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False-flag military operation linked to Russians could destabilise Hungary ahead of 2026 election?
The Orbán government and its allied media machine have spent months warning that Hungarian soldiers will die in eastern Ukraine should the Tisza Party seize power in April. With Fidesz polling poorly, experts suggest that a false-flag operation involving Russian complicity is now conceivable to heighten war psychosis. They have even revealed when and where it might occur.
Escalating war psychosis
The Orbán regime faces its greatest test since 2010, confronting a credible internal Fidesz rival against whom all previous campaign tactics have failed. Surveys indicate Péter Magyar and the Tisza Party command 300,000–400,000 more supporters across the population.
The country has been plastered with posters for weeks claiming that a Tisza victory in April would send taxes and burdens soaring while subsidies vanish. Meanwhile, the government and its media allies stoke fears that a Magyar premiership would drag Hungary into war against Russia, resulting in countless Hungarian deaths on the front line. They recently amplified this with a major scandal involving an AI-generated video, which you can watch below:
Russian-backed false-flag operation on the cards?
László Róbert of Political Capital and Bódi Mátyás of Election Geography discussed on the Heti Válasz podcast how the government will intensify war psychosis in coming weeks—potentially via a false-flag operation coordinated with Russia.
The possibility has been raised not only by national security expert Péter Buda, a former intelligence chief, but by Péter Magyar himself. László and Bódi agree this threat can no longer be dismissed outright.
Details of the potential operation
László Róbert posits that such an operation could target the substantial Hungarian community in Transcarpathia, or indeed Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg County—or even Budapest. He added that it might entail an assassination attempt.
A false-flag operation, by definition, involves one group masquerading as another to divert suspicion. History abounds with examples: Adolf Hitler, the German dictator, launched his invasion of Poland only after German agents, dressed as Polish militiamen, attacked and seized the Gleiwitz radio station.
Bódi Mátyás concurs with László, though he narrows it to Transcarpathia. Both pinpoint late March or early April as the likely window.
Presidential system or election postponement?
In 2022, Fidesz secured a larger-than-expected two-thirds majority amid the war, capitalising on opposition candidate Péter Márki-Zay’s gaffes regarding Russia’s full-scale invasion and the appropriate response. Fidesz can thus reasonably hope a similar campaign will succeed again.
The experts rule out Orbán postponing the election or imposing a presidential system. Such moves, they argue, would signal defeat—potentially even delivering a two-thirds majority to Tisza and Magyar.
Hungary’s election is on 12 April.
The two experts note prior testing of public opinion via social media events like those below:
- Anti-Hungarian hate graffiti and arson in Ukraine: A coordinated false flag operation involving the Orbán Cabinet?
- The Russian government claims Ukraine is planning attacks on NATO, citing a Hungarian article
Check out the full podcast:
Fidesz and their Russian partners are desparate. By preparing the public with the idea that there is a high likelihood that they will try a false flag operation it will help to negate any influence benefit they may get if they try it. The Fidesz AI video was enough. They should have used images of fat man Orban and Szijjarto as two of the prisoners. I would watch that.
You really need to do more to gather information than just parrot the babble of the mainstream media. This isn’t about war; it’s about phasing out the Third Industrial Revolution. This is about feeding the Rockefellers with their newly begun Fourth Industrial Revolution, at the expense of innocent people.