Ukraine

Brussels’ final warning to PM Orbán: Hungarian economy at risk if he vetoes

European Union Orbán EU

The European Union is contemplating sanctions against Hungary, potentially impacting the nation’s economy. Prime Minister Orbán faces a crucial decision on the 1st of February, necessitating careful planning to avert endangering the country’s economic well-being.

An extraordinary summit on the 1st of February, featuring EU Leaders, is poised to address the next financial aid package for Ukraine, an event of undeniable importance for both Ukraine and Hungary. This summit assumes significance due to the EU’s reported intention, as per the Financial Times, to address Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s previous veto of the financial aid package in December. The EU plans to extend 50 billion euros to Ukraine through joint borrowing by member states, a move contested by Orbán, who vowed to veto the package regardless of conditions. Recent alterations in the EU’s financial structure grant the European Council a voice in the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RFF), a departure from the exclusive management by the European Commission.

The reason behind the EU’s plan to use joint borrowing for the 50 billion euros is the cost-effectiveness and potential political risk reduction, avoiding the need for approval from each nation’s parliament if states were to borrow individually.

The risk of the aid not materialising poses a significant threat to Ukraine, relying on foreign financial aid since the Russian attack. The vetoing of this package could lead to further deterioration of the Hungarian-Ukrainian relations and may distance Hungary from other member countries. There are already talks about additional sanctions if the Prime Minister decides to veto the financial bill. This time, it may not directly affect the economy, but it could harm the nation just as much as the previous one.

Although this is currently just a plan and no actions have been taken, the news has already prompted a drop in the value of the already weak forint and a decrease in the price of OTP stocks.

This could also interest you:

  • Read more about another sanction which Hungary might face in the EU HERE
  • Read about Hungarian forint the weakest this year HERE

Reactions from the Orbán government

The Hungarian government “will not give in to blackmail”, the minister of European affairs said on Facebook on Monday, in reaction to press reports suggesting that EU members could try and withhold community funding from Hungary “unless the EU summit on February 1 passes a decision on aid to Ukraine”.

János Bóka said the reports “support the Hungarian government’s assertion that Brussels uses access to funding for exerting political pressure”.

“Hungary does not link aid to Ukraine with its accessing EU funds and rejects others’ doing so. Hungary has been a constructive participant in negotiations and will not give in to blackmail,”

the minister said.

“Brussels uses blackmail against Hungary as if there were no tomorrow”

– Prime Minister Orbán’s political director Balázs Orbán wrote on X (formerly Twitter) on Monday in response to a Financial Times article last weekend.

UPDATE

EU commissioner: If situation in Hungary worsens, EC could block funds again

EU had enough of Hungary’s antics, PM Orbán may lose his veto right

PM Viktor Orbán Ukraine EU accession

Due to recent developments, the European Union has reportedly threatened Hungary more than ever before. Hungary has been vetoing in the EU left and right for a while now. It seems now that the EU just about had enough. Now, the forever question has grown even bigger: what should they do with Orbán’s erratic politics?

Brussels has warned Hungary that it could have its voting rights within the EU taken away if it continues its sabotaging behaviour at the summit on 1 February. Hopefully, if all goes well and Hungary won’t stand in the way again, they will have an agreement on the budget and the EUR 50 billion aid to Ukraine.

Article 7

As Index writes, the most severe political sanction within the EU is Article 7 which, once invoked, suspends the sanctioned country’s voting rights on all EU decisions. This would put the Hungarian politicians at a breaking point. The trust between the two parties is already extremely fragile, but if Article 7 goes through, the damage might be irrepairable.

This could also interest you:

  • Read about Szijjártó’s recent outburst HERE
  • Read more about a country’s accession to the EU, that Hungary wouldn’t mind HERE

What about the US?

Many European politicians are worried about Hungary’s pro-Kremlin politics. Especially with the international political scene changing so fast in the previous months, things only seem to be speeding up. Considering the current political shifts that seem to be going on in the world, Washington struggles to agree to the EU’s financial contributions to Kyiv.

The Pentagon announced this Tuesday that Ukraine’s frontline soldiers are running out of ammunition without the US’s support behind them. Especially now, before the looming re-election of Donald Trump, who seems to favor the Russian side of the war that has been going on for almost two years now. Europe is starting to scramble their resources in aid of Ukraine. Seems like Orbán didn’t choose the right time for his vetoing, since EU politicians are getting tired of his antics.

1 February

Things are looking bad, according to the report made by Politico. In the report, they write that five politicians think it is a real possibility that the EU is ready to take serious steps, abandoning the previous „soft” tactics towards Hungary. All hands will be revealed on 1 February at the summit. According to an EU diplomat, if Viktor Orbán blocks the agreement again, the application of Article 7 will become much more than just a far-away consequence.

Hungary has not been afraid of going against the EU in the past, so things are looking glum in this regard. In December, he was the only one to veto the EUR 50 billion support for Ukraine. Hungary’s attempt to distribute the financing for Ukraine annually was rejected by most national capitals. During the same month, the Prime Minister stated on public radio station Kossuth that the veto of the EUR 50 billion was necessary, considering the interests of Hungarian farmers and that a renegotiation is to be expected around February. We’ll see what goes down at the summit. Until then, we can only hope that Orbán will listen to the warning of the EU.

