Hungary’s governing Tisza Party has strengthened its position in the latest Medián opinion poll, while support for opposition Fidesz has fallen sharply. The survey, conducted in early November, puts Tisza at 55% among the entire population, compared with just 16% for Viktor Orbán’s party.
According to results reported by HVG and covered by Telex, the gap is even wider among certain voter groups. Among decided voters who say they are certain to vote, Tisza leads Fidesz by 68% to 20%.
Compared with Medián’s September survey, Tisza gained one percentage point among the entire population, three points among voters with a party preference and four points among decided voters certain to cast a ballot.
Fidesz, meanwhile, lost six percentage points among both the entire population and voters with a party preference, and seven points among certain voters.
The party reportedly suffered its biggest losses among people with lower levels of education, Budapest residents, men and those aged 50–64.
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Mi Hazánk also benefits from Fidesz’s decline
Not all of Fidesz’s lost support appears to have shifted to Tisza. The opposition Mi Hazánk party has also gained ground, while the number of undecided voters has increased.
Mi Hazánk now stands at 9% among the entire population and 11% among both voters with a party preference and those certain to vote.
Political analyst Gábor Török commented on the figures, saying that Fidesz and Mi Hazánk had, for the first time, entered the same league. He described both as parties of the political middle tier, following Mi Hazánk’s rise and Fidesz’s decline.
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Most Hungarians say the country is heading in the right direction
The survey also asked respondents how they viewed the overall direction of the country. A clear majority, 59%, said things were fundamentally moving in the right direction, while 32% believed Hungary was heading in the wrong direction.
Prime Minister Péter Magyar also reacted to the findings. He said Fidesz, which he described as Viktor Orbán’s once-dominant party, had fallen to a level of support not seen in 30 years. Magyar added that, if an election were held today, Tisza would win all 106 individual parliamentary constituencies.
“Thank you for your tremendous trust! We shall continue on the path of political transition, working towards a Hungary that functions effectively and treats its people with humanity,” he wrote. “Just as a point of interest, I would like to point out that TISZA was in a better position in April 2024, when we took over the party and the first survey was carried out, than Fidesz is now,” he added.
