Hungary is preparing for what could become the country’s biggest wind energy expansion in decades. The government has announced plans to increase domestic wind power capacity from the current 330 MW to between 3,000 and 4,000 MW by 2030, marking a dramatic policy shift after nearly 15 years of virtually no new wind farm developments.

The ambitious programme was outlined by Economy and Energy Minister István Kapitány, who aims to transform Hungary’s renewable energy mix by making wind a much more significant contributor alongside the country’s rapidly expanding solar sector.

New tenders worth thousands of megawatts

According to Telex’s report, the first step in the strategy will see the state launch a tender for 700 MW of new grid connection capacity by 31 August 2026. If successful, this will be followed by annual tenders offering an additional 1,000 MW of connection capacity in the following years.

Unlike previous renewable energy schemes, however, developers will not receive direct government subsidies. Instead, successful bidders will secure the right to connect their projects to Hungary’s electricity grid, while financing the wind farms themselves under market conditions.

The government hopes this approach will avoid the speculative investment boom that accompanied the early expansion of Hungary’s solar energy sector, where some investors acquired permits primarily to sell them on rather than build renewable energy projects.

EU funding to modernise Hungary’s electricity grid

The expansion depends heavily on upgrading Hungary’s electricity network. According to the government’s plans, as much as EUR 1.5 billion from the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility could be invested in energy infrastructure.

Around HUF 50 billion would finance smart meter deployment, while approximately HUF 480 billion would be spent on strengthening the country’s high-voltage transmission network.

Industry experts say these upgrades are essential, as years of underinvestment have left Hungary’s grid struggling to accommodate large volumes of renewable electricity. Once completed, the network could support around 1,000 MW of new renewable capacity each year.

Wind to complement Hungary’s booming solar sector

Hungary already has around 8,600 MW of installed solar capacity, making solar power by far the country’s dominant renewable energy source.

However, experts increasingly argue that the system has become unbalanced. Solar panels produce electricity mainly during sunny daytime hours, often creating oversupply and driving electricity prices sharply lower. By contrast, wind turbines typically generate more electricity during evenings, winter months and cloudy weather, helping smooth fluctuations in renewable production.

Modern wind turbines are also expected to become significantly more efficient after the government recently increased the maximum permitted turbine height from 130 metres to 199 metres.

Although Hungary’s wind conditions are less favourable than those found in offshore regions of northern Europe, new turbines could still achieve capacity factors above 25%, considerably outperforming solar installations, which average roughly 15%.

Challenges remain despite strong investor interest

The announcement has generated significant interest across Hungary’s energy sector, with numerous domestic and international companies reportedly considering projects worth hundreds of megawatts. Yet substantial challenges remain.

Wind farm development in Hungary has effectively been frozen since 2010, meaning developers must navigate an outdated regulatory environment while obtaining environmental permits, aviation approvals and military clearances.

Bird conservation groups have also urged the government to ensure wildlife protection remains central to future planning. The Hungarian Ornithological and Nature Conservation Society has already submitted a conflict map identifying areas where wind turbines would pose the lowest risk to bird populations.

Developers also face commercial challenges. Financing large-scale wind projects remains difficult because electricity markets have become increasingly volatile, making long-term revenue forecasts less predictable for banks and investors.

A new era for Hungarian renewables?

Despite the obstacles, many industry participants believe Hungary’s renewable energy sector is entering a new phase. Rather than relying almost exclusively on solar power, the government is seeking a more diversified energy system where wind, solar generation and battery storage work together to improve grid stability and reduce dependence on fossil fuels.

Whether the target of 3,000-4,000 MW can be fully achieved by 2030 remains uncertain. Many experts believe that reaching this figure in terms of projects under construction is realistic, even if not all of the capacity is connected to the grid by then.

If the programme succeeds, Hungary’s wind industry could experience its largest expansion since renewable energy development first began, ending more than a decade of stagnation and fundamentally reshaping the country’s electricity market.