Hungarian government says National Consultation was a success: but was it?

The government has processed the results of the latest National Consultation public survey and found that the more than 1.5 million respondents “overwhelmingly supported” Hungary’s national sovereignty, the government spokeswoman said on Thursday.

Over 98 percent of respondents favoured a ceasefire and peace in Ukraine over weapons deliveries, Alexandra Szentkirályi said in a video on Facebook. Respondents also opposed the establishment of “migrant ghettos” in Hungary and said child protection regulations should be tightened. They also expressed support for Hungarian farmers and the agriculture sector’s GMO-free status, she said, adding that respondents also wanted stronger steps taken against foreign influence.

More than 98 percent of respondents said the caps on household utility bills should be kept in place and that the freeze on interest rates should be extended to this year, Szentkirályi said. Close to 98 percent supported maintaining taxes on excessive corporate profits.

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Was this truly a success?

Originally planned for 7 weeks, the campaign was extended by one week to 17 January 2024 due to the relatively low response. Out of more than 8 million people eligible to fill in the questionnaire, only 1.5 million returned it. In protest against the government’s demagogic propaganda and in favour of dialogue on real issues, aHang, the Egységes Diákfront (United Student Front) and the Szikra Mozgalom (Spark Movement) are collecting blank questionnaires until the end of January.

FM Szijjártó receives death threat before his Ukraine visit

Hungarian FM

Recently, news has surfaced regarding a death threat received by Hungarian Foreign Minister, Péter Szijjártó. Reports indicate that the menacing email, written in Ukrainian, was dispatched to the the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade’s Ukrainian representative. Later, the Foreign Minister confirmed the news regarding the death threat, prompting an elevation in his security measures.

The death threat

As Portfolio has reported, on January 29, Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Péter Szijjártó, is slated to visit Ukraine for discussions with his Ukrainian counterpart, Dmytro Kuleba. Szijjártó had earlier mentioned the presence of a robust Ukrainian delegation, including key figures like the head of the President’s Office and the Ukrainian Foreign Minister, aiming to lay the groundwork for the upcoming meeting between Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. According to Portfolio’s sources, the threatening email in Ukrainian was sent to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade’s Ukrainian representative. The email reads as follows:

Hungarians, we hate your government, which continues to do everything to make us lose the war. Do you believe your minister will just come to us after the attacks on Ukraine? We do not think so. So you can expect an explosive welcome on 29 January. An armoured train will not save you. We suggest that you place an order with a funeral home so that they can start making a coffin for Szijjártó to fit his height. God forgives, but the Ukrainians do not.

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Confirmation by PM Szijjártó

During a Brussels press conference today, Péter Szijjártó verified the authenticity of the threat. He revealed receiving a death threat from a Ukrainian source via the embassy in Kyiv, aiming to cast a shadow over the upcoming foreign ministers’ meeting scheduled for next Monday. Szijjártó added, “We have been assured by the Ukrainian authorities that the highest security measures will be in place for the Ukrainian-Hungarian Foreign Ministers’ meeting in Uzhhorod.”

Personal security measures

According to Paczolay Máté, Chief of Press at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, the planned meeting in Ukraine will proceed despite the threat, Blikk reports. Minister Szijjártó benefits from the protection offered by the Counter Terrorism Centre, falling into the category of public figures receiving the highest personal security, akin to the President of the Republic, the Prime Minister, the President of Parliament and the Attorney General.

Reactions to the threat

Some Hungarian politicians, appalled by the threat, have spoken out. Tamás Menczer, Member of the National Assembly of Hungary, expressed his views on Facebook. He acknowledges the escalating pressure but asserts that a death threat won’t deter PM Szijjártó from representing Hungarian interests. Menczer emphasised the resilience of the Hungarian nation, stating that it will not succumb to pressure and will continue to advocate for peace.

Hungarian FM: Economic cooperation should not be ideologically tainted

Szijjártó Péter

Economic cooperation amid the massive challenges facing global trade should not be ideologically and politically tainted, Péter Szijjártó, the minister of foreign affairs and trade, said in Brussels on Tuesday, arguing that a plan to screen investments was politically motivated.

Arriving at the European Union Council meeting on trade affairs, Szijjártó told journalists that numerous “unfounded hostile statements” had been made recently regarding Chinese investments.

He said EU member states that were uncompetitive when it came to attracting investments resorted to such statements. Hungary, he added, was not in favour of de-risking.

Hungary, the minister said, believed that rational East-West economic cooperation based on mutual respect could be rekindled. This, he added, would be a crucial basis for global economic development, and he noted that Hungary had become a hub for Eastern and Western investors.

Despite not being among the world’s largest economies, Hungary has one of the most open economies, with exports worth 80-85 percent of GDP, he noted, arguing that the government therefore fully stood behind global free trade.

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Given current security and political challenges in this area, freedom of navigation must be maintained worldwide, he said.

Asked about the government’s ban of Ukrainian grain imports, Szijjártó said Hungary would maintain it so as to protect its domestic market.

