poll

Election 2018 – Poll: Ruling parties strongest in all age groups

BBC

The ruling alliance of Fidesz and the Christian Democrats is the strongest political force among all age groups and the only one to have substantially increased its base compared with 2014, according to a snap analysis of Hungary’s general election by the Nézőpont Institute released on Monday.

Though votes cast abroad and by those who voted outside their districts are still being counted, data currently available shows that the ruling alliance had more votes cast for their national list than the parliamentary opposition parties combined.

Altogether 2.5 million people in Hungary and 100,000 beyond the border cast their votes for Fidesz’s national list.

This means that the ruling parties received 256,000 more votes than the opposition parliamentary parties combined.

Breaking down the vote into age groups, Nézőpont said Fidesz won 38 percent of the youth (aged 18-29) vote, followed by radical nationalist Jobbik, which won 31 percent. But Fidesz won by even bigger margins in the other age groups. It captured 56 percent of the vote among 30-39-year-olds, 48 percent among 40-49-year-olds, 54 percent among those aged 50-59 and 45 percent among those over 60. The Socialist-Párbeszéd alliance and the Democratic Coalition (DK) did well among older voters, while Jobbik and opposition Momentum were more popular among young people, Nézőpont said.

The pollster also highlighted Fidesz’s popularity in Budapest.

In the capital, Fidesz captured 38.3 percent of the vote, 20 points more than the second-place Socialists-Párbeszéd. Jobbik came in third with 12.9 percent, followed by green LMP with 10.6 percent. Fidesz received 38.7 percent of the votes cast for individual candidates.

Nézőpont said the opposition’s defeat was not down to the electoral system. It dismissed the theory that a second round of voting and more effective coordination by the opposition parties would have improved their chances against the incumbent alliance. Nézőpont argued that the opposition had had the opportunity to coordinate “before the first round”, for instance, in the form of a pre-selection of their candidates. “Their failure to do this cannot be blamed on the ruling parties or the electoral system,” Nézőpont said.

The analysis also said that Fidesz and the Christian Democrats were the only players to have increased their base compared with four years ago.

Out of the votes cast in Hungary, 2.6 million were cast for Fidesz’s national list, compared with 2.1 million in 2014. Meanwhile, Jobbik’s tally remained virtually unchanged, with the party receiving just over 1 million votes in both elections. The “leftist-green spectrum” also performed similarly to how they did in 2014, Nézőpont said. On Sunday, the Socialist-Párbeszéd alliance, DK, Momentum, Együtt and LMP received just under 1.5 million votes, compared with the slightly more than 1.5 million votes cast in total for the left-wing alliance and LMP four years ago.

Nézőpont conducted its analysis as a phone poll on a sample of 750 people.

Featured image: MTI

Election 2018 – Pollsters: Ruling parties may have ‘stable majority’

The ruling Fidesz-Christian Democrat alliance could win a “stable, strong majority” in the April 8 election, participants in a conference attended by public opinion research institutes concluded on Tuesday.

According to the average of aggregated figures by all pollsters, the ruling parties could garner 51 percent of the votes, followed by radical nationalist Jobbik with 17 percent, the Socialist-Párbeszéd alliance with 14 percent, Democratic Coalition (DK) with 8 percent and LMP with 7 percent if the elections were held this weekend.

The conference was attended by analysts of Nézőpont, Publicus, Republikon, Iránytű, ZRI-Závecz Research, Tárki, Századvég and IDEA.

Participants agreed that the voter base of the leftist parties taken together is larger than that of Jobbik, and also that voter turnout at the polls would be somewhat higher than in 2014.

Republikon’s Andrea Virág, citing the company’s survey conducted in February, said that the ruling parties could have between 125-130 seats in the 199-strong national assembly, while Socialist-Párbeszéd 25-30, Jobbik 20-25, and DK and LMP 7-8 each.

Tibor Závecz, the head of Závecz Research, said he saw “little chance” for Fidesz to have a two-thirds majority again. He envisaged Jobbik as the largest opposition party and Socialist-Párbeszéd having “10 plus” percent of the votes, just above the parliamentary threshold.

Nézőpont’s Dániel Nagy said that small opposition Momentum could clear the parliamentary threshold of 5 percent if they made “an outsprint” and added that the satirical Two-Tailed Dog party could “also surprise us in Budapest”.

