Support for Hungary’s governing Tisza Party has dropped nine percentage points since May, while Fidesz and Mi Hazánk have both gained ground, according to a new survey by 21 Kutatóközpont.
The Tisza Party remains well ahead of its rivals despite a significant decline in support since May, according to a fresh poll by 21 Kutatóközpont.
Among voters able to choose a party, 60% said they would vote for Péter Magyar’s party, down from 69% in May. However, the September figure is still higher than the 56% share the Tisza Party received in the April parliamentary election among voters in Hungary.
The poll was conducted by telephone between 28 and 30 September, with 1,000 people surveyed. The sample is representative of the Hungarian population, with a margin of error of approximately ±3 percentage points for the full sample.
Fidesz regains some support as Tisza declines
The poll also recorded a modest recovery for Fidesz, which increased its support among party-choice voters from 23% in May to 26% in September. However, this remains well below the party’s 36% support in the same category around the April election, according to 21 Kutatóközpont.
The biggest increase was recorded by Mi Hazánk. Its support almost doubled, rising from 6% in May to 11% among voters who said they could choose a party. The remaining parliamentary and non-parliamentary parties collectively account for 3%, with the Democratic Coalition (DK) the strongest of them at 1%.
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Tisza still has a huge lead among committed voters
The gap is even wider among voters who say they would definitely participate if an election were held this Sunday. In this group, the Tisza Party stands at 62%, compared with 26% for Fidesz and 10% for Mi Hazánk. All other parties together account for 2%.
According to the analysis cited by 24.hu, the nine-point decline in Tisza support and five-point rise for Mi Hazánk represent substantial changes when viewed over several months. However, they accumulated over the four months since the May measurement rather than occurring in a single month.
The research also notes that the unusually high 69% recorded for Tisza in May may have been the more exceptional result, rather than the current 60%.
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Tisza leads in the full population too
Looking at the entire population, the Tisza Party has 51% support, followed by Fidesz at 23% and Mi Hazánk at 9%. A further 2% would choose another party, while 15% either could not name a party or did not wish to choose one. Compared with May, Tisza’s support has fallen by nine percentage points, while Fidesz has gained three points and Mi Hazánk four.
The findings broadly follow the direction of another recent poll. A Medián survey published in late September put Tisza at 64% among both party-choice voters and those certain to vote, while Fidesz stood at 26% and 27% respectively.