“We should return to the original agreement on keeping transport routes of Ukrainian grain open,” he said, noting that Ukrainian agricultural produce had flooded central European markets, which, he said, had flouted the agreement.

Still, he said Hungary even made consequential investments to ensure that Ukrainian grain reached the states where it is really needed via Hungary. “Transit is fine; imports are not,” he said.

Pressure to satisfy expectations behind latest EU sanctions package, says Hungarian FM Szijjártó

szijjártó foreign minister

Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó on Monday said the main driver behind the European Union’s latest sanctions package against Russia was that it felt under pressure to be seen to satisfy expectations.

Responding to journalists’ questions at a press conference after a meeting of the Foreign Affairs Council in Brussels, Szijjártó said several member states “want to be seen as doing something”.

On another subject, he noted that he will meet his Ukrainian counterpart, Dmytro Kuleba, and the head of the Ukrainian Presidential Office, Andriy Yermak, in Uzhhorod (Ungvár) on Jan 29, and they will try to cover every difficult issue regarding their bilateral relations.

One such aspect, he said, was Hungary’s continued refusal to back a new 500 million euro package from the European Peace Facility for weapons deliveries to Ukraine.

“Here we said we’d be willing to consider supporting this aid if we got guarantees that Ukraine wouldn’t discriminate against Hungarian companies anymore, and didn’t cause them problems by pointlessly adding them to the list of international sponsors of war for no reason,”

Szijjártó said. “We’ll see if we can make progress in this matter on January 29.”

Today we also reported from Brussels:

Concerning the start of Ukraine’s EU accession talks, Szijjártó noted that Hungary’s position was that the European Council had made a “bad and harmful decision” in December, “for which our country wants to take no responsibility”.

“And we will stick to that position,” he said.

“Of course, we understand that they’re trying to discredit this position and put pressure on us, either by saying that the position isn’t tough enough, or with other things, but this doesn’t affect us.”

As regards next week’s special EU summit, Szijjártó said Hungary “won’t be a partner in conflating unrelated things”.

Meanwhile, the minister said his Israeli counterpart had also taken part in the Foreign Affairs Council’s discussion of the Middle East conflict, adding that several member states had expressed criticism of Israel as well as “positions that are very far from that of Hungary”.

But he said the discussion had not been heated, and Israel’s foreign minister had emphasised the need for cooperation, standing up for his country’s national position.

Hungary will not block other EU member states weapons deliveries to Ukraine

foreign council europe

Hungary will remain uninvolved in weapons deliveries to Ukraine, but will not block other European Union member states from sending them, Foreign Minister Peter Szijjártó said in Brussels on Monday, adding that the Hungarian government refused to bear any financial burdens of the arms supplies.

EU member states “still refuse to abandon their failed strategy, despite its failures having been proven over the past weeks”, Szijjártó told a press conference after a meeting of the EU Foreign Affairs Council, according to a ministry statement.

“The longer this war goes on, the more people will die and the greater the destruction will be,” the minister said.

He criticised as “disappointing” a proposal by the European External Action Service (EEAS) to allocate 5 billion euros within the European Peace Facility towards weapons deliveries this year, which would then be extended on a yearly basis.

Szijjártó said that though this was “a notch softer” than the previous proposal, it still signalled a long-term commitment to the war.

Under the EEAS’s proposal, Hungary’s contribution would have to be 23 billion forints (EUR 60.1m).

“Giving new momentum to weapons deliveries is completely unacceptable to Hungary,” the minister said. He added, at the same time, that the Hungarian government did not want to block any other member state from supplying weapons to Ukraine, noting that they were accountable to their own electorate.

“We certainly won’t spend another 23 billion forints of our taxpayers’ money over a single year so that others could send weapons to Ukraine, which protracts the war, extends the suffering and brings more death and destruction,” he said.

Szijjártó said the EU should instead open the channels of communication and help secure a ceasefire and the start of peace talks between the warring sides.

  • read also: Chance for an Orbán-Zelenskyy summit increases: Hungary’s foreign minister to meet his Ukrainian counterpart, details HERE

Meanwhile, Szijjártó said he and his counterparts had also discussed a thirteenth sanctions package against Russia, “even though the restrictions imposed so far have mainly hurt Europe and haven’t moved the conflict any closer to a settlement”.

“But of course, if one brings this up, as I regularly do, I’m immediately accused of spreading Russian propaganda,” he said.

Szijjártó said he had warned his counterparts against imposing any sanctions on the nuclear industry, saying Hungary would not support any such measure.

He also pointed out that Russia last year became the United States’ top supplier of enriched uranium, citing reports of imports worth over one billion dollars.

As we wrote today, after a meeting of the EU Foreign Affairs Council, Szijjártó told a press conference that Hungary’s standpoint was “crystal clear”: it must never be forgotten what triggered the conflict in the Middle East. Read here: Hungarian Foreign Minister: Israel’s goal of destroying Hamas is not only understandable, but legitimate

Chance for an Orbán-Zelenskyy summit increases: Hungary’s foreign minister to meet his Ukrainian counterpart

zelensky orbán

The foreign ministers of Hungary and Ukraine will meet in Uzhhorod (Ungvár) on Jan 29, the Hungarian foreign minister said on Facebook on Friday.