Zoltán Ember, Iránytű’s head of research, said that most constituencies in Budapest could be “taken by the Left”, while Jobbik could win a large part of northern Hungary.

Several participants noted that voter turnout would benefit Fidesz only up to 65 percent, while the small parties could suffer if turnout is 72-73 percent or higher.

Publicus head András Pulai said a key question was which parties could mobilise undecided voters; he insisted that some 200,000-300,000 Fidesz supporters could be disappointed with the ruling parties and their abstaining from the vote is a “real danger” for Fidesz. Two thirds of the “active undecided” want a government change, but they may not vote on the same party and they could even stay at home saying “if you can’t decide I won’t, either,” he added.

Ember said Iránytű had gauged growing activity with opposition supporters, while activity in the Fidesz camp was stagnating, but “it just means that the opposition has closed the gap”.

Závecz put the number of “active undecided for a government change” at 400,000 and said they are the ones that would vote but have not selected a party to support yet.

Participants agreed that popularity figures for Fidesz are usually higher than reality, with more respondents claiming than they would vote for the ruling party than actually do so, while the leftist parties tend to be underrated.

Featured image: MTI

POLL – Fidesz maintains commanding lead after recent defeat in Hódmezővásárhely

Viktor Orbán election2018

The ruling Fidesz-Christian Democrat (KDNP) alliance continues to hold a commanding lead over the opposition parties in spite of its unexpected defeat in a local election in Hódmezővásárhely last month, according to a poll by the Nézőpont Institute released on Wednesday.

Among decided voters, support for Fidesz-KDNP stood at 52 percent. Jobbik was second with 17 percent, down from its 2014 election result of 20.7 percent. The Socialist-Párbeszéd alliance had the support of 10 percent of decided voters, followed by LMP with 9 percent and the leftist Democratic Coalition with 6 percent. The Momentum Movement was backed by 4 percent of voters and the satirical Two-Tailed Dog party by 2 percent.

Nézőpont also polled voters on their expectations concerning Hungary’s next prime minister.

Fully 66 percent of the whole sample said they expected Prime Minister Viktor Orbán to be re-elected for a third consecutive term.

Only five percent said they expected Gergely Karácsony, the PM candidate of the Socialist-Párbeszéd alliance, to become prime minister after the election, the same percentage who thought Jobbik leader and PM candidate Gábor Vona would become Hungary’s next premier. Altogether 2 percent believed LMP candidate and co-leader Bernadett Szél would become prime minister while one percent each expected to see DK leader Ferenc Gyurcsány, Liberal party head Gábor Fodor or Momentum leader András Fekete-Győr sworn in as PM after the election.

Nézőpont conducted the poll after the February 25 election in Hódmezővásárhely by phone with a sample of 1,000 adults.

Featured image: MTI

Századvég Institute poll: Fidesz keeps strong lead

Orbán

Hungary’s ruling parties maintained their lead over the opposition parties, with 53 percent of decided voters in favour of the Fidesz alliance with the Christian Democrats, according to a fresh poll by the Századvég Institute.

Taking the electorate as a whole, 36 percent of the vote would go to the Fidesz-led alliance, Századvég said.

If the election were held this Sunday, 8 percent of all voters and 14 percent of decided voters would choose Jobbik, according to the poll.

The leftist opposition Socialist-Párbeszéd alliance would receive 8 percent of all votes and 11 percent of the decided vote, the think-tank said.

The green opposition LMP party would capture 7 percent of all votes and 8 percent of committed voters. The leftist Democratic Coalition, led by former prime minister Ferenc Gyurcsány, was preferred by 5 percent of all voters and 6 percent of decided voters.

Altogether 30 percent of respondents were undecided, Századvég said.

Századvég conducted its phone poll of 1,000 randomly chosen adults between Feb. 26 and 28.

featured image: MTI

POLL: Fidesz is the most popular, Jobbik is the strongest opposition party

Fidesz's victory might threaten Hungarian democracy

Among committed voters, the governing alliance of Fidesz and the Christian Democrats has more potential votes in the bag, 54 percent, in the upcoming general election than all the opposition parties combined, according a fresh poll by the pro-government Nézőpont Institute released on Saturday. 

