding that “I never accepted this interpretation.”

The prime minister said he had considered the crisis to be structural in nature and one which had signalled that Europe would continually lose ground to Asia, including in terms of GDP, markets and the technological competition unless it changed course.

He said the answer to such a crisis was a deep structural reform, adding that his government had reformed the Hungarian economy accordingly after 2010.

The Hungarian model is conservative when it comes to social policy and harkens back to the era of former German chancellor Helmut Kohl, he said. The Hungarian government envisages a labour-based society at the centre of which is the family, he said. Hungary spends the most relative to GDP on supporting families, he said, adding that the government financed families through work. Whereas in 2010 the employment rate in Hungary barely reached 50 percent, it is now around 75 percent, Orbán added.

The government also builds on national pride and wants it to be based increasingly on performance, he said.

“There’s no multiculturalism in Hungary,”

Orbán said.

He said a low tax rate was a key element of the economic foundation of the Hungarian model. Hungary is the only country in the world with a flat personal income tax rate, there is no inheritance tax and the corporate tax rate is 9 percent, he said. Orbán said that when it came to equality, it was education and jobs where people needed to be given equal chances. “But when it comes to the output, or performance, we tend to favour differences,” he added.

Meanwhile, Orbán also said that if Hungary did not protect its borders, the European Union’s single market could collapse. As Hungary is an open country, border defence should be an integral part of its economic policy, he said.

The prime minister said that in the period to come there would be a pressing need for political security, energy security and physical security. Political security is guaranteed by the government’s stability, physical security by a number of factors, including the country remaining an island of peace, and energy security by Hungary’s gas reserves being sufficient for six months, Orbán said.

“Those who cooperate with us will benefit from it,” he said.

Addressing German investors, Orbán said Hungary’s economy held no surprises and the government had its medium and long-term plans mapped out for each sector. The Hungarian government has agreements in place with several German companies on cooperation in areas like telecommunications, digitalisation and the green transition, Orbán said.

He said the foundations of Hungarian-German economic cooperation were not economic but cultural in nature. He said there was a “positive prejudice” towards Germany in Hungary, partly for historical reasons and partly because of Germany’s cultural performance. The fundamentals of bilateral cooperation cannot be torn down by any kind of political campaign or economic disagreement, Orbán said.

He noted that there are 6,000 German companies doing business in Hungary employing some 300,000 people. Hungary has the world’s fifth most high-tech economy and ranks higher in terms of exports than the size of its population would suggest. Hungary is also among the world’s ten most open economies in terms of exports relative to GDP and is one of the ten most complex economies, he said.

Orbán said the biggest challenge today was the threat of recession in Europe partly because of rising energy prices. The main question, he said, was whether Hungary could weather the downturn on its own if the continent were to slip into a recession. Orbán said that to this end, Hungary needed to focus on developments, investments and innovation. It was because of this effort, he said, that the Hungarian economy is growing by 5-6 percent this year after expanding by 7 percent in 2021.

As we wrote a week ago, Orbán held talks with the Austrian chancellor and the Serbian president. Orbán said:

Germany can bail out its own companies with hundreds of billions of euros in the energy crisis, rich countries can bail out their companies with huge sums, but poorer countries cannot. Moreover, he says, the EU is not helping the poorer countries, sanctions are imposed, but they are not helping financially. “This is the beginning of cannibalism in the EU. Brussels must do something about this, because it will break European unity,” Orbán said. Details HERE.

Latest economic data: surplus and trade deficit in Hungary – UPDATE

forint exchange rate - daily news hungary

The finance ministry and KSH published the latest economic data about the surplus and trade deficit in Hungary.

Budget runs HUF 181 bn surplus for September

Hungary’s cash flow-based budget deficit, excluding local councils, had a 2,691.7 billion forints (EUR 6.3bn) deficit at the end of September, after running a 181.0 billion forint surplus for the month, the finance ministry said in a first reading of data on Monday.

The full-year cash flow-based budget deficit target is 3,152.7 billion forints.