Péter Szijjártó said he talked with the head of the Ukrainian Presidential Office, Andriy Yermak, over the phone, and discussed with him the most important issues in the two countries’ bilateral ties.

The Ukrainian foreign minister and Yermak will also be part of the delegation, Szijjártó said.

Szijjártó said he hoped to touch on all the important issues in bilateral relations, especially that of the “curbed rights of the Hungarian minority and the long-term future of bilateral relations.”

Read also:

  • President Novák: Russia cannot win – Read more HERE
  • Orbán: ‘There is no war in Ukraine’ as no declaration of war from Russia – Details in THIS article

Minister: PM Orbán tried to convince EU leaders that Ukraine could not win

orbán press briefing

Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is an “indispensable” player of the conservative camp, and European conservative cooperation is only possible with his Fidesz party, the minister for European affairs told the French daily Le Monde.

In the interview published on Friday, János Boka said Orbán had tried and failed to convince the heads of other member states to abandon the “questionable European strategy based on the belief that Ukraine would win the war” and to reach consensus. When that didn’t happen, Orban left the room to express his rejection of the start of accession talks with Ukraine, Boka said.

At the same time, Boka said Hungary welcomes “some member states” and the EC’s work on a proposal to separate aid for Ukraine from the EU budget. “We propose to adopt [the budget for support of Ukraine] based on an annual, unanimous vote.”

Meanwhile, Boka said that Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto was slated to meet his Ukrainian counterpart, Dmytro Kuleba, on Jan 29, to prepare a meeting between Orban and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, “if there is hope of such a meeting bringing substantial progress.”

HERE you may read the full article in French.

Read also:

  • Orbán expects a busy year in diplomacy in 2024
  • Viktor Orbán could face another brutal attack from the EU – Read more HERE

This is how Ukraine could become ‘a real European country’ according to State Secretary Németh

Németh Zsolt Fidesz politician revolution of national cohesion

Hungary firmly condemns Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine, but unless the country “takes the weapon of linguistic self-defence out of the Russian president’s hands”, he will get to hold on to that “nuclear option”, the head of parliament’s foreign affairs committee said on Friday.

Showing generosity to minorities regarding the use of their mother tongue could give Ukraine “a real European future”, Zsolt Németh said at the presentation of a book on the survival of the country’s Transcarpathian Hungarian community. Noting the coming talks between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, he said such an approach would benefit not just Transcarpathian Hungarians but all people of Ukraine.

Németh said the recent amendments to Ukraine’s minority law were “a good start, but it needs to go farther”. He added that the Venice Commission, the Council of Europe, the European Union and the bilateral talks held so far made it clear that Ukraine must restore the state of affairs that pertained in 2014.

He said the current law did not guarantee cultural autonomy, collective rights, parliamentary representation or the possibility of using the mother tongue as an official language. Moreover, he added, the law did not ensure the legal institution of national minority education, the use of minority languages for place names or the free use of symbols.

He noted that the CoE Monitoring Committee was set to debate whether Ukraine’s amendment of its minority law is enough to meet the country’s international obligations.

Ukraine could make the most progress in becoming “a real European country” by ensuring linguistic and cultural equality for minorities, Németh said.

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Fidesz: Hungarian government doesn’t attach too much significance to EU presidency

Gergely Gulyás

Gulyás said the government’s economic policy would meet the challenges of inflation and sustaining real wage increases, while the “spectacular” increase in teachers’ salaries may contribute a higher quality of public education.

Government spokeswoman Alexandra Szentkirályi said a total 1,518,455 people had filled out the government’s latest National Consultation public survey by the Wednesday deadline, expressing their opinion on several issues that fundamentally affected the country’s sovereignty.

Some 84 percent of respondents returned the questionnaire by mail, Szentkirályi said.

“Hungarians, unlike other EU citizens, had the opportunity to give their opinion on issues that seriously affect them, such as Brussels’ migration plan, weapon deliveries, Ukraine’s EU membership and Ukrainian GMO grain,” she said.

Answering a question, Gulyás said it was “inconceivable” that Hungary could be deprived of its EU presidency in the second half of the year. But, he added, Hungary would be “doing the European Union a favour” by providing “a uniform government, with leadership skills and experience…” he said.

The rotating presidency “is symbolic”, and the Hungarian government “doesn’t attach too much significance to it, but it will do a decent job,” Gulyás added.

Concerning the government’s negotiations with the European Commission concerning frozen community funding, Gulyás said he was “fundamentally optimistic” but “there can be no compromise over migration and child protection.” “We are negotiating on the other areas and we trust that we can strike an agreement,” he said. “Several billion euros” could be obtained even without agreement on the two contested issues, he said, adding that a “raw power struggle was taking place”. “They don’t like the Hungarian government because of those two headings and they will only give us money when they think they have to.”

Regarding the further tightening of the child protection law, Gulyás said that the current system essentially worked, but there was no obstacle in the way of MPs to make “an even better proposal that increases efficacy”.

Concerning the upcoming European parliamentary elections, Gulyás said that “despite differences in political views, Hungary would likely end up with 21 MEPs able to promote Hungary’s interests”. He added that today, however, opposition MEPs were working “to put the commission in a position” in which it could refuse to forward funds to Hungary.

