According to the latest data, Hungary’s security oil reserves have never been this low in the past decade. Holtankoljak.hu reports that more fuel stations have introduced volume restrictions than those that have not. Is a devastating fuel crisis looming in Hungary?

Fuel supply crisis on the horizon?

Pénzcentrum notes that more pumps have imposed fuel restrictions than those that have not. Holtankoljak.hu warns that the government-imposed price caps may jeopardise fuel supply in the long term. CEO Eszter Bujdos explained that importers have no interest in operating at a loss. This mirrors the previous fuel crisis from 2021 to 2022, when imports plummeted drastically. The current situation is even more concerning, as MOL’s Százhalombatta refinery is not operating at full capacity following the October fire.

Moreover, MOL’s Bratislava (Pozsony) refinery cannot supply the shortfall, as it no longer receives oil from Russia via the Druzhba pipeline. Consequently, MOL’s 70% supply is not assured, while the remaining 30% is entirely uncertain.

Central Europe regularly faces diesel shortages

For instance, in Slovenia, market players can sell fuel for more. As a result, they have little incentive to import it to Hungary and incur losses rather than pursue profitable business elsewhere.

MOL CEO Zsolt Hernádi has stated that Central Europe regularly grapples with diesel shortages. In any fuel crisis, diesel would be affected first. From Wednesday, the diesel price will surpass the psychological barrier of HUF 700 per litre. However, drivers with Hungarian number plates will pay only HUF 615 per litre under the government’s price reduction scheme.

Romania fuel
Lukoil petrol station in Romania. Photo: depositphotos.com

Oil reserves at historic low

G7 reports that Hungary’s strategic oil reserves have hit a historic low. MOL exhausted its own reserves by mid-February and requested access to the state’s strategic stockpile from the Energy Ministry. It received 250,000 tonnes—40% of the reserve. By 28 February, Hungary had just 487,000 tonnes of oil left.

To avert shortages, the government tapped the reserves in 2022—but only for diesel, releasing 40% of that stock (equivalent to 610 million litres of diesel and 352 million litres of petrol).

Oil deliveries pipeline Russia Druzhba transcarpathian hungarian commander
Druzhba pipeline. Photo: Creative Commons CC BY-SA 3.0

G7 anticipates that the government will soon release more reserves, given the Druzhba pipeline’s inactivity. The outlet did not specify when a general shortage might occur in Hungary.

If you missed our previous articles concerning fuel price and shortage:

Featured image: illustration. Shortage in Peru following the rupture of a Camisea project pipeline.