The central budget deficit reached 2,773.0 billion forints at the end of September. The social security funds were 171.3 billion in the red, while the separate state funds had a surplus of 252.6 billion.

Read alsoWe have a bad news! Hungary’s recession is unavoidable

Hungary trade deficit reaches EUR 1.3 bn in August

Hungary had a 1.3 billion euros trade deficit in August, a first reading of data released by the Central Statistical Office (KSH) on Monday shows.

The gap, a hair over the deficit in July, was the largest one in a string of consecutive deficits running for more than a year, an anomaly for Hungary, an export-driven economy where trade surpluses are the norm.

Exports rose by an annual 37.1 percent to 11.466 billion euros, while imports increased by 40.6 percent to 12.765 billion euros.

Trade with other European Union member states accounted for 75 percent of Hungary’s exports and 69 percent of its imports during the month.

For the period January-August, Hungary’s exports increased by an annual 18.6 percent to 91.941 billion euros, while imports rose by 29.0 percent to 96.716 billion. The trade deficit reached 4.775 billion euros for the period.

Andras Horvath, chief analyst at Magyar Bankholding, blamed the swelling trade deficit on higher energy and commodities prices, noting that energy prices alone accounted for more than three-fourths of the deterioration in the trade balance in January-July. He said the gap would grow at a slower pace in the coming months as consumption and investments moderate, and he put the full-year deficit at 7 billion-7.5 billion euros.

Retail sector Hungary shop market
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The latest data: Hungary’s trade deficit over 1 billion euro and PMI fell

Hungary had a 1.298 billion euro trade deficit in July, the Central Statistical Office(KSH) said in a second reading of data on Monday.

Trade deficit

A first reading of the data, released on September 8, showed a 1.150 billion euro trade deficit.

Monday’s data show exports rose by an annual 12.8 percent to 10.802 billion euros, while imports increased by 24.1 percent to 12.100 billion euros.

For the period January-July, Hungary’s trade deficit reached 3.475 billion euros. Exports rose by 16.4 percent to 80.475 billion euros and imports climbed 27.4 percent to 83.951 billion euros.

Hungary’s terms of trade deteriorated 6.5 percent in July from the same month a year earlier as the forint weakened 13 percent to the euro and 31 percent against the dollar.

Retail sector Hungary shop market
Read alsoShops are tricking the public to hide inflation in Hungary

PMI at 49.6 in September

Hungary’s seasonally-adjusted Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell to 49.6 points in September from 57.8 in August, the Hungarian Association of Logistics, Purchasing and Inventory Management (Halpim) said on Monday.

A PMI over 50 signals expansion in the manufacturing sector.

Among the PMI sub-indices, the new orders index fell from the previous month but remained over 50.

The production volume index also fell and dropped below the 50-point mark.

The employment index fell but still showed growth.

Delivery times were longer than in August.

The gauge of purchased inventories decreased and was under the 50-point mark.

Retail sector Hungary Aldi
Read alsoTrade union: shops should close on Sunday afternoons in Hungary

Hungary July retail sales up 3.8 pc – UPDATE

In July 2022, the volume of sales in retail trade increased by 3.8% according to raw data and by 4.3% when adjusted for calendar effects compared to the same period of the previous year. In July, calendar-adjusted sales volumes decreased by 2.9% in specialised and non-specialised food shops and rose by 3.2% in non-food retailing and by 27.6% in automotive fuel retailing. In January–July 2022, the volume of sales – also according to calendar adjusted data – was 9.3% higher than in the corresponding period of the previous year.

According to KSH, in July 2022, compared to the same period of the previous year, adjusted for calendar effects:

The volume of domestic retail sales increased by 4.3%.

The volume of sales decreased by 2.9% in specialized and non-specialized food retailing. The volume of sales decreased by 3.3% in non-specialized food and beverages shops accounting for 75% of food retailing and by 1.3% in specialized food, beverage and tobacco stores.