“MEPs of Hungary’s leftist parties are in a clear and sharp opposition to Hungary’s interest,” he insisted.

On the subject of Ukraine, Gulyás said Hungary was “not against supporting Ukraine, as we have provided support indirectly, both bilaterally and on an EU basis”. The Hungarian government, he added, had suggested that the issue should be separated from the EU budget and aid should be provided on a bilateral basis.

Asked about a possible Hungary-Ukraine summit, he said Transcarpathian Hungarians should be on its agenda, because “they have not been restored [their] rights before the first amendment to Ukraine’s education law”.

Asked whether Hungarian tensions with Ukraine could be eased, Gulyás said he could not exclude that possibility. The Hungarian government “has the constitutional obligation to strive for good neighbourly and international relations”, while it also has “a special interest to Transcarpathian Hungarians”.

Concerning a possible meeting between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Gulyás quoted the prime minister as saying that he would not exclude the possibility of such talks “if they have a point … if progress could be made in terms of understanding one another’s positions or moving towards peace.”

On the subject of measures by the new Polish government, Gulyás advised voters “to consider carefully how they vote”. “If anyone has had doubts about the unfair and hypocritical double standards which rule Brussels, it is enough to have a look at developments in Poland…”

“The Hungarian government considers that one of the great weakness of the current EU is that it interferes in domestic affairs,” he added.

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President Novák: Russia cannot win

wef world economic forum novák

It is vitally important to avoid a third world war and prevent the escalation of the war in Ukraine, President Katalin Novák told a panel discussion at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Wednesday.

Answering a question by the chair of the panel entitled Defending Europe’s United Front, Novák argued in favour of the EU continuing to help Ukraine in order to prevent Russia from winning the war, and she said Hungary continued to support this aim.

Novák noted that neither NATO nor the EU were military participants in the war, and, she added, this must remain the case. “We mustn’t get involved militarily in the conflict,” she said, adding that it was vitally important to preserve peace and security.

Asked about Ukraine’s chances of winning the war and whether Ukraine’s victory was key to maintaining Europe’s security, Novák said: “Russia cannot win”.

Novák said Russia’s aggression must be condemned and it must be stated clearly which side was the aggressor and which one was being attacked.

“It is clear that Russia has crossed the Rubicon,” she said.

Russia’s aggression had a direct impact on Hungary due to its geographic location and in light of the ethnic Hungarian community living in western Ukraine, Novák said.

“War and aggression cannot be a solution,” she said. Hungary has signed up to the peace plan put forward by Ukraine, she noted, adding that work must be done to establish peace.

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Here is how Hungary would support Ukraine with money

Money laundering Budapest

Rather than financing Ukraine directly, the European Union should put money into its Ukraine strategy which may include financial or other aid to Ukraine, Janos Boka, Hungary’s European affairs minister, told daily Corriere della Sera during a visit to Italy on Tuesday.

Quoting from his interview, Boka said on Facebook that the Hungarian government had proposed strategic negotiations concerning the EU’s Ukrainian policy because “the earlier strategy, based on the assumption that Ukraine would win on the battleground and that would bring about a political change in Russia, has not worked and we have to adapt to that.”

The Hungarian government, he said, proposed “a more conservative planning approach” than the European Commission’s proposal of granting Ukraine financing for four years ahead. Shorter periods, with a review at the end of each, would be necessary, he said. Hungary has also proposed that EU members and international financiers should volunteer to set up a special fund, he added.

Meanwhile, Boka said it was in Hungary’s strategic interest “to have a stable entity between Hungary and Russia, an entity which is as committed as possible to European structures.”

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine could only be resolved politically, “there being no military solution”, Boka said, and he underlined Hungary’s call for an immediate ceasefire and talks between the parties.

Boka said there was no connection between the cause of European aid to Ukraine and issues around frozen EU funds. “We fully comply with the rules enabling us to receive the European funds due to Hungary,” he said.

Concerning the Hungarian prime minister, Boka said Viktor Orbán was “one of the most important conservative points of reference in Europe, irrespective of which party group his Fidesz party joins.”

Hungary presses for annual reviews of Ukraine Facility

Hungary backs annual reviews of the Ukraine Facility, the European Union’s proposed instrument to provide financial support to Ukraine, Finance Minister Mihaly Varga said after a meeting of his EU peers in Brussels on Tuesday.

Hungary takes the position that the instrument, which would deliver EUR 50bn in financing to Ukraine over four years, should be assessed on an annual basis, Mr Varga said. In that framework, the European Commission would review the need for resources and their use and take a decision on the following year’s disbursement in that context, he added.

“We ended the meeting with the hope that when a final decision on the instrument is taken at an EU summit on February 1, Hungary’s proposals will also be weighed. Efforts must be made, as till now, to work on a solution that is acceptable for all member states,” Mr Varga said. Mr Varga noted that the EC had put Hungary’s 2024 GDP growth at 2.4pc in its autumn forecast released in November, under the government’s latest forecast for 3.6pc growth.

Fidesz MEP slams EU ‘double standards’ on Poland

Balázs Hidvéghi, an MEP of ruling Fidesz, on Tuesday slammed Brussels for applying “double standards” and remaining silent in the face of “blatant violations of the rule of law in Poland”.

