The IDEA Institute’s mid-June survey shows that support for Orbán’s Fidesz–KDNP has fallen to a historic low among voters. According to the findings, only 21 percent of the adult population would vote for the former governing parties if there were an election on Sunday.

The latest data suggest a significant reshaping of Hungary’s political landscape in recent weeks, while support for the TISZA Party has continued to grow. The study highlights that the share of undecided voters decreased by 3 percentage points from May to June, down to 11 percent, indicating that many voters have recently aligned themselves with a new political option, Szeretlek Magyarország wrote.

Orbán would suffer an even greater defeat

According to IDEA’s projection, if parliamentary elections had been held in mid-June, 60% of the adult population would have supported the current governing Tisza Party, while Orbán’s Fidesz–KDNP would have received 21 percent. Based on these figures, the institute concludes that a three-party parliament would likely emerge, with the right-radical Mi Hazánk Movement also surpassing the parliamentary threshold.

Among committed voters who have already chosen a party, the gap appears even more pronounced. In this group, the TISZA Party would secure 68% of the vote, Fidesz–KDNP would stand at 24%, and Mi Hazánk Movement at 5%.

Researchers note that the first weeks of TISZA’s governance did not disappoint its supporters; on the contrary, current trends suggest that governing parties would achieve an even more dominant victory in a new election than in the spring. The survey was conducted between 12 and 17 June 2026 on a nationally representative sample of 1,000 people using an online self-completion questionnaire, with a margin of error of ±3–4 percentage points.

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Featured image: Facebook/Orbán Viktor