In the survey of 2,000 voting-age adults conducted between January 3 and 21, 40 percent of the entire sample expressed a preference for the ruling alliance, an increase of 3 percentage points compared to Nézőpont’s December reading. The opposing Jobbik party notched up 7 percent, its worst result since 2014, while the Socialists stayed at 5 percent and the leftist Democratic Coalition seems to be stuck at 4 percent.

The green LMP party was preferred by 3 percent and Momentum had the support of 2 percent. The smaller parties, including Párbeszéd and Együtt, each had a backing of 1 percent.

Among decided voters, Fidesz would receive 54 percent, Jobbik 13 percent, the Socialists 9 percent, the Democratic Coalition and LMP 8 percent each, while Momentum would have 3 percent and the other small parties 1 percent each, according to Nézőpont.

They are the most and least popular party leaders

Ferenc Gyurcsány, leader of the leftist Democratic Coalition, and Gábor Vona, head of the radical nationalist Jobbik party, are the least popular party leaders in Hungary, with net approval ratings of 22 percent and 30 percent, respectively, according to the survey by the pro-government Nézőpont Institute.

Based on Nézőpont’s representative sample of 1,000 voting-age adults conducted between January 15 and 18,  released on Sunday, Viktor Orbán, the prime minister and leader of Fidesz, had the highest net approval rating with 54 percent, followed by the candidate for prime minister of the Socialists and Párbeszed, Gergely Karácsony, who had 43 percent.

At the same time, 78 percent of voters who declared themselves left-wing wanted Gyurcsány to “hold an important political position”. Gyurcsány’s poor net result can be explained by that the voters who support the other parties firmly reject him, the institute states.

Vona is in a similar position, according to Nézőpont, with 91 percent of Jobbik voters keen to see their leader in a position of power as opposed to 80 percent of other party voters who spurn him.

The least-disliked party leader is Karácsony, but this may be explained by his recognition index being 19 percentage points lower than Orbán’s, the institute states.

Photo: MTI

POLL – Ruling Fidesz’ popularity steadily growing

The Fidesz-Christian Democrat alliance has seen its support steadily grow, and by the end of last year the ruling parties had 36 percent support of the electorate and 52 percent of decided voters, according to a poll by Századvég published on Thursday.

The poll of 1,000 voters conducted by phone showed Jobbik and Socialists losing support. Jobbik had the backing of 9 percent of all voters and 16 percent among decided voters, while the Socialists was on 9 percent and 14 percent, respectively, Századvég said, citing Jobbik’s “current identity crisis” and internal divisions in the case of the Socialists.

The green opposition LMP party may be in a position to capitalise on the woes of the Socialists but its growing popularity which began in the summer of 2017 came to a sudden halt by the end of the year, Századvég said.

LMP received 6 percent support from all voters and 7 percent from decided voters.

The leftist Democratic Coalition (DK) also gained from political infighting on the left and support for the party stabilised thanks to a switch of allegiance by disillusioned Socialist voters in the last months of the year. DK, led by former prime minister Ferenc Gyurcsány, had the support of 5 percent of all voters and 6 percent of decided voters at the end of the year.

Support for opposition Együtt stood at 1 percent among all voters, as well as among decided voters. Support for all other parties combined was 5 percent among all voters and 4 percent among decided voters, Századvég said.

Featured image: MTI

POLL – Ruling parties more popular than opposition combined

The ruling Fidesz-Christian Democrat alliance is now more popular than the opposition parties combined, holding the support of 51 percent of decided voters, the latest poll by Nézőpont Institute commissioned by daily Magyar Idők shows.

The ruling parties were backed by 37 percent of the entire electorate, up two percentage points from November.

Support for Jobbik dropped another percentage point to 8 percent. Although this change is within the margin of error, it is Jobbik’s lowest poll number since 2014, Nézőpont said.

The Socialist Party captured 5 percent among the total sample, while the leftist opposition Democratic Coalition (DK) received 4 percent support. Együtt and the Liberal Party captured 1 percent each, while the small liberal Párbeszéd party registered less than 1 percent. Green LMP was backed by 4 percent of voters, Momentum by 2 percent and the satirical Kétfarkú Kutya (Two-tailed Dog) party by 1 percent.

Jobbik’s slide also carried over to decided voters, with the party receiving 14 percent support, seven percentage points below its party list score in the 2014 election.