The turnover of non-food retailing increased by a total of 3.2% in volume. Sales volumes rose by 14% in second-hand goods shops, by 7.1% in pharmaceutical, medical goods and cosmetics shops, by 4.7% in textiles, clothing and footwear shops, by 4.5% in books, computer equipment and other specialized stores, by 3.3 in non-specialized shops dealing in manufactured goods and by 1.4% furniture and electrical goods stores.

The volume of mail order and internet retailing accounting for 7.0% of all retail sales and involving a wide range of goods rose by 2.9%.

The volume of sales in automotive fuel stations increased by 27.6%.

Sales in motor vehicles and motor vehicle parts and accessories stores not belonging to retail data increased by 3.5%.

OMV fuel station
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In July 2022:

Domestic retail sales amounted to HUF 1,472 billion at current prices.

Specialized and non-specialized food shops accounted for 47% of all retail sales, while the relevant figures for non-food retail trade and retail trade of petrol stations were 34% and 19% respectively.

In January–July 2022, compared to the same period of the previous year, adjusted for calendar effects:

The volume of retail trade increased by 9.3%.

The volume of sales rose by 1.4% in specialized and non-specialized food shops, by 11.0% in non-food retail trade and by 29.6% in automotive fuel retail trade.

national bank of Hungary -mnb nbh
Read alsoHungarian central bank raises base rate to 18-year high – UPDATE

UPDATE

Magyar Bankholding chief analyst Gergely Suppán said retail sales growth was lower than expected, suggesting the impact of fiscal transfers early in the year, such as a big tax refund for parents raising children, has tapered off, while households deal with rising inflation. He attributed the drop in food sales to the recovery in the catering sector as more consumers eat out rather than stock up at the supermarket.

He said retail sales growth could continue to slow in the coming months as households face higher energy bills because of restrictions on regulated utility prices and inflation bites into purchasing power. He added that purchases by foreign visitors to Hungary could provide some relief to the sector.

ING Bank senior analyst Péter Virovácz said the fresh data show consumers dialing back consumption at the start of the third quarter as they adapt to climbing inflation. Fiscal tightening, such as the restrictions of regulated utilities prices and the narrowing of eligibility for a popular sole proprietors’ tax, could amplify the trend, he added.

Hungary’s trade deficit climbed very high

freight transport along the Szeged-Röszke railway line has resumed

Hungary had a 471 million euro trade deficit in June, a first reading of data released by the Central Statistical Office (KSH) on Monday shows.

The data show exports rose by an annual 13.0 percent to 11.873 billion euros, while imports increased by 24.1 percent to 12.344 billion euros.

For the period January-June, Hungary’s trade deficit reached 2.158 billion euros. Exports rose by 16.2 percent to 69.304 billion euros and imports climbed 27.4 percent to 71.462 billion euros.

Magyar Bankholding chief analyst Gergely Suppán said the deficit for the month was “significantly larger” than expected, following a 96 million euro gap in May. Higher industrial output and factory gate prices are supporting exports, but strong demand and dearer commodities and energy prices are lifting imports, he added.

A slowdown in investment volume and consumption, paired with new production capacity and an easing of the semiconductor shortage, could improve the trade balance in the coming months, Suppán said.

Retail sector Hungary Aldi
Read alsoTrade union: shops should close on Sunday afternoons in Hungary

Shops are tricking the public to hide inflation in Hungary

Retail sector Hungary shop market

People often do not realise that they are getting less for their money than before. It is not only inflation and various global market trends that are causing prices to rise. Shops are also playing tricks to make us get less for our money. In the last year and a half, many products have been packaged smaller. This means that the prices that customers are used to do not change, but the shops still make a profit. Shrink inflation is also being seen in a number of products.

Smaller packaging, same price

There are many legends about how some products are packaged much smaller than expected. Many people think that milk is only 0.9 litres. Or a packet of cigarettes has less than it should. But these are legends, and are strictly regulated by the European Union and the Hungarian authorities.

But there is a basis for this legend too, napi.hu writes. Inflation has been around or above 10 percent for more than 10 months. The phenomenon is called “shrinkflation” or “deflation”. It is a process whereby the filling weight of some goods in the usual packaging is reduced.

