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PM Orbán in deep trouble, Tisza riding high? New polls show what people think of the past 4 years and what they’re afraid of
Fewer and fewer people trust pollsters these days, especially on party preferences. Yet ahead of a parliamentary election, the big question always looms: do people want the current Orbán government to carry on because it suits them personally (or what might replace it feels too terrifying), or does the majority see the economy as worse, demanding something fresh? On this front, Fidesz has no reason to kick back, according to the latest survey.
Hungarians are fed up with their lot
Republikon discovered that 75% of all respondents say they live worse than four years ago, Népszava wrote. Even so, the real puzzle is how many the government can convince; this stems not from its rule, but from outside forces (war, pandemic, economic crisis, weather, and so on). If every one of them voted against Fidesz, Orbán’s crew wouldn’t enjoy such high support across the whole population (a Median poll from early January puts the ruling parties at 33%).
Among Fidesz voters, 38% – a hefty third – reckon things are running worse than in 2022, yet they’d still back Orbán for another term. That means they don’t blame the government for the economic woes, or they weigh non-financial factors when casting their vote.
The current gloomy mood shines through in Republikon’s survey from 10-15 December, where just 8% of Hungarians deemed the economic situation plain good. No shock, then, that 93% of Tisza supporters view their living standards as dire, while 80% of undecideds feel worse off than in 2022. Republikon asks: how many believe a government change will improve their lot and vote that way on 12 April? Or perhaps they fear Hungary getting dragged into war, savable only by Viktor Orbán.
Massive divides among Hungarian voters
As the world watches whether Viktor Orbán – early bird of the global “patriot” flock – can cling to power, a huge age chasm has cracked open among voters. Orbán’s lot lead 49% among those over 65, but under-30s barely back the government at all – it’s 67-12 for Tisza. With an ageing society, seniors outnumber youth, and their turnout at elections is rock-solid compared to the young – a decade-long trend.
No wonder Péter Magyar campaigns on every Tisza youth, convincing their grandma or grandad to vote for change, and vice versa. Viktor Orbán lately railed in Miskolc that parents bear responsibility for where their kids cast votes in what he calls the fateful April parliamentary elections, reports Telex.
Education splits society too: the more educated, the more they lean Tisza – among degree-holders, it’s 53-25, while Fidesz tops 56% among those with just eight grades max. Same with settlements: the bigger the town, the stronger the Tisza pull. In Budapest, Tisza leads 53-25; in villages, Fidesz edges 39-37.
What are Hungarians scared of?
A Median study cited by 24.hu reveals Hungarians fear an EU exit more than war dragging in the country – child protection worries them more than Ukraine’s fallout in Europe. Plus, crumbling education and healthcare, alongside rampant corruption, rile them up even more.
Parliamentary elections are held on 12 April, with the new government – whoever wins – forming in May.
If you had to put money on the winner, the picture would be pretty clear, as you can also read in our article.
Of course, there is still a long way to go until the elections, and there may even be a surprise guest turning up to turbocharge Fidesz’s campaign.
The only way Hungary leaves the EU is, that Fidesz doesn’t get 50%, but has more votes then Tisza, so Orbán needs Mi Hazánk to govern the nation. Orbán is consistent on the issue.
It is however, quite ironic, that Tisza spreading the hoax, that Orbán will leave the EU, potentially reducing their vote share, has the potential to force Orbán to do exactly that.
So go on Tisza!
I and all the other Mi Hazánk voters welcome your lies as great assets.
Yes, Dear Márk, I pray for exactly this result – that Fidesz gets just enough votes to need Mi Hazánk to govern!
This would actually ensure that the next years would see some improvements for Hungary, without dangerous things occurring – like a Bruxelles-orchestrated Muslim invasion or the homosexualification of your children.
Thank you for supporting Toroczkai László.
He gives me hope for the future of all European peoples.
Mi Hazánk bot !!!!
How the heck Mouton you can write László???!!!
Such a stupid robot
TISZA is on top, I hope Ukraine, the United Kingdom and France will help TISZA win the election.
Near 16 years continuing something worse, Hungary must say NO KINGS.
If Orban wins, Trump will become stronger, capture Greenland, and Putin will sit in Brussels and Kyiv. As both of true friends, Putin ate them on the lunch!
Thank you for your excellent English, Dear Volodymyr.