DK and LMP were tied for third place among decided voters with 9 percent each, one percentage point ahead of the Socialists. Support for Momentum was at 3 percent. Együtt and Kétfarkú Kutya received 2 percent support each, while Párbeszéd and the Liberals 1 percent each.

Nézőpont conducted the poll on a sample of 2,000 people between December 1 and 18.

Featured image: MTI

Election 2018 Poll – Fidesz, Christian Democrats increase lead

The ruling parties increased their lead over the past month by 2 percentage points to 36 percent of the electorate, a fresh poll by the Századvég Foundation showed.

Of the opposition parties, Jobbik has the backing of 9 percent of the electorate, while the Socialists fell back to 8 percent. Green LMP came up to 7 percent while the leftist Democratic Coalition (DK) captured 4 percent. Együtt and Dialogue together are backed by 1 percent.

Uncertain voters make up 28 percent of the whole electorate.

The ruling coalition’s support has increased to 51 percent among decided voters. Jobbik is supported by 15 percent and the Socialists by 14 percent. LMP captured 8 percent of decided voters and DK 5 percent. Együtt and Párbeszéd stand at 1 percent, the poll showed.

Századvég has conducted the survey by phone on a sample of 1,000 randomly chosen respondents between November 20 and 28.

Featured image: MTI

POLL – Viktor Orbán’s party commands strong lead in Budapest

With a fifth of voting-age Hungarians resident in Budapest — traditionally an opposition stronghold — the strength of support for the ruling Fidesz-led alliance in the capital is a national bellwether just five months before the 2018 general election, the Nézőpont Institute said, noting that Fidesz enjoys 45 percent support among the capital’s decided voters.

Support for Fidesz-KDNP among decided voters in Budapest is one percentage point higher than across the country, according to Nézőpont’s interviews with 1,000 Budapest residents conducted between Oct. 17 and Nov. 12.

Nézőpont said in the report released on Thursday that the race for second place was tight among the opposition Socialists, LMP, Democratic Coalition (DK) and Momentum parties.

The Socialist Party in Budapest is backed by 13 percent, LMP by 11 percent, DK by 10 percent and newcomer Momentum by 7 percent, Nézőpont said, noting that all parties score higher in the capital than nationally.

Radical nationalist Jobbik’s fortunes in the capital are inverse. The party is backed by 6 percent in the capital compared with 20 percent nationwide.

Among all voters, support for Fidesz-KDNP is 32 percent, almost the same as across the country (33 percent). The Socialists notched up 8 percent in Budapest as against 5 percent nationally. DK and LMP each had 6 percent support (4-3 percent countrywide) while Momentum was on 4 percent (2 percent). Jobbik’s support in this group was 4 percent in Budapest compared with 10 percent nationwide, the think-tank said.

Featured image: MTI

Is the internet free in Hungary?

In addition to the recent report, there are further news about Hungary’s reputation concerning the online freedom of speech. American human rights organization Freedom House shared some thoughts about that on Tuesday on their website. They stated that more and more governments manipulate social media and persecute the opposition online, which means a huge threat to democracy. They have also examined Hungary among the examples.

As MTI reported, Freedom House concluded a study about 65 countries concerning the security of online rights, including Hungary, which was evaluated as a “free country” in this field.

The organization wrote that in Hungary, it is typical that the government manipulates people through public media and the censorship of online media undertaken by the authorities occurs at times.

The detailed report raises its voice against the marginalization of independent online news sites in the Hungarian market. Moreover, the new anti-terror law provides more power to the authorities to force the delivery of user data by private enterprises.

Freedom House, however, also emphasized, that the internet is still relatively free in Hungary, and the government does not block entire websites for political reasons, and, also, does not filter online content, as Napi.hu highlighted.

This year was the seventh in a row to witness the decrease of internet users’ freedom worldwide. According to the human rights organization, 30 of the examined countries have governments that constantly influence online communities in 2017. It increased by seven from last year’s 23.

These governments hire paid commenters or trolls, and they also apply automatic posts and fake news sites to spread information and opinions favorable for them.

Freedom House claims that these tactics involving manipulation and distortion played a vital role in the elections of at least 18 countries, including the United States. Freedom House’s chairman Michael Abramowitz stated that though these political methods were invented in Russia and China, they have become worldwide phenomena by today.

Project coordinator Sanja Kelly added that these manipulative contents are becoming more difficult to track, so it is more difficult to counter them.

