A new poll by Závecz Research shows that the opposition Tisza Party, led by Péter Magyar, continues to outpace Hungary’s long-dominant Fidesz–KDNP alliance. While both major parties managed to grow their voter base over the summer, Tisza has widened its advantage, now holding a 10-percentage-point lead among decided voters.

Support growing on both sides

According to the survey, conducted in late August and early September, Tisza’s support among the voting-age population rose from 32% to 33%, while Fidesz climbed from 26% to 28%. This translates to approximately 2.6 million supporters for Tisza compared with 2.2 million for Fidesz,

giving Magyar’s party a lead of roughly 400,000 voters.

Among decided voters who are certain to cast a ballot, the gap is even more striking: Tisza commands 46% support compared with Fidesz’s 36%.

The smaller parties remain in the single digits, HVG reports. Far-right Mi Hazánk (Our Homeland) is at 5%, the Democratic Coalition (DK) and the satirical Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) both stand at 4%, while Momentum and the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) register just 1% each. About 22% of respondents remain undecided.

Strong support among young, educated, urban voters

The poll highlights significant social and demographic divides between the two leading parties. Tisza enjoys overwhelming support among Hungarians under 40, with 40% backing compared to just 16% for Fidesz. The party also leads strongly among university graduates (42%–22%), as well as in Budapest (40%–17%) and in county seats (37%–21%).

The trend continues across most other groups: among skilled workers, high school graduates, and men, Tisza maintains a clear lead.

By contrast, Fidesz performs far better among voters with only primary education, where it leads 41% to 18%. Rural areas also remain strongholds for Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s party, with 38% support compared to Tisza’s 28%.

A two-party race taking shape

The results confirm what analysts have been observing for months: Hungarian politics is becoming increasingly polarised between two main forces: Orbán’s ruling Fidesz and Magyar’s rising Tisza. Smaller parties remain marginalised, with little sign of breaking through the dominance of the two giants.

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