Calculation: based on the results of the EP elections, the Hungarian parliamentary seats would look like this

The ruling Fidesz-Christian Democrat alliance garnered 44.61 percent of the European parliamentary elections on Sunday, which could have been sufficient to win a two-thirds parliamentary majority at home, the pro-government Nézőpont Institute has said.

According to a statement released on Monday the results of the coalition of the leftist parties (8.1pc), the new entrant Tisza party (26.7pc), or the Our Homeland party (6.8pc) “would not be enough to topple the government or to dismantle the two-thirds majority of the ruling parties”.

Nézőpont said that according to its calculation model, if Hungary had held national elections on Sunday, the ruling parties could have secured 135 parliamentary seats, while the opposition parties “would have suffered an even greater defeat than in 2022”. In such a scenario, the Tisza party would be the largest opposition group with 45 mandates, the leftist parties’ coalition with 10 mandates, and Our Homeland with 8 seats.

It said that parties that had failed to make it to the EP this time would not have won seats in the Hungarian parliament, either.

Fidesz won its first two-thirds majority in 2010 when it changed the law on Hungarian elections and has been amended several times since then.

The government side was 10 percentage points worse off than in April 2022, with an unusually high turnout in the EP elections, and only two million list votes. The Fidesz-KDNP has never before achieved such a modest result in an EP election (the previous low was 47.4% in 2004)

Elections in Hungary: the most important happenings – UPDATE

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