China has been leading the list of most manipulative countries online for three years, followed by Syria and Etyopia.

The Chinese government has increased online censorship last year, and taken measures against online anonymity. Several people were taken to jail because of their different opinion expressed on the internet.

The report also mentioned the Keyboard Armies of the Philippines, which refers to the phenomenon that those who support Rodrigo Duerte’s controversial war on drugs may receive 10 dollars per day. Turkey was the other country that received special attention, as about 6,000 hired commenters await anyone who express their support for the opposition online.

Russia and the USA are also worth mentioning in this sense.

“Though America’s online community managed to preserve its dynamics and diversity, the impact of intentional spreading of disinformation and propaganda content are still significant. Journalists arguing President Donald Trump’s opinion suffer scandalously harsh harassment on the internet,” Freedom House added.

Will Viktor Orbán be reelected in 2018? – Poll

As the 2018 general election is approaching, more and more research institutes publish the results of their polls. According to the most recent one by the Nézőpont Institue, fully 47 percent, close to 3.9 million Hungarian voters, would favour to see Viktor Orbán, the incumbent prime minister, retain his post, if the elections were held now.

Eight percent of respondents asked between November 2 and 6 said they would prefer to see Gábor Vona, the leader of radical nationalist Jobbik, as prime minister after the 2018 general election.

Bernadett Szél, the prime minister candidate of green opposition LMP, was supported by 6 percent and Ferenc Gyurcsány, a former Socialist premier and now leader of the leftist opposition Democratic Coalition (DK), by 5 percent.

Gergely Karácsony, co-leader of the opposition Párbeszéd (Dialogue) party, was supported for prime minister by 4 percent. Gábor Fodor of the Liberals were backed by 2 percent of voters, and András Fekete-Győr of the Momentum Movement by one percent, the poll showed.

Featued image: MTI

Do you say yes to homeopathy? 50% of the Hungarians actually do

444.hu reported that, if there exists a controversial topic in Hungary, it is undoubtedly the topic of homeopathy. The controversial and divisive nature of this theraphy has already been known, but thanks to a recently conducted survey entrusted to Medián by 444, palpable data show that the question of homeopathy in fact divides the Hungarian population. The research was conducted in October, 2017, with the participation of 1,200 people.

The results are the following:

44% of the respondents believe that it is a very useful therapy that can cure various illnesses.
41% are dubious and say that this is quackism with no efficiency and people should not believe in it.
15% of Hungarians do not know what to think about the issue.

The difference of opinion based on sex is palpable provided that 37% of men and 51% of women believe that homeopathy is useful, while 49% of men and 35% of women think that it is a sham. Based on the survey conducted by Medián, the age of the participants is not as important as their sex, because the number of the supporters and the opponents is quite similar in each of the age groups. However, when it comes to the level of education, there are significant differences. We can state that the more people are educated, the firmer opinion they have towards the issue. It is also shown by the fact that only 23% of those with an 8th grade degree and 7% of the graduates do not know what to think of the issue.

What is the most surprising, however, is that people with higher levels of education believe more in homeopathy.

Let’s examine the outcomes in more detail:

Homeopathy survey results /Infogram by 444.hu/

From the research, it came to light that the majority of the respondents do not have personal experience with the homeopathic remedies and formed their opinion without being personally involved in it. 22% of the respondents said that they themselves or their relatives have already taken homeopathic remedies while only 5% of the group reported that they use them on a regular basis.

A further interesting thing to examine is that only 21% have reported that homeopathic products have been recommended to them in pharmacies or by their doctors and the number of women (25%) surpassed that of men (19%) in this question.

But what do regular users say about the efficiency of the products?

58% of the people believe that sometimes they work, sometimes they do not.
35% report that they always work.
5% say that they are never efficient.

The European Academies Science Advisory Council (EASAC) has recently announced that there is no evidence that homeopathy is an efficient cure for any kinds of illnesses, but its presumed effects are explainable by the placebo-effect. A Hungarian relation concerning this announcement is that in September 2017, the Semmelweis University of Budapest decided not to announce the course, Introduction to Homeopathy, any more.

Photos: pixabay.com;  444.hu

POLL – Fidesz captures 40% of electorate

Hungary’s ruling Fidesz party has captured the support of 40 percent of the electorate in the latest survey by Medián.