I am sorry what The West has done to your country. Millions of good Ukrainian men lost forever for the benefits of the bankers, in whose service CIA/MI6/Mossad overturned your legitimate government, 3 times, since 1991.
This last overthrow of your government was simply to get at Vladimir Putin.
But, yes, Vladimir will sit in Kiev if he wishes, or perhaps better said – if Europe continues the war.
Orbán will not decide any of this – even if he is in office until 2040.
It is simply up to Western European bankers to stop using countries on Russia’s border to try and destabilize Russia.
If they stop, Ukrainians can stop dying, and Ukrainians can return home, although now half of it will belong to the bankers – or, if you will, Blackrock- it now the largest landowner in Ukraine.
Such a stupid bot Mouton!!
😂
The government is responsible for how you live and they have failed miserably. Fidesz failure to comply with Rule Of Law obligations as an EU member has cost every Hungarian thousands of euros and will continue to cost Hungarians as long as they are in power. On top of that Fidesz is draining the wealth of Hungarians with their corruption and suppressing economic growth by forcing businesses to go into the hands of connected party men who exploit transactions for profit but have little acumen in running these companies. Hence, a pipe fitter is the biggest businessman in the country. I know someone who worked on one of Meszaros’ construction projects involving a demolition. There was a group of men there day after day for weeks with no work to do and no tools provided. It was all a paper business.
“The government is responsible for how you live”
Ahm…. did you miss, that we abandoned communism in 1989?
That’s a meaningless rhetorical answer. Government sets rules for business, levies taxes on both businesses and individuals and either spends that money wisely or wastes it. It provides infrastructure such as roads, public transportation, as well as hospitals, schools policing, etc. Stop with the BS. Fidesz has failed in all of this and Fidesz has distorted markets for energy for political purposes, enacted wage subsidy practices which are discriminatory against older workers, discrimnate against and attacked in mafia fashion businesses that are not party connected in many cases forcing their sale to the Fidesz elite. This is fascism which is another form of oppressive government.
What a load of rubbish!!! Most of these pollsters are run by leftist libtards, you know, the same ones that put down Trump and predicted a Kamala Harris win in the US! Naturally, they will barrack for a wife beating looser and marxist EU stooge (like that weirdo Macron in France) who will destroy Hungary like he destroyed his own wife, Péter Magyar, rather than the tried and tested politician that is the envy of the rest of the World, Viktor Orban!
Would Magyar Péter open the borders to Islam? Would we see the things happening in other European countries if he wins?
Yes, and yes.
And no, he won’t win.
An idiotic, aggressive, disloyal person, that lies, spies and hides his intentions.
Such a candidate is frankly, an outrage. I am offended, that the liberal opposition can’t field a better candidate.
What is his background? What is his history as a politician?
Hungary is in big trouble if Orban doesnt stay in.
The only leader in the EU working to stop the killing for 4 years- yet you have the brilliant folks at the EU gearing up to put boots on the ground in russia. If that wasnt enough they start some shit with US. We know the US is shaking at show of force in greenland by europe. Threating to use NATO against the US. The US is NATO and has been since it formed.
The US spent trillions to end the the USSR and set free all of eastern europe.
The US has had major force in germany since end of WW2. I guess your education is failing. The US spent billions to rebuild western europe after the war. Same was offered for eastern Europe, but stalin rejected it. Sorry kids ,trump has contemt for the leaders of the EU and wants no war with Russia. The west promised they would not move the EU and Nato into Ukraine .they started by eliminating the twice elected leader who was against it.
EU- UK- NATO and the US left did just that – they were the coruptiion in Ukraine.
That is Kremlin speak. It is Russia which is the aggressor invading both Ukraine and Georgia. The EU and NATO cannot possibly have any intention of invading nuclear sabre rattling Russia. That is complete rubbish for idiots. Russia is a gas station masquerading as a world power which is turning itself into a vassal state of China. It projects power by mafia brutality and aggression. It is far behind in technological development. Russia is burning through its’ cash reserves and Putin is desperate to show that he is not weak but he has failed miserably to make progress to win against a much smaller country after four years of war. He has sent between 250,000 and more than 300,000 Russians to their deaths in Ukraine and they will keep dying day after day all for his evil ego and desire to hold power. Russians, however, have had enough of it and he is getting worried about that.