This year, we can expect a milder and drier winter than in recent years and decades – M1 channel meteorologist Adam Fejos told hirado.hu.
Milder winter can be concluded from that according to latest measurements, the surface temperature of the Atlantic Ocean is higher than usual, and this is reflected in the weather of the Carpathian Basin’s winter weather as well. “As there are westerly winds, so the air, in which we live, usually comes from the Atlantic” – he explained.
“I do no say that there will not be daytime frosts, but we will probably be more above the average than below it” – he added.
This is supported by the Medium-range weather forecasts of the European Center published on the website of OMSZ (National Meteorological Service). Based on the forecast, the temperature will be a few degrees above the average until December 13, the day of Luca, and little rain is expected.
The meteorologist drew attention to the fact that although we can expect milder winter, there may be large temperature swings. Adam Fejos reminded that we had a very mild winter last year as well, there was hardly any frost, but we experienced an extraordinary cooling around New Year’s Eve, hirado.hu wrote.
Another issue: many people are interested in that whether a white Christmas will be. From a scientific point of view, it is difficult to predict due to the atmospheric changes. But there are folk sayings, of which one of the best-known is the “if Katalin knocks, Christmas is rainy” and vice versa – the meteorologist recalled.
According to folk beliefs, we can have a white Christmas – Adam Fejos said, but he added it has no scientific basis, just the folklore.
As an explanation, he said, although there was no precipitation almost anywhere in the country on the day of Katalin, the previous days and Thursday were wetter. Based on this, if the folk tradition is true, Christmas will knock, so we can expect cooler weather than in the last days of November, and if there will be precipitation, it will likely be snow due to the cold weather – Adam Fejos explained.
The folk weather forecasts are based on centuries-old observations, and the majority of the people still pay attention to them. For example, the folk prediction related to the day of Katalin is in the public consciousness, almost everyone knows it – Zsuzsanna Tatrai told hirado.hu. The ethnographer thinks these folk predictions still stand their ground.
Hungarian folk traditions used to be spread by calendars, as well as by word of mouth. To make the predictions be memorized easier, the sentences rhymed. Thus, the already mentioned “forecast” associated with the day of Katalin or the one related to the day of Marton.
In addition to the folk predictions, there will be meteorological forecasts about that whether there will be a white Christmas. However, until that short-term forecast remains. Based on this, a slow warming begins from the weekend and there may be 10-11degrees next week. But the outdoor heat and comfort will be confused by windy weather which we will already feel in the largest part of the country this weekend.
based on the article of hirado.hu
translated by BA
Copy editor: bm