Hidvéghi insisted the recently elected Polish government headed by former European Council President Donald Tusk had launched a political revenge campaign against its opponents. “It’s trampling down on the principle of the rule of law of democracy. It’s attacking independent organisations like the media or the courts and there is not even a question raised in this house about that,” Hidvéghi said in a video of his speech in the EP posted on Facebook on Tuesday.

Donald Tusk’s government is not threatened with an Article 7 procedure, Hidvéghi said. “This is a textbook example of the double standards on the rule of law,” Hidveghi said, calling for respect for the rule of law. “When your friend breaks the rules, you need to raise your voice, just as much as when you think somebody else does it.”

Hidvéghi wrote in the post of the video: “The Tusk government has demolished the Polish rule of law in a matter of weeks. And yet, no procedures from Brussels. Just because it’s a pal of theirs doing it. In times of the earlier right-wing government, a baseless accusation was enough…”

Read also:

  • Hungary’s new demands: EU financial aid for Ukraine hangs in the balance – Read more HERE
  • Hungary receives money from Brussels: the European Commission has allocated €140.1 million

Orbán’s Fidesz: Ceasefire, fair, lasting peace needed in Ukraine ASAP

Ceasefire and peace talks needed in Ukraine

The European Union and the Belgian presidency of the Council of the EU must consider achieving a ceasefire and peace talks resulting in a lasting and fair peace in Ukraine a priority, the head of ruling Fidesz’s group in the European Parliament said on Tuesday.

Kinga Gál told Hungarian journalists after a debate on the Belgian presidency’s programme and help for Ukraine that financial support for Ukraine was important but it was necessary to clarify first how much money had been spent on the war already and how this support had been used.

Hungary would not support the plan to take out a joint EU loan for helping Ukraine, she said. “The situation involving a prolonged war makes it difficult to plan ahead for four years; it is difficult to tell what type of financing Ukraine will need,” she said. It would be important to review the support annually, and European leaders should discuss this proposal at the extraordinary meeting to be held on Feb 1, she added.

Fundamental changes are needed

The Belgian presidency should return to the discussion of “Brussels’ forced and faulty migration pact” because the consequences of Europe’s migration policy “are now suffered by innocent people in the streets of western Europe, while anti-Semitism is growing stronger,” she said.

“Fundamental changes are needed to stop illegal migration at the external borders,” she said. “Member states that protect external borders should receive financial support from Brussels,” she added.

She called for an end to “double standards concerning the rule of law in EU decision-making”. She said it was unacceptable that Hungary was regularly targeted while “Brussels has been deeply silent for weeks about violations of the law in Warsaw.”

She expressed hope that the EP elections in June would bring about change and “the sovereigntist side can finally put an end to Brussels’ hypocrisy”.

Read also:

  • Erasmus program in Hungary saved? Unexpected help from the European Parliament – Read more HERE
  • Hungary’s new demands: EU financial aid for Ukraine hangs in the balance

Hungary’s new demands: EU financial aid for Ukraine hangs in the balance

PM Viktor Orbán Ukraine EU accession

Hungary has put forth fresh demands to Brussels in return for removing its veto on the EU’s proposed EUR 50 billion fund for Ukraine after the summit in December was derailed.

Hungary’s veto and its impact

The proposed envelope, known as the Ukraine Facility, was designed to provide Kyiv with financial assistance between 2024 and 2027. The original plan intended for the Facility to be operational by now. However, Hungary’s veto during the recent European Council meeting stalled the process. Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán utilised his veto power to reject the proposal, tying it to a broader review of the EU’s common budget.

This move disrupted crucial financial support at a time when both the EU and the United States were navigating challenges in approving aid packages. Despite the setback, there is a potential breakthrough on the horizon, Euronews writes. EU leaders have scheduled a reconvening on 1 February, offering another opportunity to reconsider the Ukraine Facility.

Hungary’s demands

Ahead of this critical date, Hungary has put forward two key demands. Firstly, Hungary suggests dividing the EUR 50 billion package into four annual envelopes, each worth EUR 12.5 billion. However, this proposition introduces a risk as it requires unanimous approval every year. It potentially allows a single member state to block aid in subsequent years.

Secondly, Hungary demands a two-year extension for accessing EU COVID-19 recovery funds, citing restricted access to its national plan over rule-of-law concerns. With EUR 10.4 billion in its recovery plan and EUR 11.5 billion in frozen cohesion funds, Hungary insists on unfreezing the total EUR 20 billion before considering the Ukraine Facility, denouncing the situation as “financial blackmail”.

Hope amidst challenges

Despite challenges, Hungary’s engagement in discussions and proposal of alternatives signals a more constructive atmosphere. Ambassadors have approved a “partial negotiating mandate,” allowing formal talks to commence once a solution for the Ukraine Facility is reached. However, if the 27 member states fail to reach an agreement in February, Brussels may need to devise an alternative scheme outside the EU budget to ensure continuous financial support for Ukraine. Orbán, in a recent social media post, seemed to welcome this contingency plan, referring to it as the “Hungarian plan A.”

