Berlin is taking an increasingly tough line against Budapest. Putting economic interests aside, Germany’s government now views Hungary’s anti-Ukraine policy as a security threat and is prepared to take stronger measures. According to sources, if Prime Minister Viktor Orbán continues to block a unified EU stance on the Russia–Ukraine war, repercussions could include a deterioration in bilateral relations and tougher EU sanctions—potentially suspending Hungary’s voting rights and freezing €43 billion in funding.

Germany’s message to Budapest

Johann Wadephul, a CDU/CSU politician and key figure in the ruling coalition, made it clear even before his appointment: Germany is extending a hand to Budapest but expects the Hungarian government to change its stance. According to Átlátszó, the issue also came up in May during a meeting between Orbán and Friedrich Merz at the European Political Community summit in Tirana. Then, in July, State Secretary Géza Andreas von Geyr met with several Hungarian leaders in Budapest. Germany’s core message: future cooperation depends on Hungary no longer blocking EU support for Ukraine and measures against Moscow.

Germany Hungary Viktor Orbán Friedrich Merz Tirana
Friedrich Merz and Viktor Orbán in Tirana on 16 May 2025. Photo: Facebook/Viktor Orbán

Escalating EU measures

Berlin believes Hungary’s vetoes are undermining European security policy. As a result, Germany is pushing at the EU level for stricter measures that go beyond the usual debates over rule-of-law issues. Experts say Orbán’s room to maneuver is shrinking: the EU could revive Article 7 proceedings, which may lead to the suspension of Hungary’s voting rights. Although this would normally require unanimous approval, Brussels is reportedly exploring options to limit Hungary’s veto power in security matters specifically.

Threat of losing EU funds

Political will for tougher action is growing within both the European Commission and several member states. According to multiple EU sources, the complete freezing of funds allocated to Hungary could be placed on the agenda this fall. This move would affect the entire seven-year EU budget and the recovery fund, totaling around EUR 43 billion, including agricultural subsidies, posing disastrous consequences for the Hungarian economy.

Beyond rule-of-law disputes

The German government’s new approach signals that the issue is no longer just about democratic norms: it’s about European security. Orbán’s pro-Russia, anti-Ukraine policy has worn thin the patience not only of Germany but also of other EU member states. If Hungary refuses to change course, it could soon face not only the loss of funding but also partial exclusion from the EU’s decision-making process.

Read more about German-Hungary relations on Daily News Hungary.

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