In the poll published by news portal hvg.hu on Wednesday, Fidesz’s support among all voters rose by 4 percentage points in a single month and its support was the highest since January 2011.

Radical nationalist party Jobbik had the backing of 11 percent of Medián’s sample, while the Socialists were preferred by 7 percent. Green party LMP notched up 4 percent, while the Democratic Coalition had 5 percent.

Taking decided voters firmly committed to casting their ballots, Fidesz had the backing of 61 percent, according to Medián’s survey carried out between October 20 and 24 with a representatives sample of voting-age adults.

In the past six months, not only has Fidesz’s popularity increased but voters have a gradually improving opinion of the government’s performance, too, Medián said. In October, 48 percent of respondents gave the government of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán a “good” rating, and 44 percent said things were going well in the country.

At the same time, voters are divided concerning their preference for after the elections, with 45 percent indicating the desire to see a change of government, while 44 percent wanted the current government to stay in power, Medián said.

Among decided voters, Jobbik had the backing of 14 percent of Medián’s sample, the Socialists 9 percent, LMP 5 percent and the Democratic Coalition 7 percent. Altogether 30 percent were uncommitted to any single party.

Featured image: MTI

POLL: Fidesz received 44 percent support, Jobbik stood at 19 percent

Core voter support for both the Fidesz-led ruling alliance and opposition LMP increased in October, while Jobbik and the Socialists saw their fortunes wane, but the changes were within the margin of error, Nézőpont Institute said on Saturday.

Among decided voters, the Fidesz alliance with the Christian Democrats received 44 percent support, which equals the domestic support it attracted on the party lists at the 2014 elections.

LMP increased its support by a percentage point, to 7 percent, in this category.

Jobbik stood at 19 percent among decided voters, which is slightly below the party’s 2014 results on the party list. Nézőpont added that Jobbik stood at 21 percent last month and 22 percent a month earlier. The Socialists fell by a percentage point to 10 percent among decided voters and DK stayed at 8 percent.

Among all voters, fully 31 percent backed the ruling parties in October, a percentage point increase from September, the poll based interviews with a representative sample of 2,000 adults showed.

Support for Jobbik dropped by a percentage point to 10 percent among all voters, while

support for the Socialists also dropped by a percentage point, to 5 percent.

Nézőpont said support for both parties was extremely low in October compared with other months in the period since 2014.

Among all voters, the Democratic Coalition received an unchanged 4 percent support, LMP received an unchanged 3 percent, Momentum and the satirical Two-tailed Dog party 2 percent each, and Együtt and the Liberal Party 1 percent each.

Photo: MTI

Jobbik has largest voter reserve, says polls

Jobbik party - Gábor Vona

More and more citizens claim they would definitely not vote for the government parties – at least this is the conclusion of Iránytű Institute’s poll commissioned by Hungarian daily Magyar Nemzet. The findings of the poll suggest that the clear rejection rate of Fidesz-Christian Democrats has grown from August’s 26 per cent to 31 per cent by September. These citizens claim they would definitely not cast their ballots for this coalition.

In the meantime, the rejection rate of opposition parties has slightly dropped. 15 per cent of respondents excluded the idea of voting for the Socialist Party (MSZP) while 12 per cent said they would never mark the box next to Jobbik’s name. From August to September, both parties were able to whittle down some percentage points from the number of their opposers. Of all parliamentary parties, Politics Can Be Different (LMP) had the best ratings in this aspect: only 2 per cent excluded the idea of voting for them.

Iránytű’s poll also shows

Jobbik has the largest “voter reserve” of all parties.

Answering the question who they would vote for if their party of primary preference were unavailable for some reason, Gábor Vona’s organization was mentioned by the most respondents: 13 per cent indicated Jobbik in this regard, followed by runner-up LMP with 10 per cent. In contrast, Fidesz and Christian Democrats were mentioned as a second choice by much fewer citizens: 5 per cent of respondents would cast their ballots for them in a case like that. The same share, i.e., 5 per cent considers MSZP as their second choice. There were also 14 per cent who claimed they would never vote for any other party than their primary choice.

Those who would never vote for any other party than their first option made up the highest share among pro-government citizens: one third of them rejected the idea.

Around one fourth of Fidesz supporters named Jobbik as their second choice while 12 per cent of them indicated LMP as such.