Italian PM’s role in potential resolution

According to Bloomberg, press reports indicate that Giorgia Meloni is attempting to broker a deal with Viktor Orbán. Meloni is reportedly urging Orbán to cease blocking EU aid to Ukraine and improve relations with Zelenskyy. In exchange, Meloni would pave the way for Orbán’s Fidesz party to join the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) party family, of which she is a leader.

Meloni is not only seeking Orbán’s cooperation on EU aid but is also pushing for a change in Orbán’s stance on Ukraine’s potential EU membership. Anonymous sources familiar with the matter indicate that these conditions are prerequisites for Fidesz to join the ECR. Discussions have occurred at various levels, but a definitive decision is still pending. Orbán’s press secretary has not responded to inquiries, and Meloni’s office has declined to comment on the ongoing negotiations.

Fidesz’s political shift and ECR membership talks

Fidesz, having left the European People’s Party (EPP) in 2021, has not been affiliated with any political group since. Orbán has emphasised ongoing negotiations to join the ECR, a group that includes Meloni’s party, the Italian Brothers and Poland’s Law and Justice (PiS).

The upcoming weeks will be critical in determining whether Hungary’s demands are met and potential compromises are reached. It will also decide the fate of EU financial aid for Ukraine.

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Why did Hungarian soldiers fight and die against the Soviets East from Ukraine, in the Don bend?

Almost 200 thousand Hungarian soldiers fought in the heart of the Soviet Union, not far from the original Eastern Ukrainian border, between today’s Belgorod and Voronezh in January 1943. More than 120 thousand of them never returned home. But what did they do there?

Gaining back Hungarian land and people required Hitler’s support

After WWI, Hungary lost 2/3rd of its territories and 1/3rd of its Hungarian populace. Therefore, revision became one of the most important aims of the Hungarian foreign policy. Hitler’s Germany followed the same policy between 1938 and 1941, which resulted in gaining back more than 80 thousand km2 and millions of Hungarian nationals (together with other ethnicities like Romanians, Serbs and Slovaks). Unfortunately, the successes of the territorial revision joined Hungary’s fate with Nazi Germany’s.

When Germany attacked the Soviet Union, all the neighbouring countries joined Hitler. Romania and Slovakia marched together with the Wehrmacht. Only Hungary fell behind. The political leaders feared the quick German victories would drive Hungary into a difficult situation. Moreover, military leaders were sure Nazi Germans would defeat the Soviet Union in no time. Therefore, when unidentified planes appeared and attacked Kassa (now Slovakia, then the Kingdom of Hungary), Governor Miklós Horthy ordered the Hungarian troops to join the German invading forces.

After the first defeats, Hungary became important

Hungarian help in the Soviet Union was only a minor contribution in 1941 since the Germans did not need it due to the quick victories. But after the defeat near Moscow (December 1941), everything changed. Hitler demanded an entire Hungarian army be placed on the Eastern front.

That was the Hungarian Second Army arriving in today’s East Ukraine in the summer of 1942. Afterwards, they engaged in fierce fighting near the River Don, during which they suffered considerable losses concerning more than 30 thousand soldiers out of the 190 thousand. Then came the winter and the minus 30-40 degrees.

The Soviets outnumbered the Hungarian troops, taking defensive positions on the Don Bend, for which they lacked both modern weapons, ammunition, vehicles, planes, equipment, clothing, etc. For example, the Soviet artillery outnumbered the Hungarian 5:1, while there were 2.7 times more Soviet soldiers than Hungarians. Thus, the catastrophe was inevitable.

Unstoppable Soviet attack destroyed the Hungarian army

The Soviet attack started on 12 January, and in a couple of days, they defeated the Hungarian troops even though some fought valiantly against the Soviet superiority. The Germans did not help the withdrawing Hungarians. What’s more, they took what they could and did not allow them into the villages they occupied to rest.

Hungarian soldiers in the Soviet Union
You may find the Hungarian troops in the centre top of the map under the name Jany. Source: Creative Commons

The Hungarian commander, Gusztáv Jány, first called the Hungarian soldiers cowards for retreating. That resulted in a general outcry, and Horthy ordered him to withdraw that statement. By 3 March, only 2,913 officers and 61,116 soldiers could escape death, freeze or the Soviet POW camps (which meant almost the same). Considering the losses suffered during the summer fights, we can say that Hungary lost about 150 thousand people to the Soviet Union by 1943 spring (dead, POWs). That was unacceptable and could not be replaced ever.

Gusztáv Jány was executed in November 1947 and posthumously exonerated in 1993 by the Supreme Court of Hungary.

Controversial opinions

Opinions about the Second Hungarian Army (and other Hungarian troops fighting or carrying out other tasks in the Soviet Union) divide. Some believe that Hungarians were defending their families, traditions, etc. against the plague of Bolshevism in the Soviet Union. As a result, they are heroes.

Others claim they were invaders who joined the bad cause (Hitler’s campaign), and some of them committed horrors even against the civilians and the Jews. They think that the lost souls in the Don Bend were at best, victims of Hitler and Horthy, who were not supposed to be there but still carried out their duties.