So if you shop out of habit, you will not notice that the packaging is smaller than it should be. Shrink inflation is a mood-boosting service, experts say. People do not feel that products are becoming more expensive, while they are affected in the same way as if they were more expensive. One’s money is worth less, one can buy less in the shop, but often does not even notice.

Which products are concerned?

The first time shops use shrink inflation is in relation to their own brand products. You see it first in the case of their own-packaged salami, ham and dairy products. Now you can also find 80 gram packets of salami instead of 100 grams, and 450 or 400 grams of sour cream instead of 500 grams.

A comparative article was made with the help of mindenár.hu. The most frequent changes in the past year and a half have been in the weight and presentation of bakery products. In processed dairy products, yoghurts and sour cream have seen the biggest decreases.

The least product shrinkage was seen in cut and pre-packaged cheeses. Similarly, beer and butter have very few smaller packs. The Central Statistics Office said this trick is also reflected in the inflation figures.

Trade union: shops should close on Sunday afternoons in Hungary

Retail sector Hungary Aldi

Zoltán Karsai, the chairman of the Trade Union of Commercial Employees (KASZ), spoke about the idea yesterday. He said that opening hours should be reduced in Hungary because of the labour shortage affecting the retail sector. As a result, all shops should close at noon every Sunday.

Index.hu reported about Karsai’s announcement today. He wrote that the sector has been struggling with labour shortage even though employers continuously try to attract new employees with multiple methods. Despite all efforts, they cannot hire the needed number of people. Therefore, the KASZ suggested the reduction of opening hours in Hungary.

As a result, companies would be able to fill the busiest periods with the required workforce. Thanks to that, service quality could be improved, and firms would be able to reduce the workload on the individual employees, he added.

Therefore, the trade union would like to reduce the opening hours and close shops at noon every Sunday. KASZ believes such a regulation would be beneficial for the employees’ work and private life balance and indirectly every people. Firstly, they will start negotiations with other trade unions of the sector’s workers. They regard it as their final goal to create a regulation applying to all sector employees.

Interestingly, between 15 March 2015 and 23 April 2016, the government banned almost all shops and malls to open on Sundays. The initiative came from the Christian Democratic Party, Fidesz’s ally, and affected all shops having a floor area reaching 400 square metres. The idea behind the legislature was to give a rest day for families. The trade volume of the big chains decreased (most of them are multinational). Meanwhile, the (mostly Hungarian-owned) smaller shops got additional revenue.

There were, of course, exceptions: tobacco shops, pharmacies, fuel stations, drugstores and newsvendors. Moreover, bakeries could remain open but only until noon.

Opposition parties and NGOs tried to abolish the law but were unsuccessful until 2015 November, when a referendum question passed. As a result, the government abolished the ban in April 2016.

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Government to help Hungarian businesses to expand in foreign markets, says FM minister

szijjártó

Hungary’s government will help Hungarian-owned businesses to expand in foreign markets by all means at its disposal, Péter Szijjártó, the minister of foreign affairs and trade, told a foreign trade conference in Budapest on Monday.

Drawing investments and support of exports, as well as that of the foreign expansion of companies, is even more important in the current economic climate, the foreign ministry cited Szijjártó as saying.

He said Hungarian diplomats were expected to “find out about the investment plans of foreign companies as fast as possible, faster than everyone else… and to be the first to learn about business opportunities abroad.”

At the conference organised by the foreign ministry, the foreign minister signed cooperation agreements with five Hungarian companies as part of the government’s KEPP priority exporter partnership programme, including B+N Referencia Ipari, BioTech USA, Continest Technologies, Ganz Holding and Videoton Holding. These companies generated a combined revenue of 402.5 billion forints (EUR 1bn) last year, 49 percent of which came from exports, the ministry said.

Launched in 2019, KEPP has provided non-financial support to 40 Hungarian-owned businesses with a high share in Hungary’s exports.

As we wrote earlier, American ExxonMobil Hungary’s new Budapest office inaugurated last week, details HERE.