On 12 April, Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz suffered a historic defeat. While a degree of voter attrition is only to be expected in such circumstances, the speed at which this once-dominant political force—virtually unchallenged for two decades—appears to be fragmenting has taken many by surprise. The latest polling now classifies Fidesz as a mere mid-tier party, one whose rivals may soon outgrow it. Were an election to be held today, it is no longer clear that Orbán would secure a single constituency victory anywhere in the country.
Orbán’s mounting difficulties
More than a month on from the election, both Fidesz and its long-standing ally, the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP)—which has not contested elections independently since 1998 but has governed alongside Orbán for the past 16 years—still appear to be searching for direction in Parliament. Analysts are largely in agreement: in recent weeks, Fidesz has failed even to project the semblance of renewal. Its parliamentary group remains dominated by veteran figures such as Gergely Gulyás, János Lázár and Eszter Vitályos; neither fresh faces nor broadly appealing personalities have been brought forward to challenge the Tisza Party’s commanding two-thirds majority.
Although Viktor Orbán has not taken up his parliamentary mandate—nor have several other prominent figures within Fidesz—he addressed his supporters on Saturday, signalling a strategic shift. The task ahead, he suggested, is to reclaim the political centre from the fringes, in effect rebuilding the “civic” voter base lost during the campaign. The logic is clear enough: Fidesz is now competing with the radical Mi Hazánk movement for its former supporters. Whether such a strategy can restore the party’s former status as a broad-based people’s party, however, remains doubtful.
Tisza and Fidesz: no longer in the same league
According to the latest poll, published early this morning by Népszava, support for Orbán appears to be evaporating almost entirely, leaving behind only the party’s most hardline adherents. Among decided voters, just 20 per cent would now back Fidesz—compared with 73 per cent who favour candidates of the Tisza Party. On these figures, Fidesz would fail to win a single individual mandate and would be reduced to perhaps 20–25 seats in Parliament, while even a four-fifths supermajority for Tisza would not be inconceivable.
The longer-term question, of course, is whether Péter Magyar and his movement can make effective use of the overwhelming mandate granted by voters, and whether they can meet public expectations—particularly in economic management and the exercise of competent, orderly governance.
No challenger in sight
For now, at least, there appears little immediate threat to Tisza’s dominance. A May survey by Publicus places the party at 55 per cent to Fidesz’s 17 per cent among the general population, and 60 to 18 among committed voters. Fidesz has not polled so poorly since the mid-1990s. According to András Pulai, head of Publicus, some one million voters have deserted the party since its electoral defeat. He attributes Tisza’s surge not merely to the familiar tendency of voters to rally behind a winner, but also to the governing parties’ weak political performance in recent weeks. Notably, 89 per cent of the population say they would turn out to vote if an election were held this Sunday.
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One striking detail is that Mi Hazánk has failed to capitalise on Fidesz’s losses, remaining stuck at around 4 per cent across all categories.
On leadership suitability, Péter Magyar leads Viktor Orbán by 72 to 27, while 69 per cent of Hungarians consider the latter unfit to serve as prime minister.
Other polling institutes report similar trends. Last week, the 21 Research Centre found Tisza ahead of Fidesz by 71 to 21 among decided voters, while Republikon measured a narrower—though still decisive—gap of 66 to 26. The proportion of undecided voters remains low, at around 10–13 per cent, while support for both the Democratic Coalition (DK) and the Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) is statistically negligible.
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Days ago I posted the assertion seconded by London Steve that if it still exists in the next election Fidesz will poll even worse than it did now and is at high risk of folding as a poltical party within the next five years. We will see a neverending drip of scandalous news and prosecution of Fidesz corrupt politicians and the Fidesz business elite that worked together in a mafia conspiracy to defraud Hungarians and the EU. Fidesz is going to be thoroughly discredited. Just as with the Nazi Party in Germany it doesn’t matter if you even expose the gas chambers and concentration camps. You will always have some that are so thoroughly brainwashed by years of propaganda that they never quite return to reality. Fidesz may at best be able to count on 10% of the voting population to be composed of these people by the time of the next election. The overwhelming Hungarian population will recognize Fidesz as the most corrupt government Hungary has ever seen. They are finished.
Tisza meg szétcseszi a gazdaságot ,levállik az olcsó orosz energiáról ,beereszti a határtól a cro magnionikat és azok fognak majd Magyar ellen fordulni ,akik csak azért szavaztak hogy ne Orbán legyen. A rezsitámogatás megszűnése lesz a döntő és a magas munkanélküliek száma amit egy ország nem akar kivéve a Tisza
Just wait a few years and then will have to become clear whether Magyar Peter has really achieved anything. For the time being, he is merely engaged in a vendetta against his old party friends and has not yet helped the country move forward. The influx of asylum seekers and war money for Ukraine will prevent wages from rising, healthcare from improving, etc.
What a risible proposition. Tisza has been in power for literally a week. Even committed Fidesz supporters are kinda glad to see a bit of change, some fresh air.
Sooner or later, though, Pretty Boy Peti will have to decide whether to bend over to Brussels or not: especially whether to remove the energy bill caps and make us poorer and colder, and whether to accept us being flooded with third-world trash and make us unsafe.
If he does, except Fidesz to sweep back to power. If he does not, then most will be okay with him staying in power few a few years.
Already third-world parasites are filling the country, Yest Steiner.
😂😂😂
I mean you by that
The hell we dont want to hear your bullxhit till 2030 😂😂😂
Nothing could be worse than more Fidesz, so anything Tisza does is automatically better 🙂
Polls and opinions, at this exact juncture in time, are not indicative of what will be happening in the election of 2030.
By then Magyar Péter may be considerably less popular than he is currently.
Such an occurrence would only be normal.
As to Orbán Viktor : he is not reliant on rehabilitating Fidesz, in order to rehabilitate himself. He is a political genius and he seems desirous of making a comeback – even at this early stage.
As I have already said : what opportunity exists for Orbán depends largely on how well Magyar governs.
Nobody knows the answer to this. Only time will tell.
Concerning Mi Hazánk : it is clear that, in 2026, they were far too Hungarian and too rural for Hungarians.
Currently, Hungarians want a strong leader who is urbane, less traditional, and, therefore, less Hungarian in his views, but, by the same token, uncorrupt in his manner of governance.
Magyar is all that, and that is why he clobbered both Orbán and László.
Though I will always prefer László and Mi Hazánk to all others, I am praying for Magyar to live up to what I regard as his saintly professions, and, as well, to be clever enough to cope with The Western Elite.
In the end, this site can write about Russia all they want, but, the main threat to Hungary’s existence will come from The Western Elite.
Magyar is off to a decent start with them, though, how long he can maintain good relations with megalomaniacs, without being, or appearing, submissive, is a question for the ages.
So who actually polled Hazugokszava?! Those who elected Piiiterrr Mongrel???!!! I see, we’ll all have to believe now that the poll result will have no bias at all just because the Rosenfeld afficionados at Hazugokszava say so by polling the average braindead proli who elected Piiiterrr Mongrel! I see! But hey, it’s 2026, The Year of the Woke in Mongrelország!