Hungary commemorates soldiers lost at the Don bend

Soldiers of the Second Hungarian Army who lost their lives in battle with Soviet forces at the Don bend 81 years earlier were honoured at a commemoration in Budapest’s Fiume Street cemetery on Friday.

Defence Minister Kristóf Szalay-Bobrovniczky said 100,000-120,000 Hungarian troops had been killed, wounded, taken prisoner or gone missing in action during the WWII battle.

Chief of the Hungarian Defence Forces Gabor Böröndi called the battle one of the bloodiest defeats in Hungarian history.

Concert honours memory of 1956 martyr

A concert was performed in honour of Árpád Brusznyai, a martyr of the 1956 Hungarian anti-Soviet Revolution, in Veszprém, in the west of Hungary, on Saturday.

Speaking at the event, marking the hundredth anniversary of Brusznyai’s birth, President Katalin Novák said heroes were people who “put their ideas into practice”, adding that their greatness came from the fact that they were “no different from us”.

“They were boys and girls, fathers and mothers, people facing the challenges of everyday life,” she said.

  • We wrote HERE about the Don disaster.

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  • Did you know that a Hungarian writer fooled the whole Soviet Union with a made-up historical character? – Read more about that in THIS article

Orbán-Zelenskyy summit can pave the way for Orbán’s strongmanship in the EU

zelensky orbán

Negotiations started to organise an Orbán-Zelenskyy summit. PM Viktor Orbán has not visited Kyiv since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began. He also expressed several times that he did not believe in Ukrainian victory and slammed Kyiv for being corrupt. Therefore, Orbán was against sending more EU aid to the country. What’s more, he even accused Brussels of not giving Hungary development and RRF funds because those financial assets are already in Ukraine.

Therefore, the possible meeting of the Hungarian and Ukrainian leaders may end a very tense era of mutual accusations. Ukrainian leaders suggested several times that the Orbán cabinet was supporting Russia and, in that regard, they found powerful supporters, especially the Biden administration in the United States.

According to portfolio.hu, Ukraine and Hungary must hammer out the precise details of the coming Orbán-Zelenskyy summit. That comes after Orbán and the Hungarian foreign ministry highlighted several times that a summit should only be held if the two leaders can sign agreements.

As we wrote yesterday, the Hungarian and Ukrainian foreign ministers are to meet in Ungvár (Uzhorod) in Transcarpathia on 29 January. That is when they will discuss the meeting of the two country leaders.

Foreign minister Péter Szijjártó said yesterday that a Hungary-Ukraine summit “would make sense only” if it was well-prepared. The meeting’s aim is “to examine whether a top-level meeting would further bilateral relations”, and to review the tasks necessary “for a meeting between the leaders of the two countries to have a hope of success.”

Orbán may join one of the biggest EU parties

On 1 February, there will be an EU summit to work out an alliance between the 26 EU member states if Orbán continues to veto the EU support for Ukraine. However, Reuters wrote Brussels hoped Hungary would give that standpoint up before that happened.

Interestingly, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni would welcome Orbán’s Fidesz in the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) Group provided the Hungarian prime minister supported the EU support for Ukraine in February. That would mean EUR 50 billion for Kyiv. Fidesz left the European People’s Party (EPP) in 2019.

In December, Balázs Orbán, the prime minister’s political director, said a green light was unimaginable until Hungary got all EU development and RRF funds. Later, Brussels promised EUR 10 billion out of the almost 30 billion for Hungary.

Bloomberg said that Meloni wanted Orbán to normalise his relationship with Zelenskyy. That is probably why a summit has to be arranged.

ECR may become the third biggest party in the European Parliament after the 2024 European parliamentary elections if Fidesz joins their ranks.

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  • Hungarian foreign minister: 2024 is the Super Bowl of politics – Read more HERE
  • Controversial decision: over 2000 foreign traffickers released from Hungarian prisons in 2023 – Details in THIS article

Hungarian, Ukrainian foreign ministers plan meeting in Ukraine on Jan 29

Hungarian foreign minister meets Ukraine counterpart in Brussels

The Hungarian and Ukrainian foreign ministers are slated to meet in Uzhorod (Ungvár) on January 29, Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó said on Thursday.

Responding to a question at a press conference with his Montenegrin counterpart, Szijjártó said a Hungary-Ukraine summit “would make sense only” if it was well-prepared.

As part of that preparation, Szijjártó and Dmitro Kuleba will meet on January 29 to discuss bilateral cooperation and “to examine whether a top-level meeting would further bilateral relations”, and to review the tasks necessary “for a meeting between the leaders of the two countries to have a hope of success.”

“I am ready. We have both dedicated January 29 for that meeting in Uzhorod,” Szijjártó said.

He also signalled readiness to meet again Andriy Yermak, the head of the Ukrainian president’s office, “but a proposal of the date is yet to be forthcoming”.

Regarding the EU funds withheld from Hungary, Szijjártó warned against conflating issues “that have nothing to do with each other”. “Hungary is entitled to those EU resources, independently from Ukraine.”

“Those resources must be paid to Hungary. The European Commission has no right to withhold them.”

A significant portion of those monies is still being blocked for political reasons, Szijjártó said. The issue “is unrelated to the matter of the countries willing to join the EU, and our request remains the same: that we receive the EU funds,” he said.

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