Interestingly enough, around one fourth of Jobbik supporters would be willing to vote for the government parties if Jobbik was unavailable while LMP had a higher support in this aspect: 22 per cent of pro-Jobbik citizens would consider them as their second choice. Regarding the supporters of Spocialists (MSZP) and the Democratic Coalition (DK), the “inclination to cross over” was not quite so high according to the poll. For example, the research reveals that only 9 per cent of pro-MSZP citizens would be willing to vote for DK. The highest share of them (29 per cent) named Jobbik as their second choice instead while LMP got 27 per cent in this round.

In contrast, if ex-PM Ferenc Gyurcsány’s organization was unavailable for them, one quarter of pro-DK voters would be willing to cast their ballots for Jobbik and 10 per cent for LMP.

Photo: facebook.com/vonagabor

POLL: Fidesz-KDNP nears 50 pc among decided voters, Jobbik took 2nd place

With seven months to go until the general elections, the ruling Fidesz-Christian Democrats alliance enjoys 47.4 percent support among decided voters, the research director of pollster Nézőpont Intstitute said on Thursday.

Nézőpont compiled data from 5 pollsters, Dániel Nagy said on public television. The parties’ share of votes is similar to those before the 2014 elections, making a two-third majority possible, he said.

Opposition Jobbik was backed by 19.4 percent, the Socialists by 14.26 percent, Democratic Coalition (DK) stood at 5.8 percent, green party LMP at 4.6 percent and Momentum at 3 percent. Satirical Kétfarkú Kutya Part (Two-tailed dog party) and Együtt each had 1.6 percent of the votes, while Dialogue and the Liberals both stood at 0.6 percent.

Since the last elections, new parties have been formed on the left, so the exact outcome will depend on which opposition parties decide to join forces for the race, Nagy said. Supporters of DK and the Socialists tend to fluctuate between the two leftist parties, he said. Kétfarkú Kutya, LMP and Momentum said they would not enter into a campaign coalition, which might fracture the opposition, Nagy said.

Election 2018: Who would the voters choose now?

Governing Fidesz-KDNP enjoy more support among Hungarians than all other parties combined, less than a year before the next elections, a survey by the Nézőpont Institute commissioned by daily Magyar Idők shows.

The results of the survey, conducted in June, show 30 percent of Hungarians of voting age support the governing alliance.

Radical nationalist party Jobbik has the support of 11 percent of Hungarians and the Socialists enjoy the support of 7 percent. The opposition Democratic Coalition (DK) has the support of 3 percent, green LMP the support of 3 percent and the Momentum Movement of 2 percent.

The opposition Együtt, Liberals and Dialogue parties, as well as the satirical Kétfarkú Kutya (Two-tailed Dog) each have 1 percent of support.

If elections were held now, Fidesz would likely take 41 percent of the vote, Jobbik 23 percent, the Socialists 15 percent and DK 5 percent. LMP and Momentum would each get 4 percent, Kétfarkú Kutya 3 percent, Együtt 2 percent and Dialogue and the Liberals 1 percent.

Nézőpont polled 2,000 people in the survey between June 2 and 18.

Poll by Századvég – Latest survey of voters: Fidesz, Jobbik, Socialists

Budapest (MTI) – The governing alliance of Fidesz and the Christian Democrats maintained a stable lead in the Századvég Foundation’s latest survey of voters, while the Jobbik party’s fortunes waned.

Századvég said in a statement on Friday that the ruling alliance has the support of 32 percent of the entire electorate and that the heated political events of the past few weeks had not had an impact on its popularity.

Support for the Jobbik party has been waning for months, and the party enjoyed the backing of 9 percent of Századvég’s April-May sample. The foundation attributed Jobbik’s weakening to a significant segment of its base rejecting the party’s change in direction towards the moderate centre.

The Socialist Party had the support of 12 percent of the electorate in April-May, according to Századvég, while the Democratic Coalition and LMP each had 4 percent.

The proportion of undecided voters has been rising over the past few months and now stands at 33 percent, according to the poll.

Among decided voters, the Fidesz-led alliance stood at 47 percent while Jobbik notched up 18 percent. The Socialists stood at 19 percent and DK and LMP had 5 percent each.

Századvég carried out its survey of a representative sample of 1,000 voting-age adults between April 26 and May 3.

Photo: MTI