Századvég’s poll: Hungary’s leading parties hold a comfortable lead
Hungary’s leading alliance of Fidesz and the Christian Democrats continues to hold a comfortable lead over the other parties, according to a new poll by the government-close Századvég.
Hungary’s leading parties are still strong
Taking the voting population as a whole, the ruling parties are backed by 40 percent of voters, with their nearest opposition rival, the Tisza Party, on 31 percent, Századvég told MTI on Monday. The radical Mi Hazánk (Our Homeland) party and the Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) are third with 6 percent each.
The left-wing opposition parties are currently below the 5 percent threshold for seats in parliament, Századvég said.
Altogether 8 percent of the poll’s respondents were undecided.
Among decided voters, Fidesz and the Christian Democrats would capture 43 percent of the vote if an election were held now, the Tisza Party would get 32 percent and Mi Hazánk and MKKP 7 percent each. The left-wing parties would fail to reach the parliamentary threshold.
Századvég conducted the poll this month with a sample of 1,000 adults.
Read also:
- Recent poll: Tisza Party gains momentum, outshining Hungary’s leading Fidesz Party
- Hungarian socialist party elects new leader
Featured image: depositphotos.com
I appreciate that polls are just that, a snapshot, moreover the outcome can be influenced by who you ask and the questions you ask and the sample size of this poll was a mere 1000, but, Szazadveg is effectively an arm of the government so they’re being asked to mark their own homework. The result contrasts starkly with not one, but two other polls a mere week ago putting Tisza and Fidesz on an equal footing, such a dramatically different outcome is hard to explain considering nothing has happened to alter people’s thinking in the meantime (beyond the daily drip feed of ever more combative rhetoric from the government and negative headline about the economy which supports the Tisza position and not a magic 10 points shift towards Fidesz). I’m afraid that if I had to guess this poll has been hurried out of the door to both overlay and cloud the impact and validity of the previous two that were pointing to Tisza and Fidesz amongst decided voters being essentially neck and neck. We know that merely being seen to be a winner can be as powerful as actually winning.
Interpretation is Orbán and Fidesz are nervous about Magyar and Tisza after recent polls; this is the US Trump and GOP playback using dropping dodgy polls &/or averages to appear competitive, using electoral polling psychology.